International Stakes 23 July Ascot

The Betfair Summer Double International Stakes is a 7F class 2 handicap which takes place at Ascot on Saturday, 23rd July, on the supporting card of the King George. Trends point towards 4yos that are still improving and ran well at Royal Ascot. It was dry  overnight so the going in the straight course is GOOD and it is GOOD TO SOFT on the round 

Big Field Form

9 of 10 winners had won a race with 12+ runners (exception placed in 28-runner Wokingham on previous start)

All 10 winners won or placed in a race with 15+ runners, clearly this is a race where you want a horse that has experienced and run well in a competitive big-field handicap.

Weight

Horses carrying 9-7 or more: 1-3-8

Horses carrying 9-0 to 9-6: 3-7-46

Horses carrying 8-7 to 8-13: 2-9-74

Horses carrying 8-6 or less: 4-11-101

Top Weight: 00320081030 (1-3-11)

Horses carrying a penalty: 00904005009541020400003 (1-5-23)

Horses carrying a penalty priced 12/1 or shorter: 0405095412403 (1-5-13)

6 of the 13 penalised runners that were sent off 12/1 or shorter made the places (with a further two finishing 5th)

Draw (excluding 2005 when run at Newbury)

Horses drawn 1-10: 4-7-90

Horses drawn 11-20: 3-13-90

Horses drawn 21 or higher: 2-6-28

There is no significant draw bias.

Price

No strong trends on prices though last 4 winners have gone off at healthy odds of 18/1, 40/1, 14/1 & 16/1.

Favourites (0-2-13) have failed to win any of the last 10 runnings and only 2 of the 13 (joint) favourites have made the places, level stakes loss of 10.00.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

·         Aged 3 or 4 (especially 4yos)

·         Had 3 to 5 turf starts in 2012

·         Ran in a class 2 or 3 handicap in past 40 days

·         Posted highest RPR in last 3 runs

·         Won a race this season (or placed in a race worth 40K+)

·         Won over 7F

·         Won at class 3 level or higher

·         Placed in a class 1 or 2 race

·         Won a handicap with 12+ runners

·         Ran in a handicap at Royal Ascot (ideally Buckingham Palace or Royal Hunt Cup)

·         Ran in Victoria and/or Bunbury Cup this season