Saturday 29 September 2012

Cheveley Park Stake 290912


The Jaguar Cards Cheveley Park Stakes is a group 1 for fillies run over 6 furlongs a There have been top class winners of this since 2000 including Queens Logic, Coronation Stakes winner Indian Ink and 1000 Guineas winners Natagora and Special Duty.

Breeding
10 of 10 winners were born in January, February or March
9 of 10 winners were sired by a horse with a stamina index of 6.8f to 9.6f
Only 1 of 10 winners were by a sired with a stamina index greater than 10.0f
The 2 Invincible Spirit fillies to run in this finish 2nd in 2007 & 1st in 2010.

Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners had won at least twice before (exception had won a group 2 & was 2nd in a group 1 on previous start)
8 of 10 winners won last time out (both exceptions were 2nd to a colt in Prix Morny)
6 of 10 winners (last 5) posted an RPR of 105+ last time
10 of 10 winners had won over 6F
8 of 10 winners had won a listed or group race (1 exception won a sales race worth 136K)
 Price
8 of 10 winners came from first 3 in the betting
8 of the last 10 winners have been priced 11/2 or lower with both exceptions being trained by Brian Meehan.
Favourites (4-4-11) have won 4 of the last 10 and show a level stakes profit of 4.13.

Am really keen to back Hoyam in this race and have taken the early price as am hoping she will be backed close to the off  My Notebook Royal Ascot 200612 QUEEN MARY STAKES wow what a finish She took off once asked for her effort and finished in great style, but the winner had gained too much of an advantage. . She is likely to eventually prove the best of these. Looks to be crying out for this 6flngs - her only attempt so far was in the Juddmonte at ascot  where Mr Spencer overdid the waiting tactics to my mind

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