The Robin Farms Racing Stewards’ Cup, which takes place on Saturday 3rd August, is the big betting race of Glorious Goodwood’s 5-day meeting. It’s run over 6 furlongs and is always a highly competitive affair with the Wokingham usually the race to focus on for clues, as 10 of the 13 winners since 2000 had run in the Wokingham earlier that year.
Age
3yo: 0-1-15
4yo: 4-9-85
5yo: 4-9-65
6yo: 2-7-56
7yo+: 0-4-52
Horses aged 4 or 5 have a combined record of 8-18-150
Horses aged 6+ have a poor combined record of 2-11-108
Weight
In past 8 years, 29 of 32 places have been filled by horses allotted 8-13 or more.
Official Ratings
9 of 10 winners were officially rated 95 or higher
Recent/Past Form
10 of 10 winners ran in a class 2 or higher last time out
8 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 100+ on last outing
8 of 10 winners had run in past 25 days (2 exceptions had run in last 60 days)
7 of 10 winners had won a race that season
8 of 10 winners had run in 6 to 13 handicaps
10 of 10 winners had previously won over 6F
9 of 10 winners had won or placed in a race worth 20K+ (last 5 won a race worth 24K+) York Glory is the highest prize winner by far at 93K and thats the race to concentrate on
8 of 10 winners had won a race worth 19K+
10 of 10 winners had won a class 3 or higher
8 of 10 winners had won a class 2 or higher
Other Races
Previous year's winner (Hawkeyethenoo): 200 (0-1-3)
Skybet Dash winner (Tropics): 031 (1-1-3)
Timeform "European Champion 2YO" Handicap winner (Hamza): 225726 (0-3-6)
Voyage By Investec Handicap winner (Arctic Feeling): 0001053 (1-1-7)
8 of 10 winners (last 7) ran in the Wokingham, finishing 54700073
4 of 10 winners ran in Infinity Ecosis Tyres Stakes H'cap, finishing 0311
3 of 10 winners ran in Live Pool Info at Totepool.com Handicap at Windsor, finishing 072
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Coral Sprint Trophy, finishing 10
2 of 10 winners ran in the Bunbury Cup, finishing 10
2 of 10 winners ran in International Stakes H'cap last time, finishing 47
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Ayr Gold Cup, finishing 40
Trainers
Dandy Nicholls (2-6-42) trained the winner in 2000, 2005 & 2010.
John Fanshawe (1-3-5) trained the winner in 2007 & seen 4 of his 5 runners make the frame.
William Haggas (1-1-3), Jim Goldie (1-0-1) & Mick Easterby (1-0-4) have both trained the winner in past 5 years.
Richard Fahey (0-3-16) and Robert Cowell (0-2-4) have each saddled multiple placed finishers in past 10 years while Ger Lyon’s (0-1-1) only runner also got placed.
Draw
Horses drawn 1 to 9: 2-12-90
Horses drawn 10 to 19: 7-11-100
Horses drawn 20 or higher: 1-7-83
7 of last 8 winners were drawn 10 to 19
The only horse to win this from stall 20 or higher was Pivotal Point, who won a group 3 and a group 2 in his next 3 races.
Price
8 of 10 winners came from first 5 in the betting
Favourites (3-6-13) have done well, winning 3 of last 10 giving a level stakes profit of 3.39.
Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
- Aged 4 or 5
- Allotted 8-13 or more
- Officially rated 95 or more
- Won a race this season
- Ran in a class 2 or higher in the last 25 days
- Won over 6F
- Won or placed in a race worth 24K+ (ideally won)
- Won a class 2 or higher
- Run in 6 to 13 handicaps
- Ran in the Wokingham at 2013 Royal Ascot (ideally finished in first 7) -
- York Glory Shropshire Dinkum Diamond Rex Imperator
- Ran in Infinity Ecosis Tyres Stakes and/or Live Pool Info at Totepool.com H’cap
- Trained by Dandy Nicholls, James Fanshawe, William Haggas or Robert Cowell
- Drawn 10 to 19
- Hawkeyethenoo won this last year out of the 4 box beating Shropshire by a measly 2l and that one attracts my eye this running today despite having the hoodoo draw in box 21 the hood has worked wonders for this horse the ground is right the distance right and the booking of Ryan Moore for this hard puller looks solid. York Glory is drawn low and has Spencer on board but has to give Shropshire a lot more weight today and take Shropshire to reverse form - Dinkum Diamond finished third behind these two has its ground - the right box and Cathy Gannon on board has not been penalised for that run and if Mr Candy is right has an outsnading chance to reverse the form - this quick track will suite Dinkum who performed so well in the Epsom dash Rex Imperator trained by William Haggas who has a fine record in this race ran a fine race in the wokingham and can be considered a bit of an underachiever
- Clerk of the course says temperatures could reach 24C and, combined with breezy conditions, thinks the ground could "dry out a bit" as the day progresses. BUT Knowing Goodwood going can change rapidly and the wind is blowing well there this morning a downpour could well go from g/soft to heavy - in no time at all - should that happen watch out for money coming for last years speed horse Face The Problem who can handle deep ground - on form has the right box for soft/heavy ground runs well within 10 days
Bob
RESULT --1 Rex Imperator 12/1
2 Ajjaadd 66/1
3 Burwaaz 25/1
4 Racy 16/1
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