Saturday, 7 December 2013

The Becher chase aintree 7th Dec 2013

The Becher chase has a lot going for it and its gonna be quite a race at 2.05 Aintree  with the ground  being given as good to soft with 24 runners  (usually big fields in this )
YEAR
WINNER
AGE
WGT
SP
TRAINER
JOCKEY
RPR

14
10-0
14/1
137
9
10-10
10/1
153
12
10-5
15/2F
144
9
11-12
7/1
159
9
10-5
15/2
158
8
11-5
15/2
163
10
11-7
25/1
167
10
10-4
33/1
139
7
10-1
4/1F
137
8
10-12
11/2
147


And the trend to look for is that the youngsters don’t get a great look in only 1 seven year old in the last ten years off the minimum weight went off favourite for Nichols
Only three runners carried more that 11-00 to victory
 So first off you’re looking for 9 year olds in the mid 10 stone to top 10-00 though the 10 year olds give the biggest price winners and are well worth taking a peek at!
Rating – all 24 horses are within the winning handicap mark so there is little clue there
8 of the last 10 had won over 3miles plus but had only Won in 2 handicap chases but whilst saying that you want a horse that can run up with the pace
Nor does it go to horses with a long layoff – about 50 days seems to have the key and at that to have finished well in a big field and don’t discount the Irish horses  they seem to be getting their act together for this race
Any horse with good forms around here or has recent good form at Haydock in a national trial Normally there is quite a strong market as the race nears – if you fancy something outside of the winning price range – take the place price early on Belfair – watch for it running prominently for a bet in running works well this race
 Animals that foot the bill for front running this track are :
 Walk on is French bred and thats one big key to the race  having won 7 of 28 bred runs in 10 years  went off 7/4 fav here last run unseating after being bumped  and unsettled –that was pure bad luck  but in the Topham chase was beaten only half a length  the problem is the distance of this race is he a true stayer?  Today will tell – is a fine jumper of a fence
Across the bay is a forgotton horse he can stay and he can jump from the front will be very interested in any money coming late for this fella

Gullible Gordon another that attracts the blog eye won by a 28l margin over 3m1f in a minor race here can jump for fun and likes to run prominently. 

Good luck all

 Bob

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