Saturday, 29 September 2012

The Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) 290912


The Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap)  as always will be a wide open affair with 34 runners going to post. It makes up the first part of the Autumn Double with the Cesarewitch to follow in October.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 2-10-69
4yo: 4-8-126
5yo: 2-6-50
6yo+: 2-6-75
Horses aged 3 or 4 have a combined record of 6-18-195
 last winner aged older than 6 was in 1993.

Weights
Horses carrying 9-7 or more: 0-2-27
Horses carrying 9-0 to 9-6: 4-10-83
Horses carrying 8-7 to 8-13: 5-12-135
Horses carrying 8-0 to 8-6: 1-5-65
Horses carrying 7-7 to 7-13: 0-1-10
Top Weight: 050000000000 (0-0-12)
Horses carrying a penalty: 1-7-48
The last 8 winners have carried between 8-7 and 9-3
 8 of last 10 winners were officially rated 91 to 102
 9 of 10 winners had run 4 to 7 times that year
7 of 10 winners finished in the first 4 last time out
9 of 10 winners had won over 1M 2F
9 of 10 winners had won a race with 14+ runners - not many in today line up have done that - Mukhadram has and that was here on g/frm!  and Kings Warrior over 1m2f at york
10 of 10 winners had won no more than 5 handicaps
Draw
Drawn in bottom 10 stalls: 3-7-100
Horses drawn in the middle: 5-11-120
Horses drawn in top 10 stalls: 2-12-100
No strong trends on the draw of the winners. - yesterday the draw in the silver cup favoured the high drawn!
Racing Style
6 of 10 winners were held up off the pace
All 4 winners that raced prominently did so on good to firm ground.

I really like the chances of a few of course! Kings Warrior has plenty of appeal (drawn 5 is a tad of a worry as id his weight today but I figure him to be in for the place market at least - hold a lot of the stats for previous winners Jacks Revenge is a sweet aniumal for this distance and runs and wins in 12+races and was just held at goodwood - is well capable of being ahead of this mark  the top of my list however is  Andriego  who looks to be crying out for this extra distance sired by Invincible Spirit it should well be within its compass and it has a very likable7lb claimer on its back


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