Tuesday 15 March 2011

Hi Guys - cheltenham yippee Tuesday thoughts 15th March

The blog is well over due for a posting and I am in fighting fit mood to make some cash for the day - things are a bit more controlled and the family feeling a lil more confident and relaxed - thank you for all the well wishes we have received - things are not resolved yet but confidence is rising.
 So racing that's what your here for - Why Is Cue Card such a big price ?- on the form book he cannot be beaten and will take some  more of the bookies cash today - plenty of reasons to have a look and bet with Paddy Power who will refund any other animal bets if when Cue Card wins so its a no lose situation with your thinking caps on - a last-time-out winner has been the way to go as 12 of the last 14 winners had won on the previous start. poor old Dougie Costello will miss his ride on Recession Proof who to my mind is the complete animal its win in the Tote Gold trophy was just sublime. -  Money Back with a win on Cue card - thats fruit and Nuts to me 
 2.05 the Arkle wooooweee given that just one of the last 19 winners started at any bigger than 11/1, the Arkle hasn’t been a good race for favourites, far from it in fact, as just two have won during that period.  Realt Duhb won the Irish Arkle this year and is my main fancy at the moment  but have a hankering for Captain Chris  who takes on Medermit again and today think he can beat him - silly mistakes cost him at Sandown last time when they met. Medrmit has a few quirks and will need some real handling - the way the Captain got after him up the Sandown hill makes me think he can turn it around on the run in today. the jokers in the pack must be the top rated hurdler Rock Noir under McCoy and the blinkerd first time Pipe horse Dan Breene who can really jump a fence both a worthy of a place bet 
 2.40 is not a betting race for me but have some interest in Caroles legacy as an each way prospect as is Rive De Sivola - but this race is  really set up for a gamble in my opinion  and more will be known nerer the off 
3.20 what Can I say - am mad?  but am  laying Hurricane Fly - breeding does not have good omens for this animal its sire Montjeu has a horrible no wins stat for cheltenham - my money is all for Pedlers Cross who is all the blues for me today will win in my opinion and cannot be opposed.


 You can play the cross country at 4.00 but all it is is a fun race  Poker De Sivola for a place bet is all that I can untangle - there just is no angle that will make me confdent on any of these
 which leads me to my longshot fancy in the 4.40 - Banjaxed Girl for twiston bugger these are the notes from last year and her recent running confirms to me the target has always been this race "a former winning pointer she would have to take a high rank in this division if sent chasing next season, but it wouldn´t be that surprising to see her aimed at the David Nicholson Hurdle back here at the Festival next year, as the best of her is possibly still to be seen."


 !!!! NOTE FROM BENS BLOG Only ONE failed to complete the course on their chase debut when your look at the Arkle later


Good luck all enjoy the day


 Bob



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