Sun Chariot Stakes 290912

The Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes Run over a mile for fillies and mares aged 3 or older, the race was upgraded to group 1 status in 2004 and has been won by some very useful horses including Attraction & Dress To Thrill. Sahpresa has won the last 3 renewals, which has slightly skewed some of the trends.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)

3yo: 6-6-44

4yo: 2-8-27

5yo: 1-2-13

6yo+: 1-1-2

3yos have won 6 of 10 from just over 50% of the total runners.

Sahpresa has accounted for 3 of the 4 wins for older horses.

Recent/Past Form

10 of 10 winners had won a race that year

9 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out

8 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 109+ last time

9 of 10 winners had run in the last 40 days

10 of 10 winners had won over 7F or 8F

6 of 6 winners aged 3 had run 4 to 7 times that season

4 of 4 winners aged 4+ had run 2 to 4 times that season

10 of 10 winners had won listed or group race

7 of 8 winners had won a group race (since it became a group 1)

7 of 10 winners had finished in first 4 in a group 1

4 of 4 winners aged 4+ had finished in first 4 in a group 1

Trainers

British-trained runners: 5-16-69

French-trained runners: 3-2-7 (3 wins all Sahpresa)

Irish-trained runners: 2-0-9

German-trained runners: 0-0-1

Irish and French trained runners have gained 5 wins and 2 places from approximately 18.6% of the total runners.

Dermot Weld (1-0-2), Aidan O’Brien (1-0-4) and Mick Channon (1-0-5) have all saddled the winner in the past 10 years.

John Gosden (0-1-1) has seen his 2 runners since 2000 both get placed while Henry Cecil (0-1-3) saddled Chachamaidee to finish runner-up last year.

Price

No strong trends on the prices. 4 of the last 6 winners have gone off between 8/1 & 16/1.

Favourites (2-3-10) have won 2 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 5.00.

 I really dont Know how to rate Beauty Parlour and as such its not a betting race for that one with a layoff of this time - stable jock goes for his other entry?  I am taking a punt on Up who was 1 l behind Beauty Parlour on their meeting over 7flngs at Longchamp - lets hope they keep it to 8 animals for this animal that has hit form  at the right time for O'brien 

Cheveley Park Stake 290912

The Jaguar Cards Cheveley Park Stakes is a group 1 for fillies run over 6 furlongs a There have been top class winners of this since 2000 including Queens Logic, Coronation Stakes winner Indian Ink and 1000 Guineas winners Natagora and Special Duty.

Breeding

10 of 10 winners were born in January, February or March

9 of 10 winners were sired by a horse with a stamina index of 6.8f to 9.6f

Only 1 of 10 winners were by a sired with a stamina index greater than 10.0f

The 2 Invincible Spirit fillies to run in this finish 2nd in 2007 & 1st in 2010.

Recent/Past Form

9 of 10 winners had won at least twice before (exception had won a group 2 & was 2nd in a group 1 on previous start)

8 of 10 winners won last time out (both exceptions were 2nd to a colt in Prix Morny)

6 of 10 winners (last 5) posted an RPR of 105+ last time

10 of 10 winners had won over 6F

8 of 10 winners had won a listed or group race (1 exception won a sales race worth 136K)

 Price

8 of 10 winners came from first 3 in the betting

8 of the last 10 winners have been priced 11/2 or lower with both exceptions being trained by Brian Meehan.

Favourites (4-4-11) have won 4 of the last 10 and show a level stakes profit of 4.13.

Am really keen to back Hoyam in this race and have taken the early price as am hoping she will be backed close to the off  My Notebook Royal Ascot 200612 QUEEN MARY STAKES wow what a finish She took off once asked for her effort and finished in great style, but the winner had gained too much of an advantage. . She is likely to eventually prove the best of these. Looks to be crying out for this 6flngs - her only attempt so far was in the Juddmonte at ascot  where Mr Spencer overdid the waiting tactics to my mind

The Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) 290912

The Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap)  as always will be a wide open affair with 34 runners going to post. It makes up the first part of the Autumn Double with the Cesarewitch to follow in October.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)

3yo: 2-10-69

4yo: 4-8-126

5yo: 2-6-50

6yo+: 2-6-75

Horses aged 3 or 4 have a combined record of 6-18-195

 last winner aged older than 6 was in 1993.

Weights

Horses carrying 9-7 or more: 0-2-27

Horses carrying 9-0 to 9-6: 4-10-83

Horses carrying 8-7 to 8-13: 5-12-135

Horses carrying 8-0 to 8-6: 1-5-65

Horses carrying 7-7 to 7-13: 0-1-10

Top Weight: 050000000000 (0-0-12)

Horses carrying a penalty: 1-7-48

The last 8 winners have carried between 8-7 and 9-3

 8 of last 10 winners were officially rated 91 to 102

 9 of 10 winners had run 4 to 7 times that year

7 of 10 winners finished in the first 4 last time out

9 of 10 winners had won over 1M 2F

9 of 10 winners had won a race with 14+ runners - not many in today line up have done that - Mukhadram has and that was here on g/frm!  and Kings Warrior over 1m2f at york

10 of 10 winners had won no more than 5 handicaps

Draw

Drawn in bottom 10 stalls: 3-7-100

Horses drawn in the middle: 5-11-120

Horses drawn in top 10 stalls: 2-12-100

No strong trends on the draw of the winners. - yesterday the draw in the silver cup favoured the high drawn!

Racing Style

6 of 10 winners were held up off the pace

All 4 winners that raced prominently did so on good to firm ground.

I really like the chances of a few of course! Kings Warrior has plenty of appeal (drawn 5 is a tad of a worry as id his weight today but I figure him to be in for the place market at least - hold a lot of the stats for previous winners Jacks Revenge is a sweet aniumal for this distance and runs and wins in 12+races and was just held at goodwood - is well capable of being ahead of this mark  the top of my list however is  Andriego  who looks to be crying out for this extra distance sired by Invincible Spirit it should well be within its compass and it has a very likable7lb claimer on its back

Today's Selections - 220912

Ayr looks as if the going will turn out to be gluey as the drying conditions continue 

1.45 will be watching for money on the Whipper bred Best Trip  has been tried all over the place but looks a def each way 80/20 place/win bet to me currently 20s Betfair

In the 2.20 I like the chances of Spinatrix filly by Dictat will handle the ground and the distance ran a stormer here and likes the track and you cannot really look past An Saighdiur who is in the form of its life so am dutching these two.

3.30 (see previous post) 


3.10  Newbury - the dubai handicap looks wide open - take a look at First Post out with the rags price - yet likes the ground and they putting it back up to 1m2f under cathy gannon it has run this distance here way back in time (she has won on it at 12/1) and last year this race ran into 4th  off an 8lbs higher mark than today He´s not a straightforward horse, sometimes wandering around, and he did so again this time, but he still ran a big race to make up a lot of ground out- 33/1 is too big for a horse that i make achieved 85 -off 78 looks solid.

3.55 Newmarket - great distance race for you traders Dark Ranger was 2nd in this last year off a mark of 70 and has run this term up to a mark of 87 and surpassing it at ascot was hampered at ascot l-(though appeared to be weakening at the time)  - always look at any horse ridden by frankie when hes down to 8-13 - he has to sweat to get that weight Body Language won well last time from the front it has chances with its running style and I suggest a BTL

 Its a family day for me and will be hopefully back in time for some racing - See you on Twitter?

 Bob

WILLIAM HILL AYR GOLD CUP (HERITAGE HANDICAP) (CLASS 2)

Have gone with the Cheka (20s betfair) to win the Ayr gold cup - really do like this horse -will stay the distance well and can handle the conditions  its last run over 7flngs at Goodwood convinces me it has the profile of the past winners - had been placed in the Grade 1 July Cup and Prix Maurice de Gheest on his last two starts and was back over 7f for the first time this year. Setting his own pace, he looked in command at the furlong pole but the winner gunned him down. He was there to be shot at in front after nothing else wanted to go on. This was a solid effort and has the pace to run alongside Our Jonathan from the middle of the track. 
This race is an exciting lottery but not so much of a lottery as is made out - 

200912 Ayr Gold cup update

Ayr has been abandoned today - what hope for Saturday as more rain is forecast tomorrow - the draw was made today for the gold cup and the racing post is hooting that Our Jonathan has got the plum draw in the 12 box - "was trimmed to within a point of favouritism with the sponsors to post back-to-back wins in Saturday's William Hill Ayr Gold Cup after a seemingly beneficial draw in stall 12 for the big sprint.

RELATED LINKS

• Ayr card 
• Ayr Gold Cup betting 
• Free bets 

The Kevin Ryan-trained five-year-old raced from the same stall when winning by two lengths last year and he is now an 11-1 chance to repeat those exploits.

Connections of the runners drawn out early showed a preference for high stall numbers with the favourite Hawkeyethenoo left to race from stall three as the last of the 27 runners to be drawn.

No horse has won the race from a single-figure draw since Fonthill Road in 2006 with Our Jonathan the lowest drawn of the winners since when he was victorious 12 months ago.

Sholaan was cut to 12-1 (from 14) despite having to race from stall two while Maarek (stall 13) and Waffle (stall 15) are both now rated 14-1 chances with the sponsors.

here is a screen shot from the Visual Form book of last years race  - click to enlarge 

The Ayr Gold Cup Saturday 22nd September 2012

The Ayr Gold Cup, which takes place on the Saturday 22nd September, is the most valuable sprint handicap run in Europe. Run over 6 furlongs, it has been dominated in recent years by Dandy Nicholls. Horses that don’t make the cut for this run in the Silver Cup earlier on Saturday and the Bronze Cup earlier on Saturday  both races can often provide clues to the best place to be drawn. But Dont Count on it!!!!!

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)

3yo: 1-2-30

4yo: 4-7-78

5yo: 3-11-63

6yo+: 2-7-42

7yo+: 0-3-48

Horses aged between 4 and 6 have won 9 of the last 10, though that age group has represented around 70% of the total runners.

Horses aged 7 or older have not won the race since 1993 and only 3 of their 48 representatives in the last 10 years have made the frame.

Weights

Horses carrying 9-6 or over: 2-5-33

Horses carrying 9-0 to 9-5: 5-15-98

Horses carrying 8-6 to 8-13: 3-8-113

Horses carrying 8-5 or less: 0-2-17

6 of the last 7 winners carried over 9-0 including a horse allotted 9-1 with a 5lb claimer. The first 4 home in past 3 years all carried 9-0 or more.

Horses carrying a penalty: 1-6-26

Top weight: 0030092003700 (0-3-13)

Official Ratings

Horses rated 101 or higher: 2-12-78

Horses rated 90 to 100: 8-17-173

Horses rated 89 or less: 0-1-10

In recent years the trend has been towards higher rated horses. The last 7 winners were all rated between 97 and 105, while 25 of 28 placed horses in the past 7 years were rated 97+.

Recent/Past Form

10 of 10 winners ran in a class 3 or better last time out

9 of 10 winners had run in past 35 days

10 of 10 winners had run at least 4 times that season

8 of 10 winners had gained no more than 1 win that season (5 hadn't won)

8 of 10 winners had won over at 6 furlongs (2 exceptions won over 7F)

10 of 10 winners had won a class 3 or better

7 of 10 winners had run in a listed or group race

8 of 10 winners had their last run at Haydock, Goodwood or Doncaster

9 of 10 winners (last 9) had won a race with 14+ runners in it

Other Races

Previous season's winner (Our Jonathan): 050500 (0-0-6)

Qatar Racing Handicap winner (Maarek): 834405 (0-3-6)

Symphony Group Stakes winner (Tax Free): 2 (0-1-1)

Betfair Summer Double Second Leg winner (Imperial Guest): 2 (0-1-1)

Bond Tyres Stakes winner (Sholaan): 002 (0-1-3)

Chipchase Stakes winner (Maarek): 030 (0-1-3)

Stewards Cup winner (Hawkeythenoo): 200 (0-1-3)

bet365.com Conditions Stakes winner (Alben Star): 5040 (0-1-4)

Betfred "The Bonus King" Be Friendly Handicap winner (Cheviot): 08 (0-0-2)

Bullet Sprint Stakes winner (Borderlescott): 00 (0-0-2)

Cammidge Trophy winner (The Cheka): 00 (0-0-2)

Go Racing In Kildare Handicap winner (Maarek): 90 (0-0-2)

Michael Foster Memorial Stakes winner (Justonefortheroad): 06 (0-0-2)

Portland Handicap winner (Doc Hay): 000000 (0-0-6)

4 of 10 winners ran in the Stewards Cup, finishing 0000

4 of 10 winners ran in the Great St Wilfrid, finishing 0042

2 of 10 winners ran in Portland Handicap last time, finishing 40

2 of 10 winners ran in the Wokingham Handicap, finishing 00

2 of 10 winners ran in Buckingham Palace, finishing 18

2 of 10 winners ran in the Scottish Stewards Cup, finishing 40

 Draw

Horses drawn 1 to 9: 3-12-90

Horses drawn 10 to 18: 5-12-90

Horses drawn 19 or higher: 2-6-81

The winners have come from all over the track.  In 5 running's on good or firmer 4 winners came from the middle.

Price

9 of 10 winners (last 7) were priced between 10/1 and 20/1

There has been no winner priced shorter than 10/1 in last 10 years. The longest priced winner in past 10 years has been 33/1 (2004).

Favourites (0-3-11) have a shocking record in this race having failed to win any of the last 10 and only finding 3 places, level stakes loss of 10.00.

we do not have a clue what the ground will be so this is by way of an early posting - will give a summary and my thoughts nearer the day if not the day!

Bob

The kerry national 190912

There is little doubt that the market will be all over the place and is no clearer this morning- ones to note are the Old Vic Sired animals and the one that looks just about right in the profile is Questions Answered as does the mare Our Victoria - would not put you off them - they are solid contenders - Welforth has Geraghty on board which is a big plus and has won its last 2.
 My selection is the mare Our Victoria currently 23/1 exchanges she is a Solid jumper and gets the right profile as a second season chaser who did so well to finish 4th in the 4 miler at Cheltenham on ground her breeding says was too quick - she has never encountered this heavy heavy ground before and it will be right up her street 
 Bob

result ---1 Faltering Fullback 33/1
2 Questions Answered 10/1
3 Start Me Up 7/1
4 Jamsie Hall 25/1

The race was a corker and you have to take Questions Answered as an animal that would have won this doing hand stands with any greater distance of ground by the fall of the very unlucky front runner Whodoyouthink who was running a blinder and simply knuckled on landing 

Kerry National Handicap Chase 190912

Kerry National Handicap Chase takes place on Wednesday 19th September and is the highlight of the 7-day Listowel Festival. It is a 3 mile Grade A handicap chase that has been won by some useful chasers in the past, including subsequent Grand National winner, Monty’s Pass, in 2002.

 the rain was tanking down today so this is going to be a grueling contest  you are going to need a mudlark who jumps well round here and can stayyyyyyyyyyyyy

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)

5yo: 0-0-1

6yo: 2-1-13

7yo: 4-8-36

8yo: 3-6-46

9yo: 1-11-48

10yo+: 0-4-31

Horses aged 5 to 8: 9-15-96

Horses aged 9 or older: 1-15-79

The last 9 winners were all aged 6 to 8.

No horse aged 10 or over has won this in last 10 years from 31 runners (17.3% of total runners).

orses officially rated 135 or higher have won the last 4 renewals and filled 10 of 16 places since 2008.

Recent/Past Form

7 of 10 winners won or placed on last start

8 of 10 winners had gained 2 to 4 previous wins over fences

8 of 10 winners (last 8) had run in 8 or fewer handicap chases

9 of 10 winners (last 9) were second or third season chasers

10 of 10 winners had run in past 50 days

9 of 10 winners had won over 2M 3F or further

7 of 10 winners had won a chase worth 16K+

9 of 10 winners had contested a graded chase

8 of 10 winners had won or placed at a previous Listowel Festival (1 exception had never run at Listowel before)

6 of 10 winners had their previous start over hurdles

4 of 10 winners ran in previous year's Kerry National, finishing 2311

3 of 10 winners ran in the Galway Plate, finishing 665

2 of 10 winners ran in the Topham Chase, finishing 2F

2 of 10 winners ran in the previous year's Munster National, finishing 34

6 of 10 winners ran in a chase at that year's Cheltenham Festival, finishing 544044

Racing Style

8 of 10 winners (last 6) settled in mid-division or tracked leaders

Price

8 of 10 winners were priced between 4/1 and 10/1

Favourites (1-6-11) gained their first win in the race for over 10 years in 2009. Level stakes loss of 5.00 since 2002.

Summary:

Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

·         Aged 6 to 8

·         Carrying 10-10 or more

·         Officially rated 135 or higher

·         Won or placed last time out (in last 50 days)

·         Ran over hurdles last time out

·         Run in 8 or fewer handicap chases

·         Second or third season chaser

·         Gained 2 to 4 previous chase wins

·         Won over 2M 3F+

·         Won a chase worth 16K+

·         Won or placed at a previous Listowel Festival

·         Finished in first 4 in a chase at 2012 Cheltenham Festival

·         First 5 in 2011 Kerry National and/or Munster National

·         Finished in first 6 in the 2012 Galway Plate

·         Trained by W Mullins, E McNamara or A J Martin

·         Ridden by Ruby Walsh or Barry Geraghty

·         Priced between 4/1 to 10/1

Monday 17th September 2012

Great results on Saturday and to quote from Game of thrones - Winter is coming! and with that we will have some of  the best racing for ages as the National Hunt season gets underway  there are some up and coming animals that should see off the old brigade this year - cant wait really

usual monday card today but some animals that attract me mainly Blue Mimosa in the 3.35 at Listowel  under that superbe claimer Samantha Bell - this is indeed a very promising animal only had one run this year where it was given a really easy time of it - true the draw does not help today but Samantha is a very very good judge and i expect it to get a flying start and get across. This animal needs cut and even drying ground wont worry it as it should get no better than g/soft. 

The other is Geanie Mac in the 3.40 1m6f muss card bred from Needwood Blade who throws animals any ground around this staying distance its a horse i really like and its second run for this yard seems to have found the right grade for a race that 3 yr olds have excelled in over the last 10 years and she is the only three year old in it this year - 
 am sure they will both trade around the 10/1 price range and looks like an each way double for me 

 good luck all 

 Bob

well that was a rubbish selections no doubt about it !!!! 
there is one animal that I saw running yesterday that makes me think its got a future -STOLBERG 170912 bumper in atrocious ground - listowel Being ready to win first time augurs well for the future  It was a pretty professional performance as the horse made sustained progress from mid-division to challenge halfway up the straight and find a bit more inside the final furlong. He looked much more of a racehorse than the runner-up and one would imagine there will be plenty more to come. Towards rear, progress from 3f out to go 6th approaching straight, switched left and challenged before final furlong, led far side final 150yds, kept on well 25/1 betfair 16/1 Sp 

The Portland 150912

This is always a cavalry charge and it pays to stick with hold up animals as they burn themselves out in front - the draw assists the higher stalls (drawn 13 or higher have won 7 of last 9 running's at Doncaster.)

Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

·         Aged 5 or older

·         Carrying 8-12 to 9-6

·         Officially rated 94 to 101

·         Run at least 3 times in 2011

·         Won or placed last time (or unplaced in Great St Wilfrid)

·         Ran in last 35 days in a class 3 or better

·         Won at class 2 level or higher

·         Won over 5F and 6F

·         Won a handicap with 14+ runners

·         Previously contested a group sprint

·         Ran in the Great St Wilfrid and/or Stewards Cup/Sprint

·         Ran in Al Rayan H’cap, Scottish Stewards Cup and/or Epsom Dash

·         Drawn in 13 or higher

·         Hold-up horses favoured

·         Priced between 11/1 and 20/1

 The ground is drying all the time and you can expect it to be good to firm by race time 

of the holdup fast finishers 5+ you can include Doc Hayes and Ancient Cross  - (Face The Problem is a good hold up horse aged 4) all well drawn high and all within the weight range  Kingsgate Choice also has the credentials but its low drawn 1 makes it difficult - and as there is no earlier 5fngs it wont be as helpful to see how significant it will be Bajan Tryst was a fast finishing horse in the stewards cup and has lee on board (won on him before)

Picabo from the candy yard is a trail blazer who has improved with every race on g/frm ground - has made all over 6lngs and though up 9lbs from his last blistering run in a really good race i still make this one 4lbs well in - well drawn and has improved every run with the hood . well drawn has the pace for 6flngs and will be able to stay on 

this is an each way race for me and the style of Doc Hay  its staying on ability and recent form says its way overpriced at 25/1 currently 

Triple Crown 2012 St Leger

Was just a kid of  31 years when I saw Nijinsky win the st Leger -looking back all those years  I can still feel the excitement having watched that great horse win the derby so easily. 

Down the same years  this race has held me in thrall - all the greatest jockeys have watched  and animals bursting their lungs to get the extra 2flngs has been my greatest thrill and led to my love of endurance racing.

For an animal to be able to win at a mile then 1m4f and then the 1m6f in the same year in the biggest blue ribbon races is something that transcends betting - record this race and watch it over and over again - go to Youtube and watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DfSLvlDzhkc .

I of course want Camelot to win   no ifs no buts I want it to win  -

 Races that have proven to be worthy of study coming into this have been

Great Voltigeur winner (Thought Worthy): 3151363 (2-3-7) (Main Sequence 2nd)

Fairway Stakes winner (Thought Worthy): 31 (1-1-2)

Racing Post Trophy winner (Camelot): 1 (1-0-1)

Cocked Hat Stakes winner (Michelangelo): 061 (1-0-3)

Lingfield Derby Trial winner (Main Sequence): 340 (0-1-3)

Irish Derby winner (Camelot): 7 (0-0-1)

5 of 10 winners ran in Great Voltigeur last time, finishing 32112

3 of 10 winners ran in Gordon Stakes last time, finishing 113

5 of 10 winners ran in the Derby, finishing 02748 Main Sequence 

3 of 10 winners ran in Irish Derby, finishing 442

2 of 10 winners ran in Grand Prix de Paris, finishing 13

2 of 10 winners ran in the Dante, finishing 22 

These could be the key to the places for the race - the interesting side for you to contemplate is the jocks record of winning over the distance - Frankie Dettori  is head and shoulders above them all with a 24% strike rate over the last 5 years - hes on MichaelAngelo  for Gosden's (Thought Worthy Slight drift this morning) Michaelangelo is currently solid at 12s its form shouts that it is every bit as good as Though Worthy and is in here on merit - Gosden has had this race s its target since june!!!  They both have the assistance of a pacemaker from the yard .

You should not discount Main Sequence when looking at the race his second in the derby was a staying on ride and a massive troubld 4th in the Grand Prix De Paris - a lengthy inquiry - it´s possible that with a clear run he´d have been second at best, (but probably third.) 

So all you youngsters who have not quite realized how big a deal this race is - watch and get hooked on what I consider to be the very essence of the medieval sport of horse racing man and beast endurance and skill -

 Bob 

wait for it! 030912

What a feast of racing yesterday

"Forget form" is well illustrated by the racing at newton abbot - take the 3.10   A valuable hurdle in which those who led or were close up early mainly finished out the back. Pipe had four entries  and won it with PREMIER DANE who maintained his unbeaten record since joining David Pipe, winning comfortably after Tony McCoy managed to get away from the field on turning in. The further the gelding went, the better he looked, and the jockey reported that the horse might go to the Kerry National next.

This horse had only run on soft ground twice (dismally) in fact had performed miserably on ground any softer than good and its optimum distance was 2flngs shorter, at 10years old was the outsider of his four animals .

Tony McCoy,said of Premier Dane:"The pace was slow, so I kicked on after three out - I knew I wouldn't get into trouble from the Pipe family for going to the front! They are thinking about the Kerry National, which may be a good race for him." - Before the race Pipe was interviewed on TV and talked up three of his runners but not this one! I take him to be one of the honest trainers who would not talk down a horse chances and believe he was as astonished as anyone else with the win. 

The animal opened at 9/1 and drifted out to 14/1 - his well favored Ashbrittle finished well behind in third having been backed from 7/2 down to 2/1 favorite 

The flat at Folkstone gave me two winners and that was purely on the basis of the parade looks and a quick look at the form book posted them as I saw them on twitter - my early selections at newton Abbot are not worthy of discussion apart from the bumper and would say to use whatever notebook you have To note Bluegrass Bid taken as my selection with the favorite Too Generous - Bluegrass looked magnificent and calm in the paddock watch and though american bred's are not noted for soft ground it was punted from an early 13s betfair down to 5s. It was ridden for a late finish and in my mind given too much to do such was Richard Johnson's confidence. better ground and that run under its belt will be a winner no doubt about it .

Good luck if your punting today - will be on twitter later for anything I think is a stand out in the parade's  @roberttaylor03

from twitter - My only Paddock pick today  13s betfair (returned 9/1 Sp)

robert taylor ‏@roberttaylor03

Btl Spic and Span who looks really well turned out ffos lass

•   
•  

raymond charles ‏@notaclueray67
@roberttaylor03 think its got snotted pal

notaclueray67 @roberttaylor03 oooh i dunno!!

•  Reply 

@roberttaylor03 yep... well done fella...laser eye treatment needed!! 

robert taylor ‏@roberttaylor03

@notaclueray67 I thenk You Gettttttttttttttttttttt innnnnnnnnnnnnnnn

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