1000 gns 1 may 2011

American bred horses have won 3 of the last 10 from approximately 17.4% of the total runners.

10 of 10 winners were born before May7 of 10 winners won last time out

10 of 10 winners had run at least twice as a 2yo

10 of 10 winners had won over 6F to 8F 

9 of 10 winners were by a sire who finished in first 2 in 6F-8F group 1

9 of 10 winners won or placed first time out as a 2yo (exception was unplaced in a group 3 on debut as a 2yo)

8 of 10 winners had won at group level (1 exception was 2nd in a group 3, other had yet to run in a group race)

6 of 10 winners had previously won at Newmarket (3 of 4 exceptions had yet to run there)

6 of 10 winners were having their first run of the season (other 4 had run just once that season)

Rockfel Stakes winner (Cape Dollar): 00211006 (2-1-8)

Cheveley Park Stakes winner (Hooray): 605171 (2-0-6)

Prix Marcel Boussac winner (Misty For Me): 0201 (1-1-4)

Queen Mary Stakes winner (Maqaasid): 10 (1-0-2)

Lowther Stakes winner (Hooray): 51605 (1-0-5)

Cherry Hinton winner (Memory): 00100 (1-0-5)

French-trained runners (2-2-5) have gained 2 wins and 2 places from 5 runners in the past decade.

Irish trained runners (2-5-29) have won 2 of the last 10 from 17.3% of the total runners.

Trainers who have won it recently with entries this year are , Saeed Bin Suroor (1-2-14), , Barry Hills (1-1-9), Michael Stoute (1-1-9), Aidan O’Brien (1-1-16) and Criquette Head-Maarek (1-0-2), who won the race last year.

Trainers who have not done so well in the race recently include Richard Hannon (0-1-9), Clive Brittain (0-0-7), John Gosden (0-0-7) and Mick Channon (0-0-13).

Price

No strong trends on prices but favourites have done well recently.

Favourites (3-2-10) have won 3 of the last 4 and show a level stakes profit of 1.50 over past 10 years.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

·         By a sire that finished in first 2 in a group 1 over 6F to 8F

·         Born before 01/05/2008

·         Run at least twice as 2yo & won/placed on racecourse debut

·         Run at least 3 times (or unbeaten)

·         Won last time out

·         Had 0 or 1 run this season

·         Won a group race

·         Course winner (or having first run at the track)

·         Won over 6F to 8F

·         Won Marcel Boussac, Rockfel or Cheveley Park Stakes as 2yo

·         Won Prix Impudence or Leopardstown 1000G Trial as a 3yo

·         Trained in France

MISTY FOR ME was forced to skip the Fillies´ Mile as a result of a bruised foot, Won Marcel Boussac, in horrible ground - this was more than adequate compensation. She made the running at the Curragh, but was content to track the leader over this longer trip. Murtagh got stuck in as soon as they turned into the straight, though, keen to make use of her stamina, and she found more when tackled by Helleborine. She has admirable fighting qualities and looks the type that will improve for racing, Will Do for me today

 Good luck with your fancy guys 

 Bob 


.Result 
1 Blue Bunting 16/1 
2 Together 33/1 3 Maqaasid 22/1  Blue Bunting and the american bred  has held up the stats!


 Blue Bunting had progressed from maiden company to win at Listed race over C&D last autumn, but was up in grade and having her first try on fast ground. Held up out of the wind early, she made her effort nearest the stands´ rail and, as her stamina kicked in up the hill, she was able to reel in the leaders and get up near the line. She is regarded as an Oaks filly and that will be her next port of call in an attempt to emulate the same owner Kazzia, who did the double in 2002. She was top priced at 9/2 for the Epsom Classic following this. 


Barefoot Lady was a very useful juvenile but stepped up on that form when winning the Nell Gwyn over 7f here. Up again in trip and grade she ran well, chasing the leaders throughout and,despite being pushed along some way out, kept on when others cried enough.