Saturday, 9 November 2013

November Handicap 9th November 2013

The Betfred November Handicap takes place at Doncaster  today  Saturday, 9th November. at 3.35 on ground given as Good to Soft  It is a class 2 handicap open to 3yos and older, run over 1M 4F. 

Younger less exposed horses that have been running well lately have been favoured in past 10 years.

Horses drawn 9 to 16: 4-6-72
Horses drawn 17 or higher: 3-4-58  
All 3 winners drawn 17 or higher were on soft or heavy ground.
The 4 winners on ground with good in description were drawn between 8 and 14.

Racing Tactics
5 of 10 winners raced in touch or in midfield
4 of 10 winners were held up towards rear
1 of 10 winners made all

Price
No strong trends based on prices for this race.
This is a terrible race for favourites (0-1-11) with no winner in the last 17 years and only 1 of 11 making the frame since 2003. 
Summary:
Aged 3 or 4 
- Carrying 8-10 to 9-6 
Run 4 to 7 times in 2013 

- Finished 1st or 2nd on one or both of last 2 starts 

Posted a career high RPR of 100+ in last 2 starts

Had latest start at Doncaster or Newmarket

Run in 12 or fewer handicaps (winning 1 to 3)  

Previously won a class 2 or 3 handicap

Won over 1M 3F+ 

Has won at Doncaster (or having first run here) 

Finished in first 5 in Gordon’s Stakes or 2012 November Handicap

Hold-up horses preferred 

The one I like in a very tricky race is Nicholas Copernicus  ( 8 ✔) who holds very good each way chances - only 4th run of the season  attracts for this hold up specialist with a turn of foot on soft ground with a canny trainer and special jock in  Andrea Atzeni 

No comments: