Saturday, 20 October 2012

Saturday 20th October 2012

 Great racing today folks and all eyes for a big race at Cheltenham
 but first the Frankel race at Ascot - can the legend make it 14 out of 14?  to be honest just to watch him run will be a joy even in this horrible ground - Only one favorite has won this race i 10 years  3 four yer old's and 4 3 year old's  with the prices not reflecting the animals past form - its the end of a hard season and the ground will take its toll  and last years winner returning for another tilt makes it as fascinating as you can get. 
 French trainers have a brilliant strike rate with three of the last ten and Cirrus Des Aigles has great form on horrible ground over this distance ridden by Peslier is no back number at 6 yrs old  beating So You Think by 3/4 length here last year and his form if anything is better coming into the race  this year - there is merit in looking for a bet without Frankel and you must take a look at the other overseas runner  Pastorius  who is coming into the race after a tremendous run at Hopegarten  and will be a player at 3 years old 
We have to hope the ground does not get any worse  Clerk of the course Chris Stickels said: "Given a dry day, by this afternoon it will be a soft surface but it won't be a bad racing surface."

Frankel should swamp them if the ground is no worse than soft and even with heavy ground who would back against him? it would be like backing against your family and that makes it a no bet race unless your in the market without Frankel  and currently Pastorius  is 10/1 in that market and will do for me 

Real racing for the winter and Cheltenham 
 mainly a watching day and small bets 
2.30 Watch out for that improving animal Triangular(motionless at Newbury handicap chase led like it had wings 2m6f  favvy took it very easy dotted up with the first time T tie spectacular jumping  had it won miles out 230312 
 and of course the blog horse Bobowen who found 2m6f a tad too far last time 290912 Bobowen gave the form real substance in second as he is another horse on a roll. It was slightly disappointing he couldn´t overcome the winner, though, suggesting he found that trip far enough. 

3.40  and Darna back after 202  days (has jumped well fresh ) but has not shown anything great so far left handed or going worse than good over fences but trounced away in g/soft over hdles  Galaxy Rock went over hdles last run and thats a very good indicator for this race and time of year has an outstanding recor this track in thre runs and CDG winner 

 4.20 and a wide open handicap hdle - the ground will have churned up a bit by this race and there are some up and coming animals under the radar still and that includes Handy Andy heavy-ground point winner in January 2011 A great looker with  a bit of class about him and, although it will all be about chasing with him, he can win again over hurdles off this mark - runs his best within these 7 days and will do for me - 

 good luck today 

 Bob


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