"Forget form" is well illustrated by the racing at newton abbot - take the 3.10 A valuable hurdle in which those who led or were close up early mainly finished out the back. Pipe had four entries and won it with PREMIER DANE who maintained his unbeaten record since joining David Pipe, winning comfortably after Tony McCoy managed to get away from the field on turning in. The further the gelding went, the better he looked, and the jockey reported that the horse might go to the Kerry National next.
This horse had only run on soft ground twice (dismally) in fact had performed miserably on ground any softer than good and its optimum distance was 2flngs shorter, at 10years old was the outsider of his four animals .
Tony McCoy,said of Premier Dane:"The pace was slow, so I kicked on after three out - I knew I wouldn't get into trouble from the Pipe family for going to the front! They are thinking about the Kerry National, which may be a good race for him." - Before the race Pipe was interviewed on TV and talked up three of his runners but not this one! I take him to be one of the honest trainers who would not talk down a horse chances and believe he was as astonished as anyone else with the win.
The animal opened at 9/1 and drifted out to 14/1 - his well favored Ashbrittle finished well behind in third having been backed from 7/2 down to 2/1 favorite
The flat at Folkstone gave me two winners and that was purely on the basis of the parade looks and a quick look at the form book posted them as I saw them on twitter - my early selections at newton Abbot are not worthy of discussion apart from the bumper and would say to use whatever notebook you have To note Bluegrass Bid taken as my selection with the favorite Too Generous - Bluegrass looked magnificent and calm in the paddock watch and though american bred's are not noted for soft ground it was punted from an early 13s betfair down to 5s. It was ridden for a late finish and in my mind given too much to do such was Richard Johnson's confidence. better ground and that run under its belt will be a winner no doubt about it .
Good luck if your punting today - will be on twitter later for anything I think is a stand out in the parade's @roberttaylor03
from twitter - My only Paddock pick today 13s betfair (returned 9/1 Sp)
from twitter - My only Paddock pick today 13s betfair (returned 9/1 Sp)
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