The Diamond Jubilee Stakes (formerly the Cork And Orrery)

The Diamond Jubilee Stakes (formerly the Cork And Orrery) is the second group 1 sprint of the meeting. The race is run over a furlong further than Tuesday’s 5F King’s Stand, which has often been a good pointer to this, though everything will be looking to beat the great Black Caviar, who must overcome the poor record of female horses in this race.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)

3yo: 2-6-31

4yo: 4-7-40

5yo: 1-3-37

6yo+: 3-4-60

Ages of winners have been fairly well spread out, though younger horses have done better recently with last 4 winners all being aged 3 or 4.

3yos won the race in 2008 & 2009 and what they had in common was they both finished in the first 2 in a 2yo sprint at Royal Ascot and finished in the first 2 in group 1 sprint as a juvenile.

Gender

Fillies & mares (0-3-19) have a poor record in this race, gaining no wins and 3 places from 19 runners, which included 7 runners priced less than 7/1.

4 females were sent off favourite or joint favourite:

2011 Bewitched 14th of 16 @ 3/1F

2010 Fleeting Spirit 4th of 24 @ 13/2 JF

2007 Miss Andretti 15th of 21 @ 2/1F

2003 Airwave 2nd of 17 @ 11/8F

Recent/Past Form

9 of 10 winners had run in last 45 days

10 of 10 winners had won at listed level or above (7 of last 9 won a group race)

5 of 10 winners had already won that year (other 5 had run no more than twice)

9 of 10 winners had won over 6F (exception had only run over 5F)

6 of 10 winners ran at the previous year's Royal Ascot (5 of those finished in first 2)

4 of 10 winners ran in the King's Stand earlier that week

8 of 10 winners had finished in the first 5 in a group 1 over 5F or 6F (both exceptions had yet to run in a group 1 sprint)

Other Races

Previous season's winner (Society Rock): 70 (0-0-2)

Record of 2nd, 3rd and 4th from previous year: 3061241 (2-2-7)

King's Stand winner: 130 (1-1-3)

Record of horses that placed in Kings Stand: 530043 (0-2-6)

Lightning Stakes winner (Black Caviar): 130 (1-1-3)

Caufield Guineas winner (Helmet): 1 (1-0-1)

Australia Stakes winner (Black Caviar): 1 (1-0-1)

Coventry Stakes winner (Power): 1 (1-0-1)

Patinack Farm Classic winner (Black Caviar): 10 (1-0-2)

Cammidge Trophy winner (The Cheka): 109 (1-0-3)

Temple Stakes winner (Bated Breath): 2 (0-1-1)

Criterium De Maisons-Laffitte winner (Restiadargent): 2 (0-1-1)

Dubai Golden Shaheen winner (Krypton Factor): 3 (0-1-1)

Previous season's Norfolk Stakes winner (Bapak Chinta): 93 (0-1-2)

Wentworth Stakes winner (Sirius Prospect): 2990 (0-1-4)

Bengough Stakes winner (Royal Rock): 207460 (0-1-6)

John Of Gaunt Stakes winner (Pastoral Player): 00 (0-0-2)

Ballycorus Stakes winner (Fire Lily): 80 (0-0-2)

Prix du Gros Chene winner (Wizz Kid): 56 (0-0-2)

Stewards Cup winner (Hoof It): 088 (0-0-3)

Middle Park Stakes winner (Crusade): 950 (0-0-3)

4 of 10 winners ran in the King's Stand last time, finishing 1400

3 of 10 winners ran in the Duke Of York, finishing 035

3 of 10 winners ran in the Lightning Stakes, finishing 134

2 of 10 winners ran in the Newmarket H'cap, finishing 63

2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's July Cup, finishing 47

2 of 10 winners ran in the Oakleigh Plate, finishing 31

2 of 10 winners ran in the Abernant Stakes, finishing 20

Trainers

British trained runners: 7-13-128

Australian trained: 1-3-9

Hong Kong trained: 1-1-4

Irish trained runners: 1-0-12

American trained: 0-2-4

French trained runners: 0-1-8

Other: 0-0-3

James Fanshawe (1-2-5) saddled Sir Gerry to finish 3rd at 20/1 in 2008 and then had Society Rock finish 2nd at 50/1 and 1st at 25/1 in past 2 renewals.

Aidan O’Brien (1-0-5) trained Starspangledbanner to win it in 2010.

The two Australian trainers with entires have both had one runner in past 10 years. Peter Moody (0-0-1) saddled Magnus to finish 14th in 2007 and Paul Messara (0-0-1) saddled Alverta to finish 14th in 2010.

Draw

Bottom 5 stalls: 3-2-45

Middle stalls: 2-9-63

Top 5 stalls: 4-7-45

Horses drawn in top or bottom 5 stalls have a combined record of 7-9-90, which compares well to horses drawn in the middle of 2-9-68.

Price

No very strong trend on prices but longer priced horses have done well recently 4 of last 6 winners were sent off between 20/1 and 33/1.

Favourites (1-3-11) have gained just 1 win in the past 10 years, giving a level stakes loss of 6.25.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

·         Colt or gelding (though Black Caviar is no respecter of gender trends)

·         Ran in past 45 days

·         Won over 6F

·         Won a group race

·         Finished in the first 5 in a group 1 sprint

·         Ran in the King’s Stand and/or Duke Of York this year

·         First 4 in Oakleigh Plate, Newmarket H’cap or Lightning Stakes

·         Previously finished in the first 2 at Royal Ascot

·         Drawn in top or bottom 5 stalls