Happy still to beat home the layers on the tips exchange but not many days left to do it -- have a horse or two for today but the ground conditions look as if they can change at an instant --- they all have to be in double figures so bear with me if they dont run as expected .
Ffoss lass ground is predicted g/frm which is pretty amazing - the forecast rain has missed it so far and if (big If) it remains like that I am very interested in Pilgrims Lane in the 4.50 3m 1f chase at mouthwatering odds of 20/1 currently betfair. This animal must have summer ground though has won on g/sft this is a very decent race and needs all the help from the ground it can get. It was its run in the Summer Plate at M rasbery showed that he has improved again for Keightly training and retains the partnership tonight with James Derham (3) who rode him for the embattled Harris yard. This track will not worry him nor will his weight but the ground is the thing for him and anything worse that good will be so off putting is well capable of achieving this mark in what should be a pretty fast race Edit Won by Frosted Grape who has to be in your analyser after this - Pilgrims would have won with better ground of tht I have no doubt but had a very hard race in awful conditions for him
6.20 Newcastle and the reverse is true for Red Fama who wants the cut and is a true 1m4f horse well enough handicapped and drawn in the middle of the track in 7 but this is very tight handicap. capable of a big show with these ground conditions methinks Edit - ground was perfect for him and napped it for a very nice 6/1 boost in the table (backed it at 12,5 so happy bunny
4.05 Newmarket and a sly look at Fists and Stone under Hughes is in order as the channon yard starts to fire was 2l behind Big Issue at Salisbury and no chance with him but has had a long layoff before getting to the track at a time when the Channon yard is getting into stride.. candy also has a decent animal in this race in Looking On and I would suggest this as the saver if your interested in punting today Edit - ground was completely unsuitable for both of these looking more like heavy than soft.
Good luck all lets knock those layers off the top of the table
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