Saturday, 29 September 2012

Sun Chariot Stakes 290912


The Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes Run over a mile for fillies and mares aged 3 or older, the race was upgraded to group 1 status in 2004 and has been won by some very useful horses including Attraction & Dress To Thrill. Sahpresa has won the last 3 renewals, which has slightly skewed some of the trends.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 6-6-44
4yo: 2-8-27
5yo: 1-2-13
6yo+: 1-1-2
3yos have won 6 of 10 from just over 50% of the total runners.
Sahpresa has accounted for 3 of the 4 wins for older horses.

Recent/Past Form
10 of 10 winners had won a race that year
9 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out
8 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 109+ last time
9 of 10 winners had run in the last 40 days
10 of 10 winners had won over 7F or 8F
6 of 6 winners aged 3 had run 4 to 7 times that season
4 of 4 winners aged 4+ had run 2 to 4 times that season
10 of 10 winners had won listed or group race
7 of 8 winners had won a group race (since it became a group 1)
7 of 10 winners had finished in first 4 in a group 1
4 of 4 winners aged 4+ had finished in first 4 in a group 1
Trainers
British-trained runners: 5-16-69
French-trained runners: 3-2-7 (3 wins all Sahpresa)
Irish-trained runners: 2-0-9
German-trained runners: 0-0-1
Irish and French trained runners have gained 5 wins and 2 places from approximately 18.6% of the total runners.
Dermot Weld (1-0-2), Aidan O’Brien (1-0-4) and Mick Channon (1-0-5) have all saddled the winner in the past 10 years.
John Gosden (0-1-1) has seen his 2 runners since 2000 both get placed while Henry Cecil (0-1-3) saddled Chachamaidee to finish runner-up last year.

Price
No strong trends on the prices. 4 of the last 6 winners have gone off between 8/1 & 16/1.
Favourites (2-3-10) have won 2 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 5.00.

 I really dont Know how to rate Beauty Parlour and as such its not a betting race for that one with a layoff of this time - stable jock goes for his other entry?  I am taking a punt on Up who was 1 l behind Beauty Parlour on their meeting over 7flngs at Longchamp - lets hope they keep it to 8 animals for this animal that has hit form  at the right time for O'brien 


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