The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap is the most valuable race to be run at Ripon all season and it takes place today Saturday, 17th August. at 3.30 It is run over 6 furlongs for 3 yos and older it is always a very hotly contested handicap.
well we have to look at this good to firm ground forecast - especially as heavy rain is forecast for around 3 pm!
well we have to look at this good to firm ground forecast - especially as heavy rain is forecast for around 3 pm!
The past 10 years:
Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 0-1-7
4yo: 4-9-55
5yo: 2-8-49
6yo: 2-5-35
7yo: 2-5-26
8yo+: 0-2-27
No very strong trends on age, obviously 10 of 10 winners have been aged 4 to 7, though they represented almost 83% of the total runners.
Horses aged 8+ have a poor record of 0 wins and 2 places from 27 runners.
The last winning 3yo was Pipalong in 1999; she went on to win at group 1 level.
2012: (20 ran) Pepper Lane (10), Age 5, Wgt 9 - 1, SP 20/1 - D Tudhope / D O'Meara this animal has not run since and was fitted with first time headgear last year. and won the race twice! - trainer runs Louis The Pious
Weights
Higher weights have held the edge in recent years with last 7 winners carrying 8-10 to 9-6.
Top Weight: 00000072000 (0-1-11)
Official Ratings
Horses rated 101 or higher: 0-3-25
Horses rated 91 to 100: 9-16-117
Horses rated 90 or less: 1-11-57
9 of the 10 winners (last 7) were officially rated between 91 and 100.
Recent/Past Form
10 of 10 winners had run at least 3 times that season
7 of 10 winners had won a race that season (2 exceptions were placed on last 2 runs & placed in Stewards Cup last time. Other exception had won previous year's race)
10 of 10 winners ran in a class 3 or better last time out
8 of 10 winners had run in past 20 days
10 of 10 winners had won over at least 6 furlongs
7 of 10 winners ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Haydock last time
4 of last 5 winners had previously won over CD
Other Races
Armstrong Memorial Handicap winner (Spinatrix): 400401 (1-2-6)
Infinity Ecomax Tyres Handicap winner (Head Space) Runs in the 2.50 ripon -silver trophy: 1 (1-0-1)
PPR Foundation Handicap winner (Bacarat): 1 (1-0-1)
C. B. Hutchinson Memorial Challenge Cup winner (Spinatrix): 81 (1-0-2)
Matthew Clark Handicap winner (Dr Red Eye): 2 (0-1-1)
Directors Cup winner (Dick Bos): 20 (0-1-2)
John Guest Handicap winner (Gabbiano): 00 (0-0-2)
Scottish Stewards' Cup winner (Rodrigo De Torres): 50050 (0-0-5)
4 of 10 winners ran in the Stewards Cup, finishing 0404 (Louis The Pious and Secret Witness finished down the field
3 of 10 winners ran in the Wokingham, finishing 040
3 of 10 winners ran in previous Ayr Gold Cup, finishing 000
2 of 10 winners ran in the Scottish Steward's Cup, finishing 42
2 of 10 winners ran in the RIU Palace Meloneras Handicap, finishing 10
Trainers
Dandy Nicholls (2-10-35) has done well with his runners in this race in past 9 years. Since 2004 he has had 2 winners and 10 more placed from 28 runners. Adrian Nicholls’ last 7 rides in the race have supplied a winner and 5 places (all on Dandy Nicholls runners, he will likely be on the stable first string).
David O’Meara (2-0-2) has won the last 2 runnings with Pepper Lane.
Kevin Ryan (0-6-20) trained 2 of the first 4 home in last 2 year.
Tim Easterby (0-1-13), David Barron (0-1-13 and Richard Fahey (0-1-15) have managed just 3 places between them from a collective 41 runners.
Draw
Horses drawn 1 to 10: 8-19-100
Horses drawn 11 or higher: 2-11-99
Horses drawn low have a big advantage with just 1 winner coming from higher than stall 11 in past 10 years.
Price
8 of 10 winners were sent off between 8/1 & 20/1
The only 2 winners to win outside the 8/1 to 20/1 band were the two winning favorites.
Favorites (2-2-10) have a fair record in this race having won 2 of the last 10 and giving a level stakes loss of 1.00.
Summary:
you are looking for a horse:
· Aged 4 to 7
· Carrying 8-10 to 9-6
· Officially rated 91 to 100
· Run at least 3 times this season
· Won a race this season (or placed in Steward’s Cup)
· Ran in class 3 or higher last time
· Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Haydock last time out
· Won over 6F or further
· Contested the Stewards' Cup and/or Wokingham this year
· CD winners do well
· Drawn 1 to 10
· Trained by Dandy Nicholls (and ridden by A Nicholls) or David O’Meara
So lets take a peek at a few profile horses Spinatrix 5 yr old 9-01 (Drawn 1) has been raised to 100 from a mark of 95 - my rating for that race was 101 so theoretically has 1lb in hand - currently 10/1 last run was here - on g/soft ground with the brill lil claimer Colin Beasley again an ultra-competitive sprint handicap with plenty of the runners having already recorded successes at the track.
Despite being drawn in stall 10, Spinatrix somehow made her challenge down the centre of the track. It was a winning one, though, as once out in the clear she came home strongly with her rider looking stylish in the saddle. Victorious over C/Don her penultimate start, she thrives when there´s juice in the ground. so hoping that forecast rain comes early
Take a note of any money for Pearl Ice 5 yr old 8-06 (drawn 3) has won to my mark of 97 around here on g/soft and gets in well today off 91 same race won by Spinatrix ,strong in the market, showed speed to get across from the widest draw, but was only just mastering the third when Spinatrix came by. better drawn lets see if they think the ground suitable for a punt.
Despite being drawn in stall 10, Spinatrix somehow made her challenge down the centre of the track. It was a winning one, though, as once out in the clear she came home strongly with her rider looking stylish in the saddle. Victorious over C/Don her penultimate start, she thrives when there´s juice in the ground. so hoping that forecast rain comes early
Take a note of any money for Pearl Ice 5 yr old 8-06 (drawn 3) has won to my mark of 97 around here on g/soft and gets in well today off 91 same race won by Spinatrix ,strong in the market, showed speed to get across from the widest draw, but was only just mastering the third when Spinatrix came by. better drawn lets see if they think the ground suitable for a punt.
Louis The Pious 5 yr old 9-01 (drawn 4) off a mark of 100 and has run to a mark of 103 on g/frm ground on my ratings.only got the 7th place at goodwood but This gelding has won on fast going in the past and well suited by some ease in the ground . He was runner-up in the Stewards´ Cup consolation race at Goodwood last season, trained by David O’Meara
So what of the long shot profile horses?
well those are not that hard to find - they come from the previous years winner and or the older brigade. Damika in 2010 was 7yrs old carrying a lightweight 8-13 and a mark of 94 (having got a rating (in my book of 94 when finishing third in a haydock sprint 7 days before beaten 4L) well drawn in box 6
The one to take special notice of is Secret Witness, the only deviation is the low draw - ran a cracker off 9-10 at newmarket last time on g/frm ground is a genuine enough animal running within 7 days speed figures, well handicapped today and has that "other" side rail to help
so you place your money and take you chance - watch out for that rain - should be a thriller
good Luck
Bob
So what of the long shot profile horses?
well those are not that hard to find - they come from the previous years winner and or the older brigade. Damika in 2010 was 7yrs old carrying a lightweight 8-13 and a mark of 94 (having got a rating (in my book of 94 when finishing third in a haydock sprint 7 days before beaten 4L) well drawn in box 6
The one to take special notice of is Secret Witness, the only deviation is the low draw - ran a cracker off 9-10 at newmarket last time on g/frm ground is a genuine enough animal running within 7 days speed figures, well handicapped today and has that "other" side rail to help
so you place your money and take you chance - watch out for that rain - should be a thriller
good Luck
Bob
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