Sunday 18 November 2012

Racing Post Hurdle

Its an interesting race for sure, here's some of the stronger stats.

ONLY 2 FOUR YEAR OLDS have won since 1988 (DETROIT CITY (2006) & BRAMPOUR (2011)). So it looks like you have to be an exceptional youngster to take this.
ALL of the last 20 winners had won over 2 miles in the past.
18 of the last 20 winners were OFFICIALLY RATED 129 +
14 of the last 17 winners had won one or more of their last THREE STARTS.

So applying those stats your left with a shortlist of Moon Dice, Rattan, Cash And Go, Domination, Constant Contact, Dark Lover & Hunters Belt.

Lets see who off this shortlist goes on the ground

[B]Rattan[/B]
[B]Cash And Go[/B]
[B]Domination[/B]
[B]Dark Lover[/B]
[B]Hunters Belt[/B]

Now lets look at the shortlist and see who like's running round an undulating track.

[B]Cash And Go[/B]
[B]Domination[/B]
[B]Dark Lover[/B]

Now off this shortlist lets see who like running in big fields.

[B]Cash And Go[/B]
[B]Domination[/B]
[B]Dark Lover[/B]

So they all pass the test on this score.

Lets now look at the three contenders we have left

[B]Cash And Go[/B] - looks favourably treated off 141 and has reportedly pleased Nicky Henderson since joining him during the summer. Unbeaten on his seasonal reappearances, he will be ridden by Barry Geraghty. Everything looks in place for a big run.

[B]Domination[/B] - won the Cesarewitch Trial at Newmarket in September by four and a half lengths (runner-up won five times this season) off a mark of 77. He is a dual winner over hurdles and he finished a nose second behind prolific winner Baily Green at Killarney in September. He is ten pounds higher now but he is relatively unexposed.

[B]Dark Lover[/B] - is unbeaten in three races over hurdles and is rated 131. Absent due to injury from February 2011 until October this year, he made a successful return by beating the improving Changing The Guard by four lengths at Cheltenham. Eleven pounds higher now, he is unexposed and will go well off a light weight.

SELECTIONS

[B]Cash And Go[/B] - win single @ 6/1
[B]Dark Lover[/B] - e/w @ 14/1

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