BETFRED TV & LEVY BOARD HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (3yo+) sat31 August

 poor ole me waiting for the decent jumps thats a coming - but poor fayre till then - playing the most prize money race today and sandown 3.50 all age is for me - BETFRED TV & LEVY BOARD HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (3yo+)
 Last year won by Labarinto there are enough trends for the higher prices to make this a tad interesting

Winners come from the 4 year old age bracket carrying more than 8-10  

7 from 10 - 1 six yr old 1 3 yr old and one 8 year old.

prices range from 6/1(fav) to 16/1 majority of winners are backed in late  seldom drift 

favored draw for this distance at sandown  is from 13 upwards  but this race seems to be pretty open to depend on that stat with winners coming from  across the track

Recent form does not seem to be that important either but a top trainer  is 

so its a hard nut to crack but can be rewarding - 

 looking for a 4yr old drawn well and best Efficiency in races of the same Going and Class  around the 16/1 mark and confidence to be backed in 

 the one that hits the eye is  Mister Music at 14/1 currently betfair  5th in efficiency and drawn a very nice 14 box  improved for the pieces at goodwood last time wears them again today under Mr Hughes . stayed on really well over the 1m1f at Goodwood and the hill should suite it now in form. Has been placed in races off higher marks than today and I make it only 2lbs to ride and win to this mark of 97.

 good luck 
roll on the jumps season proper

 Bob  

Ebor Handicap 24th August 2013

The Betfred Ebor Handicap takes placed on the today Saturday 24th August  The Ebor meeting was abandoned at York in 2008 season after the track was waterlogged and as a result the Ebor was run as the Newburgh handicap at Newbury. I focus on the last 10 running's of the Ebor at York.   past 10 running's (2002-2012):

Overnight rain has changed the ground to soft and that puts grit into the gear box

Age (Win-Place-Runners)

3yo: 0-6-9

4yo: 2-13-78

5yo: 6-7-63

6yo+: 2-2-33

7yo+: 0-2-16

3 year olds have a fine record since 2000, winning it in 2000 and 2001 and seeing 6 of their 9 representatives in past 10 years making the places.

5 year olds have won 6 of the last 10 running's from approximately 31.67% of the runners.In the last 30 years, there have only been 2 winners aged older than 5.

You have to go back to 1979 and the great Sea Pigeon for last winner aged 7+.

 Last year Willing Foe won the Ebor having run so well at Ascot last run 14 days before (7/2 fav) - Dettori rode in from the 16 box and this 5 yr old carrying 9-02 was third top improver in the field (had 3lbs in hand on its best handicap mark) having never tried this distance before  and won at 12/1 (number Theory 2l behind carrying 8-13 .

Weights

In past 3 years, all 3 winners and 11 of 12 horses to make places carried 8-10 to 9-2.

Only 4 horses since 1995 have carried over 8-12 to victory, all 3 posted an RPR of 105+ on their last start, 2 were running under a penalty for winning a race at Glorious Goodwood.

Horses carrying a penalty: 3-4-23

Claimers (2-1-15) have ridden 2 of the last 4 winners of the Ebor.

Top weight: P80900405866 (0-1-12) 
 Number Theory holds that today and though decent soft ground form the stat is compelling  even though 2lbs well in Was a very creditable run last year. Comes into this race in great form being fourth to Brown Panther at goodwood. last time  and is 2nd rated top improver this race today -- hmmmmm

Official Ratings

Horses rated 103 to 112: 0-8-43

Horses rated 92 to 102: 7-21-132

Horses rated 91 or less: 3-1-24

7 of last 8 winners (last 5) have been officially rated between 94 and 101.

Recent/Past Form

8 of 10 winners finished in the first 2 on 1 of last 2 starts

8 of 10 winners ran in a class 2 or better on last flat start (2 exceptions won a class 3)

9 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR of last 12 months in their last 2 starts

10 of 10 winners had run in past 55 days

8 of 10 winners had won a race that season (1 exception placed in listed & other was placed on only run that season)

9 of 10 winners had won at class 3 or higher (exception twice placed in listed company)

8 of 10 winners (last 6) had run in 9 or fewer handicaps

10 of 10 winners had won no more than 4 handicaps

9 of 10 winners had previously won over 1M 4F+ (exception placed in a listed race over 1M 4F)

Other Races

Record of winners at Glorious Goodwood in the Ebor: 4181316004 (3-3-10)

Previous year's Old Newton Cup winner (Number Theory): 29 (0-1-2)

GL Events Owen Brown Handicap winner (Bishop Roko): 300 (0-1-3)

Duke Of Edinburgh handicap winner (Opinion): 3067 (0-1-4)

Investec Zebra Handicap winner (Sheikhzayedroad): 06 (0-0-2)

Previous season's Melrose Stakes winner (Guarantee): 88 (0-0-2)

3 of 10 winners ran in the Northumberland Plate, finishing 415

2 of 10 winners ran in the Ascot Stakes, finishing 72

2 of 10 winners ran in the Summer Stakes at Goodwood, finishing 13

2 of 10 winners ran in previous November Handicap, finishing 32

2 of 10 winners ran in previous Cesarewitch H'cap, finishing 00

4 of 10 winners finished in first 4 at Glorious Goodwood last time

3 of 10 winners ran at Royal Ascot that season

Trainers

David Elsworth (1-1-2), Brian Ellison (1-1-5) & Saeed Bin Suroor (1-1-7) have all saddled a winner and a placed finisher in past 10 years.- Highland castle 

Jane Chapple-Hyam (1-0-2) has  won 1 of past 10 renewals.

 John Holt (0-1-1) saddled Number Theoryast year 

Irish trained runners (2-5-19) have won 3 of the last 11 runnings at York from less than 10% of the total runners. They have done particularly well recently, filling the runners-up spot in 2007, the first 2 home in 2009 and the 1st and 4th in 2010 and the 2nd in 2012.

Draw

Horses drawn the highest 7 stalls: 8-7-70

Horses drawn in the middle stalls: 1-8-59

Horses drawn in the bottom 7 stalls: 1-15-70

8 of 10 winners were drawn in the highest 7 stalls

Racing Tactics

8 of 10 winners were held up in midfield or rear

Price

No strong trend to be gleaned from the prices with 5 of 10 winners going off 14/1 or shorter and the other 5 going off 16/1 or bigger including one at 100/1.

Favourites (1-4-10) have won just 1 of the last 10 and giving a level stakes loss of 5.50.

Summary:

Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

·         Aged 3 to 5

·         Carrying 8-10 to 9-2

·         Having a claimer on board is a positive  only Hanoverian Baron (8 yr old) has a 5lb claimer 

·         Officially rated 94 to 101

·         Finished in the first two in 1 of last 2 runs

·         Posted highest RPR in last 2 starts

·         Won a race this season (or placed in over 50% of their runs)

·         Ran in a class 2 or better in the last 40 days

·         Had last run at Goodwood, Ascot or Galway

Profile horses  1m6f/ 2miles - Oriental Fox (murdered at ascot last time) -  Highland castle who front run and did the murder on Oriental Fox_ 

·         Horses that won at Glorious Goodwood do well

·         Run in 9 or fewer handicaps (winning no more than 4)

·         Won at class 3 level or higher

·         Won over 1M 4F+ (or placed in a class 1 race over 1M 4F+)

·         Drawn in highest 7 stalls

·         Hold up horses favored

Well this is a pretty kettle of fish to look at - decent line up and the high drawn horses to the fore in the betting 

I Like the chances of Caravan Rolls On as a decent staying handicapper and ran so well at ascot last time  not bred for this ground and just outside the winning top drawn boxes - at a bigger price is Highland castle better drawn and bred from Halling will not mind the ground soft

 Good luck all

 Bob

·        

The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap 17th August 2013

The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap is the most valuable race to be run at Ripon all season and it takes place today Saturday, 17th August. at 3.30  It is run over 6 furlongs for 3 yos and older it is always a very hotly contested handicap.
 well we have to look at this good to firm ground forecast - especially as heavy rain is forecast for around 3 pm!

The past 10 years:

 Age (Win-Place-Runners)

3yo: 0-1-7

4yo: 4-9-55

5yo: 2-8-49

6yo: 2-5-35

7yo: 2-5-26

8yo+: 0-2-27

No very strong trends on age, obviously 10 of 10 winners have been aged 4 to 7, though they represented almost 83% of the total runners.

Horses aged 8+ have a poor record of 0 wins and 2 places from 27 runners.

The last winning 3yo was Pipalong in 1999; she went on to win at group 1 level.

2012: (20 ran) Pepper Lane (10), Age 5, Wgt  9 - 1, SP 20/1 - D Tudhope / D O'Meara this animal has not run since and was fitted with first time headgear last year. and won the race twice! - trainer runs Louis The Pious  

Weights

Higher weights have held the edge in recent years with last 7 winners carrying 8-10 to 9-6.

Top Weight: 00000072000 (0-1-11)

Official Ratings

Horses rated 101 or higher: 0-3-25

Horses rated 91 to 100: 9-16-117

Horses rated 90 or less: 1-11-57

9 of the 10 winners (last 7) were officially rated between 91 and 100.

Recent/Past Form

10 of 10 winners had run at least 3 times that season

7 of 10 winners had won a race that season (2 exceptions were placed on last 2 runs & placed in Stewards Cup last time. Other exception had won previous year's race)

10 of 10 winners ran in a class 3 or better last time out

8 of 10 winners had run in past 20 days

10 of 10 winners had won over at least 6 furlongs

7 of 10 winners ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Haydock last time

4 of last 5 winners had previously won over CD

Other Races

Armstrong Memorial Handicap winner (Spinatrix): 400401 (1-2-6)

Infinity Ecomax Tyres Handicap winner (Head Space) Runs in the 2.50  ripon -silver trophy: 1 (1-0-1)

PPR Foundation Handicap winner (Bacarat): 1 (1-0-1)

C. B. Hutchinson Memorial Challenge Cup winner (Spinatrix): 81 (1-0-2)

Matthew Clark Handicap winner (Dr Red Eye): 2 (0-1-1)

Directors Cup winner (Dick Bos): 20 (0-1-2)

John Guest Handicap winner (Gabbiano): 00 (0-0-2)

Scottish Stewards' Cup winner (Rodrigo De Torres): 50050 (0-0-5)

4 of 10 winners ran in the Stewards Cup, finishing 0404 (Louis The Pious and Secret Witness finished down the field 

3 of 10 winners ran in the Wokingham, finishing 040

3 of 10 winners ran in previous Ayr Gold Cup, finishing 000

2 of 10 winners ran in the Scottish Steward's Cup, finishing 42

2 of 10 winners ran in the RIU Palace Meloneras Handicap, finishing 10

 Trainers

Dandy Nicholls (2-10-35) has done well with his runners in this race in past 9 years. Since 2004 he has had 2 winners and 10 more placed from 28 runners. Adrian Nicholls’ last 7 rides in the race have supplied a winner and 5 places (all on Dandy Nicholls runners, he will likely be on the stable first string).

David O’Meara (2-0-2) has won the last 2 runnings with Pepper Lane.

Kevin Ryan (0-6-20) trained 2 of the first 4 home in last 2 year.

Tim Easterby (0-1-13), David Barron (0-1-13 and  Richard Fahey (0-1-15) have managed just 3 places between them from a collective 41 runners.

Draw

Horses drawn 1 to 10: 8-19-100

Horses drawn 11 or higher: 2-11-99

Horses drawn low have a big advantage with just 1 winner coming from higher than stall 11 in past 10 years.

Price

8 of 10 winners were sent off between 8/1 & 20/1

The only 2 winners to win outside the 8/1 to 20/1 band were the two winning favorites.

Favorites (2-2-10) have a fair record in this race having won 2 of the last 10 and giving a level stakes loss of 1.00.

Summary:

 you are looking for a horse:

·         Aged 4 to 7

·         Carrying 8-10 to 9-6

·         Officially rated 91 to 100

·         Run at least 3 times this season

·         Won a race this season (or placed in Steward’s Cup)

·         Ran in class 3 or higher last time

·         Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Haydock last time out

·         Won over 6F or further 

·         Contested the Stewards' Cup and/or Wokingham this year

·         CD winners do well

·         Drawn 1 to 10

·         Trained by Dandy Nicholls (and ridden by A Nicholls) or David O’Meara

 So lets take a peek at a few profile horses Spinatrix 5 yr old 9-01  (Drawn 1)  has been raised to 100 from a mark of 95 - my rating for that race was 101 so theoretically  has 1lb in hand - currently 10/1  last run was here  - on g/soft ground  with the brill lil claimer Colin Beasley  again  an ultra-competitive sprint handicap with plenty of the runners having already recorded successes at the track.  
 Despite being drawn in stall 10, Spinatrix somehow made her challenge down the centre of the track. It was a winning one, though, as once out in the clear she came home strongly with her rider looking stylish in the saddle. Victorious over C/Don her penultimate start, she thrives when there´s juice in the ground.  so hoping that forecast rain comes early 
Take a note of any money for  Pearl Ice 5 yr old 8-06  (drawn 3) has won to my mark of 97 around here on g/soft and gets in well today off  91  same race won by Spinatrix ,strong in the market, showed speed to get across from the widest draw, but was only just mastering the third when Spinatrix came by. better drawn lets see if they think the ground suitable for a punt.

Louis The Pious 5 yr old   9-01 (drawn 4) off a mark of 100 and has run to a mark of 103 on g/frm ground on my ratings.only got the 7th place at goodwood but This gelding has won on fast going in the past and well suited by some ease in the ground  . He was runner-up in the Stewards´ Cup consolation race at Goodwood last season, trained by David O’Meara

 So what of the long shot profile horses? 
 well those are not that hard to find - they come from the previous years winner and or  the older brigade. Damika in 2010 was 7yrs old carrying a lightweight 8-13 and a mark of 94 (having got a rating (in my book of 94  when finishing third in a haydock sprint 7 days before beaten 4L) well drawn in box 6 

The one to take special notice of is Secret Witness, the only deviation is the low draw - ran a cracker off 9-10 at newmarket last time on g/frm ground is a genuine enough animal running within 7 days speed figures, well handicapped today and has that "other"  side rail to help
 so you place your money and take you chance - watch out for that rain - should be a thriller 

 good Luck 

 Bob

Nassau Stakes 3rd August 2013 3.15

Markel Insurance Nassau Stakes is a group 1 for fillies & mares, run over 1M 2F, on the final day of Glorious Goodwood, Saturday 3rd August. The Fugue gained her one group 1 win in this race last year and she may return to try to win it again.  

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Wins-Places-Runners)

3yo: 5-6-36

4yo: 3-7-32

5yo: 2-3-9

6yo+: 0-0-3

Not much to go on from the ages of winners. 3yo have won 5 of the last 10 but have represented 45% of the total runners.

4 of 5 winners aged 3 had finished 1st or 2nd in an Irish or British Classic

4 of 5 winners aged 4+ were multiple group 1 winners.

Recent Form

7 of 10 winners had won 1 of last 2 starts (3 exceptions placed in group 1 or 2's on last 2 starts)

8 of 10 winners finished in first 3 last time (2 exceptions unplaced in a group 1)

9 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 105+ last time

8 of 10 winners had run 2 to 5 times that season

9 of 10 winners had won a race that year (exception was 2nd in Middleton on only run that year)

9 of 10 winners had won a group race over 1M to 1M 2F (exception was placed in English & Irish Oaks on last 2 starts)

7 of 10 winners had won a group 1 (2 exceptions placed in a group 1 and other was a dual group 2 winner)

Other Races

Previous season's winner (The Fugue): 211 (2-1-3)

Pretty Polly winner (Ambivalent): 31216 (2-1-5)

Irish 1000 Guineas winner (Just The Judge): 1 (1-0-1)

Epsom Oaks winner (Talent): 33 (0-2-2)

Record of 2nd & 3rd from Epsom Oaks: 51511 (3-0-5)

Princess Elizabeth Stakes winner (Thistle Bird): 537 (0-0-3)

Dahlia Stakes winner (Dank): 476 (0-0-3)

3 of 5 winners aged 3 ran in the Epsom Oaks, finishing 223

2 of 5 winners aged 3 ran in Irish Oaks last time, finishing 13

2 of 5 winners aged 3 ran in Irish 1000 Guineas, finishing 31

3 of 10 winners ran in the Pretty Polly, finishing 112

3 of 5 winners aged 4+ ran in Breeders Cup Filly/Mares Turf, finishing 212

2 of 5 aged 4+ winners ran in the Falmouth last time, finishing 62

2 of 5 winners aged 4+ ran in previous Prix De L'Opera, finishing 13

2 of 5 winners (last 2) aged 4+ ran in Middleton Stakes, finishing 21

Trainers

British-trained: 7-10-65

Irish-trained: 3-3-11

French-trained: 0-3-4

The Cecil Yard (3-3-7) was responsible for Midday winning this 3 times (2009-11) & all 7 of their runners have made the first 3.

Michael Stoute (2-2-9) has won the race 3 times in the past 11 years, though his last winner was back in 2004 and his last 5 representatives have all been unplaced.

Aidan O’Brien (2-1-5) has trained the winner twice in last 6 years, both his winners were 3yos that had won an Irish Classic on previous start.

Ed Dunlop (1-1-2) trained the winner in 2001 & 2006 and had Snow Fairy to finish 2nd in 2011.

John Gosden (1-1-5) trained The Fugue to win this last year. Interestingly he has taken the same route (Rbbersdale)  with today's runner Winsili who ran a superb race to get 4th (The Fuge got 2nd)  

Price

10 of 10 winners came from the first 3 in the betting

Favourites (6-2-10) have a fine record in this race, winning 6 of the last 10 renewals and showing a level stakes profit of 4.80 over past 10 years.

 Summary:

Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

·         Aged 3 & finished in first 2 in a Classic or

·         Aged 4 or 5 that is a multiple group 1 winner

·         Won 1 of last 2 starts

·         Finished in first 3 last time (or unplaced in a group 1)

·         Posted an RPR of 105+ last time

·         Won a group race over 1M to 1M 2F

·         Group 1 winner (placed at least)

·         Finished in first 3 in Breeders Cup Filly & Mare’s Turf or Prix De L’Opera in 2012

·         Finished in first 3 in an Oaks, Irish 1000, Middleton Stakes or Pretty Polly in 2013

·         Trained by Michael Stoute, Lady Cecil, Aidan O’Brien, Jim Bolger or Ed Dunlop

·         From first 3 in the betting (favourite does well)

So - this is a cracking race and worth the admission money but not really a betting race for big stakes - Was so taken by Michael Stoute's Integral  at Sandown  looked a nice prospect when making a winning debut here at Goodwood maiden back in May (second and fourth horses both won their next starts.) The most impressive aspect to this victory was that she came from last place and produced a smart turn of foot to cut down the leader inside the last. Raised into Group company now and has all the scope in the world, (The very best of her may not be seen until next year or beyond but she can take this on the way)

will be taking a chance with Gosden each way shot at 33/1 Winsili  just to add flavor 

Good luck All

 Bob

result ---1 Winsili 20/1 
2 Thistle Bird 33/1 
3 Hot Snap 5/1 

Stewards’ Cup, Goodwood 03 August 2013 at 3.50

The Robin Farms Racing Stewards’ Cup, which takes place on Saturday 3rd August, is the big betting race of Glorious Goodwood’s 5-day meeting. It’s run over 6 furlongs and is always a highly competitive affair with the Wokingham usually the race to focus on for clues, as 10 of the 13 winners since 2000 had run in the Wokingham earlier that year.

Age   

3yo: 0-1-15

4yo: 4-9-85

5yo: 4-9-65

6yo: 2-7-56

7yo+: 0-4-52

Horses aged 4 or 5 have a combined record of 8-18-150

Horses aged 6+ have a poor combined record of 2-11-108

Weight

In past 8 years, 29 of 32 places have been filled by horses allotted 8-13 or more.

Official Ratings

9 of 10 winners were officially rated 95 or higher

Recent/Past Form

10 of 10 winners ran in a class 2 or higher last time out

8 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 100+ on last outing

8 of 10 winners had run in past 25 days (2 exceptions had run in last 60 days)

7 of 10 winners had won a race that season

8 of 10 winners had run in 6 to 13 handicaps

10 of 10 winners had previously won over 6F

9 of 10 winners had won or placed in a race worth 20K+ (last 5 won a race worth 24K+) York Glory is the highest prize winner by far at 93K  and thats the race to concentrate on 

8 of 10 winners had won a race worth 19K+

10 of 10 winners had won a class 3 or higher

8 of 10 winners had won a class 2 or higher

Other Races

Previous year's winner (Hawkeyethenoo): 200 (0-1-3)

Skybet Dash winner (Tropics): 031 (1-1-3)

Timeform "European Champion 2YO" Handicap winner (Hamza): 225726 (0-3-6)

Voyage By Investec Handicap winner (Arctic Feeling): 0001053 (1-1-7)

8 of 10 winners (last 7) ran in the Wokingham, finishing 54700073

4 of 10 winners ran in Infinity Ecosis Tyres Stakes H'cap, finishing 0311

3 of 10 winners ran in Live Pool Info at Totepool.com Handicap at Windsor, finishing 072

2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Coral Sprint Trophy, finishing 10

2 of 10 winners ran in the Bunbury Cup, finishing 10

2 of 10 winners ran in International Stakes H'cap last time, finishing 47

2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Ayr Gold Cup, finishing 40

 Trainers

Dandy Nicholls (2-6-42) trained the winner in 2000, 2005 & 2010.

John Fanshawe (1-3-5) trained the winner in 2007 & seen 4 of his 5 runners make the frame.   

William Haggas (1-1-3), Jim Goldie (1-0-1) & Mick Easterby (1-0-4) have both trained the winner in past 5 years.

Richard Fahey (0-3-16) and Robert Cowell (0-2-4) have each saddled multiple placed finishers in past 10 years while Ger Lyon’s (0-1-1) only runner also got placed.

Draw

Horses drawn 1 to 9: 2-12-90

Horses drawn 10 to 19: 7-11-100

Horses drawn 20 or higher: 1-7-83

7 of last 8 winners were drawn 10 to 19

The only horse to win this from stall 20 or higher was Pivotal Point, who won a group 3 and a group 2 in his next 3 races.

Price

8 of 10 winners came from first 5 in the betting

Favourites (3-6-13) have done well, winning 3 of last 10 giving a level stakes profit of 3.39.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

• Aged 4 or 5
• Allotted 8-13 or more
• Officially rated 95 or more
• Won a race this season
• Ran in a class 2 or higher in the last 25 days
• Won over 6F
• Won or placed in a race worth 24K+ (ideally won)
• Won a class 2 or higher
• Run in 6 to 13 handicaps
• Ran in the Wokingham at 2013 Royal Ascot (ideally finished in first 7) -
•  York Glory Shropshire Dinkum Diamond  Rex Imperator
• Ran in Infinity Ecosis Tyres Stakes and/or Live Pool Info at Totepool.com H’cap
• Trained by Dandy Nicholls, James Fanshawe, William Haggas or Robert Cowell
• Drawn 10 to 19
• Hawkeyethenoo won this last year out of the 4 box beating Shropshire by a measly 2l and that one attracts my eye this running today despite having the hoodoo draw in box 21 the hood has worked wonders for this horse the ground is right the distance right and the booking of Ryan Moore  for this hard puller looks solid. York Glory is drawn low and has Spencer on board  but has to give Shropshire a lot more weight today and take Shropshire to reverse form  - Dinkum Diamond finished third behind these two has its ground - the right box and Cathy Gannon on board has not been penalised for that run and if Mr Candy is right has an outsnading chance to reverse the form - this quick track will suite Dinkum who performed so well in the Epsom dash   Rex Imperator  trained by William Haggas who has a fine record in this race ran a fine race in the wokingham  and can be considered a bit of an underachiever  
• Clerk of the course  says temperatures could reach 24C and, combined with breezy conditions, thinks the ground could "dry out a bit" as the day progresses. BUT Knowing Goodwood going can change rapidly and the wind is blowing well there this morning a downpour could well go from g/soft to heavy - in no time at all - should that happen watch out for money coming for last years speed horse Face The Problem who can handle deep ground -  on form has the right box for soft/heavy ground runs well within 10 days

 Result!! Good Luck with your selections 

 Bob 

RESULT --1 Rex Imperator 12/1 
2 Ajjaadd 66/1 
3 Burwaaz 25/1 
4 Racy 16/1