Top Racing and plenty of ways to get carried away but you should take a view of past trends when your betting at the royal meeting
The King’s Stand Stakes is the second race of day 1 of the Royal Ascot meeting. Run over 5 furlongs, it was promoted to a group 1 class in 2008. In the past 10 years the race has been dominated by overseas runners with 6 of the last 9 winners being trained outside of Britain and Ireland.
Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:
Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 1-5-31
4yo: 2-6-45
5yo: 3-3-36
6yo: 2-3-32
7yo+: 2-3-33
Horses aged 3 or 4 have a combined record of 3-11-76
Horses aged 5 or older have a record of 7-9-101
Nothing major to be gleaned from the age stats. The two 3yo winners since 2000 had both won or placed in a group race as 2yos.
Gender
Fillies & mares (2-5-31) have done alright in this, winning 2 of 10 and filling almost a quarter of the places from approximately 17.5% of total runners.
Recent/Past Form
8 of 10 winners (last 7) finished in first 2 last time out (2 exceptions finished 4th in group 2 and 6th in group 1)
7 of 10 winners (last 7) posted an RPR of 116+ last time out
8 of 10 winners had won a group race (1 exception was a listed winner and other had twice been placed in a group 2)
5 of 10 winners had won a group 1 sprint (2 others finished in first 6 in previous Abbey and other 3 had not run in a group 1 sprint prior to this)
8 of 10 winners had run 2 to 4 times that year
8 of 10 winners had won a race that year
9 of 10 winners (last 9) had won over 6F (exception placed on only run over 6F)
9 of 10 winners had won over 5F (exception runner-up in a 5F group 2)
3 of 4 British-trained winners had won at Ascot (other was placed in a group 2 and Wokingham here)
Other Races
Previous season's winner (Prohibit): 4748 (0-0-4)
Meydan Classifieds Trophy winner (Monsieur Joe): 1 (1-0-1)
Coral Charge Sprint Stakes winner (Night Carnation): 100 (1-0-3)
Previous season's Cornwallis Stakes winner (Ponty Acclaim): 150 (1-0-3)
Previous season's King George Stakes winner (Masamah): 1006 (1-0-4)
Temple Stakes winner (Bated Breath): 300368 (0-2-6)
Flying Five Stakes winner (Amore Propre): 2070 (0-1-4)
Previous season's Nunthorpe winner (Margot Did): 90538 (0-1-5) (Visored First time today)
Previous season's Abbaye winner (Tangerine Trees): 0670 (0-0-4)
Prix du Gros Chene winner (Wizz Kid): 870
Highest placed finisher from Prix du Gros Chene to run in this: 50087101 (2-0-8)
4 of 4 Australian-trained winners ran in Newmarket H’cap last time, finishing 6111
4 of 4 Australian-trained winners ran in Lightning Stakes, finishing 1111
3 of 4 Australian-trained winners ran in the Oakleigh Plate, finishing 335
2 of 4 Australian-trained winners ran in the Age Classic, finishing 17
2 of 4 Australian-trained winners ran in Salinger Stakes, finishing 43
3 of 10 winners ran in the Prix Du Gros-Chene last time, finishing 422
3 of 10 winners ran in the Prix De Saint-Georges, finishing 214
3 of 4 British-trained winners ran in previous Abbaye, finishing 306
2 of 4 British-trained winners ran in Temple Stakes, finishing 23
2 of 4 British-trained winners ran in previous season's Wokingham, finishing 30
2 of 4 British-trained winners ran in Palace House Stakes, finishing 19
2 of 4 British-trained winners ran in World Trophy, finishing 53
Trainers
British trained runners: 4-14-139
Australian trained: 4-3-14
French trained runners: 1-0-6
Spanish trained: 1-0-1
Hong Kong trained: 0-2-4
Irish trained runners: 0-1-6
South African trained: 0-0-2
American trained: 0-0-3
Other 0-0-2
Record of horses trained in Britain & Ireland: 4-15-145
Record of horses trained outside Britain & Ireland: 6-5-32
Australian based trainers (4-3-14) have the best record of the foreign trainers winning 4 of the last 9, their one runner last year was 2nd.
Robert Cowell (1-0-1) trained Prohibit to win this last year and he is only trainer with an entrant that has won this since 2002.
Jeremy Noseda (0-2-3) and Henry Candy (0-2-4) have both saddled a couple of placed finishers in past 10 years.
Draw (excluding 2005 when run at York)
Horses drawn 1 to 8: 2-4-72
Horses drawn 9 to 15: 7-9-58
Horses drawn 16 or higher: 0-5-31
Horses drawn between stalls 10 and 15 have won 7 of last 9 runnings of this.
Price
7 of last 8 winners were sent off 8/1 or shorter
There have been a few upsets in this race in the past decade with 3 of 10 winners going between 16/1 and 25/1 though in the past 8 years, 7 of 8 winners came from first 5 in the betting
Favourites (2-4-11) have won just 2 of last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 2.25.
Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· Run 2 to 4 times in 2012 (winning at least once)
· Finished in first 2 last time (posting RPR of 116+)
· Previously won over 6F
· Won a group race (preferably a group 1)
· Finished in first 4 in Prix de Saint-Georges
· Ran in Prix du Gros-Chene, Temple Stakes or Newmarket H’cap last time
· Trained outside of GB & Ire, especially Australian based
· Course winner (if trained in GB & Ire)
· Drawn in stalls 10 to 15
· Priced 8/1 or shorter
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