Saturday 22 January 2011

saturday racing - ascot big races

Haven't been posting as have been inflicted with the dreaded lurgy ( thank goodness had the flu Jab!)
Think that the victor chandler will go the way of the favourite Master Minded but you will be able to see what he's travelling like - impressive as hell horse that has only one way of winning and gives it away by his jumping - if he does not sail over the first few then a lay is on the cards - each race i have watched with him he gives away his well being - if he hangs in the air at the third or fourth jump then i will put a small lay in. The same applies to the still "novicy" Crack Away Jack who is returning from a long lay off - this is the dark horse in the race and with the way other animals have had to stop and start their races with the weather this one has simply come along with the Cheltenham festival in mind. reported to have had tendon problems there is no money for him but if there is a market move then will become interested as Lavelle and money down will be enough to say its fit enough   This is nothing like the race it was now its graded and not many upsets - Pipe did the trick here with the 12/1 shot Tamarinbleu in 2008 with a horse reckoned to be 14lbs wrong against Twist Magic - had won the Boyles sport before coming to win this - The form book says Master Minded for sure  and  the vibes are strong but have also taken the place on Gauvain  BTL who has a lot of plus points for today - sure he did nothing of note in the re routed Tingle Creek but on his day and the yard starting to show some form.
3.30 and a cracker of a race where Breedsbreeze is all the rage but the stats say be careful on steaming in - only 1 top weight has won this in 10 years - only 2 favourite's have obliged to boot. lower weights  who finished in the frame last time out  The Sawyer won it last year and though a decent horse this time of year has it all to do today off this weight - others to look at include moores Panjo Bear who ran a cracker against master minded and actually beat home Imsingintheblues around here the up in distance is the worry 2m5f looks a trip too far but his form is solid with the 7lbs claimer Josh Moore  and my fancy is a big run from Soulard who is running on ground softer than he wants - a really decent Ascot animal who loves to front run and therefore because of the ground is the best BTL in the race

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