4.50 Perth 2m3f hdle g/frm

Click image to enlarge - the selection must be Anibale Caro for me in this but the others are respected especially Right Or Wrong as the each way selection

Good luck today bob

POST RACE -- Not a brilliant selection Annibale Caro - Held up, headway before 3 out, effort next, no impression from last (op 7-1 tchd 6-1) didn´t prove too fluent early on this return to hurdling, but still ran a fair race and would be entitled to get closer when dropped in grade.

Racing post review - WIKAALA eventually came out best and handed his yard yet another winner at the track. He unsurprisingly travelled sweetly into contention and, despite taking time to settle the issue when asked for an effort, his jockey ensured he would not be denied. He is talented enough to win again this summer, but his profile suggests he is one to be opposing again next time out.

Dishdasha, who won the novice chase on this card last season, was 6lb higher than when scoring again at Stratford. That put him up to a career-high mark in this sphere, but he ran a big race under top weight and remains in great form.

The runner-up´s stablemate Rampant Ronnie was returning from a 238-day layoff. He got to the front early as he prefers and didn´t go down without a real fight nearing the business end, so this was obviously a very pleasing comeback.

Spa Wells travelled nicely along with the winner into contention, but his response when put under pressure was limited and it´s not hard to see why he sports headgear.

For the Nutritional therapist - with distinction

Yesterday I was at my local CO-OP buying a large bag of Purina dog food for my loyal pet and was in the checkout queue when the woman behind me asked if I had a dog.

What did she think I had an elephant? So, since I'm retired and have little to do, on impulse I told her that no, I didn't have a dog, I was starting the Purina Diet again.

I added that I probably shouldn't, because I ended up in hospital last time, but that I'd lost 2 stones before I woke up in intensive care with tubes coming out of most of my orifices and IVs in both arms.

I told her that it was essentially a perfect diet and that the way that it works is to load your pockets with Purina nuggets and simply eat one or two every time you feel hungry. The food is nutritionally complete so it works well and I was going to try it again.

(I have to mention here that practically everyone in queue was now enthralled with my story.)

Horrified, she asked me if I ended up in intensive care because the dog food poisoned me. I told her no, I stepped off a curb to sniff an Irish Setter's arse and a car hit us both.

( I thought the Girl behind her was going to have a heart attack she was laughing so hard.)

I'm now banned from the Co-op.

Better watch what you ask retired people. They have all the time in the world to think of daft things to say.

Bob

Visual Form-Book
The complete Horse Racing Form Studio for your PC. All the Races, All the Form, All the Statistics and All the LIVE Prices as the change at Betfair.Full Results with Comments-in-Running since 2001, Daily Racecards, DataForm Handicap Ratings, DataForm Speed Ratings, Official Ratings, Private Handicapping, Efficiency Stats, Trainer and Jockey Stats, Course Maps and info, Draw Bias Stats, Ratings Graphs, Distance Preference Graphs, Going Preference Graphs, Class Graphs, Collateral Form Summaries, Future Form Analysis, Private Notes, Breeding, Owners and Colours, Systems-Analyser, Data-Export, Private Tip-Exchange, Betfair Interface.Have been using this system since 2003 watched it grow and evolve its simply the best and least expensive flat and N.H. interactive form analyser-- and win the monthly nap table and the next month is paid for.
AND NO I am not in anyway an owner or shareholder or anything else for the site - just a dedicated user who knows Facebook Timeform Radio page users will win with the system - and will assist me in winning by comparing analysis with you - give it a try and start posting winner at big prices
bob

JUST A RECAP BEFORE YOU GO ONTO TODAYS RACE AT PONTEFRACT

THESE ARE THE WALL POSTS FOR THE SUMMER NATIONAL YESTERDAY --Robert Taylor The Britannia English Summer National - a listed handicap chase for 5yos and upwards, run over 3M 4F, though up until last year it had been run over 4M + Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
Aged 5 to 8
· Carrying 10-9 or more
· Officially rated 120 to 133
· Had last run in a class 3 chase in the past 55 days
· Finished in the first 4 last time out
·Won 1 of last 2 starts
· Run in 8 or less handicap chases
·Won over 3M+
· Won a class 2 or 3 chase but no higher
· Course winner or having first course start·
Trained by Peter Bowen or Emma Lavelle
· Priced 5/1 to 10/1
Yesterday at 14:29 · Comment · Like · Flag
Animals that fit the bill realy nicely are TEMPLER - LEAC AN SCAIL AND OUZEBECK All well handicapped distance no worry good luck all
Yesterday at 14:35 · Comment · Like · Flag

2:40 - Britannia English Summer National Handicap Chase (Listed Race)
Full result
3m4f, Class 1, £28,505.00
1 Ouzbeck 14/1
2 Brooklyn Brownie 28/1
3 Valley Ride 14/1
4 Minella Four Star 9/1

MONDAY MORNING 28th june __ UGG RACING

THOSE OF YOU WHO SUBSCRIBE TO VISUAL FORM BOOK - GET IN TOUCH WITH ME WE CAN COMPARE RACES AND HEADINGS USED - NEW USERS PARTICULARLY AS I HAVE TEN YEARS EXPERIENCE OF USING THE BOOK - CLICK TO ENLARGE THE IMAGE FOR THIS RACE

today we have really poor quality racing and therefore poor quality animals. have taken the richest race today - the 6 Furlongs race at Pontefract at 3.15, I say the richest its £9,346 which you have to admit is a pretty poor prize money for any day but a Monday! At least in this race the animals will be about the best on offer.

Drawing board is on offer at 13/2 currently -- Channon has two in the race and it will pay to keep an eye on the outsider for him Saucy Buck - its race against Zebedee at ascot class 3 was good in the context of this race

good luck all

Post Race --- gave 2lbs to the favourite and just got beat miles clear of the third beaten by the slight weight and the disadvantage of the box both well clear

The Selections for the Northumberland Cup

Selections for the cup this morning are actually high drawn in the main of the last 10 years (see previous blog) i also notice that this race is hardly ever run on anything but soft or g/soft ground - that may affect the stats for the draw as in the main over 2miles the box does not have that much significance boxes 4and 5 and 14 15 have the highest returns
these boxes are plus in my book
So am very interested in
AAIM TO PROSPER 25/1 on its bril run under Dettori against Junior at Ascot over 2m4f g/frm - had a stinker of the draw that day out of the 3 box and had no daylight until the finishing bend
La Vecchia Scuola has a plum drawn 13 and has major chances at the current 33/1 has beaten Mamlook over hdles and ran a cracker against Dazzling light at chester will be staying on well
And the biggest dark horse in the lineup has to be MACARTHUR currently 85/1 betfair ex Obrien animal that crying out for a distance race has won in top class 1 and look at its run at Newmarket 1m6f pressed leader for a long time then as they came he battled back for 3rd (well beaten) in the last couple of furlongs this is his time of year and is in my book 3 lbs well in for its run over 1m5f good ground at chester out of montjea this animal will stay and is def place potential

good luck today guys (click the Visual Form book page in the post to enlarge the image)
Bobt

Northumberland plate 3.05 newcastle 2miles g/frm 10 year trends

First run in 1883 the Northumberland Plate takes place on Saturday 26th June and is the highlight of this weekend's three-day Newcastle meeting. The race is limited to 20 runners and although it is run over 2 miles, the draw has still proven to be a big factor in the past decade.
Last Year the race was won by Som Tala (4), Age 6, Wgt 8 - 8, SP 16/1 - A Culhane / M R Channon (17 ran)

age - No very strong age trends though horses aged 6+ have won 4 of the last 6.
Horses aged 3 to 5 have a combined record of 4-20-114
Horses aged 6+ have a combined record of 6-11-72

Weights Horses carrying 8-12 or more: 1-12-61
Horses carrying 8-11 or less: 9-19-125
9 of 10 winners (last 7) carried 8-11 or less

Official Ratings Horses rated 94 or higher: 2-13-66
Horses rated 85 to 93: 8-15-94
Horses rated 84 or less: 0-3-26
8 of 10 winners were officially rated 85 to 93

Recent/Past Form
8 of 10 winners finished in the first 5 last time out
7 of 10 winners posted a career high RPR last time out
9 of 10 winners had ran in a class 2 or better last time out
10 of 10 winners had run 2 to 6 times that year
10 of 10 winners had run in last 55 days
9 of 10 winners had won over 1M 6F+
8 of 10 winners had won a class 3 or 4 but at no higher
8 of 10 winners were placed in class 2 or higher
7 of 10 winners had won or placed in a race worth 34K+

Other Races
Previous season's winner: 708 (0-0-3)
Chester Cup winner (Mamlook): 9830 (0-1-4)
Ascot Stakes winner (Junior): 288 (0-1-3)
3 of 10 winners ran at Royal Ascot last time out, finishing 725
3 of 10 winners ran in a handicap hurdle last time out, finishing 102

Trainers
No trainer with an entry in the race this year has won it before.
Irish-trained runners (1-1-5) have found a win and a place from just 5 representatives.
Alan Swinbank (0-2-3) and Richard Fahey (0-2-5) have both filled a couple of places in the past decade.
Brian Smart (0-1-1), Saeed Bin Suroor (0-1-1) and john Queally (0-1-1) have each seen their one runner make the places.
Trainers who have not done so well include Mark Johnston (0-0-10), Tim Easterby (0-0-5) and Brian Ellison (0-1-9).

Draw
Horses drawn 1 to 7: 6-18-70
Horses drawn 8 to 14: 2-7-70
Horses drawn 15 or higher: 2-6-46
5 of the last 7 winners were drawn 7 or lower.

Price
7 of 10 winners were priced 12/1 or higher
No major trend on the prices though longer priced horses have tended to do well recently with 5 of the last 6 winners going off at prices between 14/1 and 33/1.
Favourites (1-4-11) have won the race just once in the last 10 years and giving a level stakes loss of 4.00.


Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

· Aged 6+
· Carrying 8-11 or less
· Officially rated 85 to 93
· Finished in the first 5 in a class 2 or higher last time
· Ran in last 55 days
· Ran 2 to 6 times this year
· Won over 1M 6F+
· Drawn 1 to 7
· Priced 12/1 or higher

Gerry Race 4.30 Newcastle

Click to enlarge

Going is G/frm and here are the pages for your animals
CDG --Course/Distance/Going winner. A 'C' in this column means the horse has won at the Course at some time during its career. A 'D' in this column means the horse has won at the same Distance (+/- 0.5f) within its last 14 runs. A 'G' in this column means the horse has won on the same Going within its last 14 runs.

aSp Average DataForm Speed. The average of all Adjusted DataForm Speed Ratings in the last 14 runs.

bSp Best DataForm Speed. The best of all Adjusted DataForm Speed Ratings in the last 14 runs.

mSp Median DataForm Speed. The median of all Adjusted DataForm Speed Ratings in the last 14 runs.

aHa Average DataForm Handicap. The average of all Adjusted DataForm Handicap Ratings in the last 14 runs.

bHa Best DataForm Handicap. The best of all Adjusted DataForm Handicap Ratings in the last 14 runs.

mHa Median DataForm Handicap. The median of all Adjusted DataForm Handicap Ratings in the last 14 runs.

BPh -- adjusted private handicap Gerry stats

TrC Trainer Strike-Rate at the Course in the last 5 years.

JoC Jockey Strike-Rate at the Course in the last 5 years.

DrA Draw Advantage (scaled -5 to +5).

bPr Best Prize won. The best of all Prizes won in the last 14 runs.

GOI Efficiency on the same Going.

Vdw Total WIN prize money divided by the number of WINS.

MR Master Rating. This is calculated from DataForm Speed ratings, DataForm Handicap ratings, age and exposure to represent current ability. A plus (+) after the Master Ratings indicates either: (1)The horse won with something in hand in either of its last 2 runs OR (2)It was eased or unlucky in running in either of its last 2 runs OR (3)The subsequent performances of horses it raced against in its last 2 runs suggest the MR is under. ONLY really relevant in non handicaps

eMR Estimated Master Rating. This is like the Master Rating except, where a horse has not raced under the current Code, it is calculated from other Codes.

LAT Efficiency in last 2 races.

ALL Efficiency in ALL races.

COD Efficiency in races of the same Code (Flat/Hurdle/Chase).

DIS Efficiency in races of the same Distance (+/- 0.5f).

DI- Efficiency in races of shorter Distances.

DI+ Efficiency in races of longer Distances.

CRS Efficiency at the same Course.

GOI Efficiency on the same Going.

GO- Efficiency on firmer Going.

GO+ Efficiency on softer Going.

cOR Efficiency at Courses of the same direction of Orbit (LH/RH/Fig8).

cGL Efficiency in races of the same Code at Courses with a similar General Level (Level/Undulating).

cBE Efficiency in races of the same Code at Courses with similar Bends (Sharp/Easy/Galloping).

c/R Efficiency in races of the same Code at Courses with a similar Level of Run-In (Uphill/Downhill/Level/Undulating).

c-R Efficiency in races of the same Code at Courses with a similar length of Run-In (Short/Medium/Long).

cIM Efficiency in races of the same Code at Courses with a similar Impedence (Stiff/Easy). Highly relevant in tracks like hexham Carlisle Kelso

cFE Efficiency in races of the same Code at Courses with similar Fences (Hard/Standard).

CLA Efficiency in races of the Same Class (any Code).

CLC Efficiency in races of the Same Class and Code.

Press and hold down the Ctrl key to see the number of runs behind Efficiency Stats. ( sorry you cant do that from the screen print its highly relevant)

there are differnt ways you can choose to highlite this info and have not shown them all (lifes too short)

but I have 8 pages for different criteria.

DOUBLE CLICK TO ENLARGE

Well last night showed the value of using the Visual Form book - Took a small fortune out of the layers have put up the races which advised winners on the timeform page

1 Blue Aura 25/1 2 Sermons Mount 9/2 3 Stamford Blue 22/1 1 The Jailer 66/1 2 Comptonspirit 7/2F 3 Blessed Place 16/1 1 Sagredo 15/2 2 Born To Excel 15/8F 3 Sunny Future 2/1

here are the postings

Robert Taylor Cant go away from this without posting the jjoniel horse in the next at Chepstow really do fancy Sagredo in this small field has all the blues for me in my book good luck have taken all the 10s

Robert Taylor the jailer was the second best drawn horse in the 10 box - the stuffed fav was in 11 !

Robert Taylor Blue Aura place and nativity win in the 6.50 chepstow for me -

Colin Berman

woo woo very nice

Yesterday at 18:52 · · Flag

Robert Taylor

yep I did it to win and place look at all the pretty balloons

Yesterday at 18:52 · ·

Robert Taylor

thanks Col Nativity drifted like a barge so got off layed it and plmped for the winner cheers mate

Yesterday at 18:54 · ·

Nathan Edwardes

wd

Yesterday at 18:55 · · Flag

Robert Taylor

thanks Nathan - back in the game

Prices were amazing - look at the vfb pages have copied for you above these horses were all blue highligted by the programme in my ratings and such a solid line of blue together with my own notes delivered the major payout

I DONT HAVE A VESTED INTEREST IN VISUAL FORM BOOK - HAVE USED IT FOR 10 YEARS NOW AND CONSISTENTLY GIVES ME BIG PRICED WINNERS - IF YOU HAVE YOUR SYSTEM - TRAINERS -JOCKEYS - OWN HANDICAPPING HORSES FOR COURSES - YOU NAME IT THEN GIVE THE VISUAL FORM BOOK A TRY AND NEVER MISS ONE OF YOUR HORSES AGAIN.

Click on the banner for VISUAL FORM BOOK ABOVE - let me know what you think and will help you in any way I can

Bob t

3.45 DOWN ROYAL FILLIES OAKS HANDICAP

CLICK TO ENLARGE
ASCOT COULD NOT HIT A COWS ARSE WITH A BASEBALL BAT !!! - THANKS TO THE TIMEFORM PAGE FOR GETTING ME ALERTED TO SOME DECENT WINNERS !!!! Calm down now and lets get back to bread and butter winning
so today have looked at the biggest prize races and am drawn to the 3.45 at down royal Ulster Oaks fillies handicap stakes worth £23k to the winner --- am looking for a big upset in the race and am betting that Vivacious Vivienne cant give this weight to these - look at the race where 4 met before at Navan -- above (click to enlarge) you will see Vivienne has a massive weight to give Daliyra who finished only a hd behind her-- and dont discount Sugar Baby Love who put up a really good performance in lower grade handicaps and was in a horrible drawn 14 against these carrying 9-06 so am laying the favourite Vivienne and BACKED Daliyra
good luck today Bobt

The Golden Jubilee Stakes

The Golden Jubilee Stakes (formerly the Cork And Orrery) is the second group 1 sprint of the meeting. Run over a furlong further than the 5F King’s Stand, it has often paid to look for horses that were finishing well in the King’s Stand on the Tuesday. (Total Gallery was 9/1 out of the 11 box - never got into the race had been saddled with a Grade 1 penalty for last year´s Abbaye win in both of his starts this spring, finishing fifth in the Temple latest. Better was expected of him racing on level terms again, and his trainer made confident noises, but he didn´t travel like he usually does and was always towards the rear before his rider eased him off. This was not his running. (tried in pieces today)

Price - 5 of 10 winners were priced 16/1 or bigger

Plenty of upsets in this race in the past 10 years and only 3 winners went off at single figure odds.

Favourites (0-4-10) have failed to win any of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 10.00.

Lower draws have held an advantage recently with 3 of the last 4 winners coming from stall 4 or below.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

· Aged 6+ (or a 3yo that finished in first 2 at Royal Ascot ‘09)

· Ran in past 40 days

· Won a listed or group race

· Finished in the first 5 in a group 1 sprint

· Ran in the King’s Stand on Tuesday

· Previously finished in the first 4 at Royal Ascot

· Trained outside Europe

· Priced 16/1 or above

· Drawn 1 to 5

Ok so what's my fancy? well they have been running best out of the high drawn animals so thats were i will stick - though think that of the European you have to fancy Marchant D'or who has a low draw and War Artist drawn high have chances -

but seriously really dont have any great convictions apart from the place market for PRIME DEFENDER - has not done well at ascot in the past but went so well at york 6flngs last time - went off 20/ that day and had been brought out quickly within 4 days to do it - is a three-time winner at Listed level but has always come up short in better company. He´s a reliable campaigner who goes on any ground, though, and he made the most of his fitness advantage to notch his first Group race win at the 20th attempt. this is the first time has run at Ascot with any decent form coming into the race --- will also take a chance on Moores horse in the place market - Total Gallery

this is tricky and no more than a fun race - be lucky whatever you go for

The Wokingham Stakes 4.25

These speed figures are for the top drawn animals click to enlarge (DaS is my rating you can see that Noverre is well ahead on its last run )

Horses drawn 21 to 30 have held the edge in this, winning 6 of the last 9 and the last 3 winners have been drawn 26 of 26, 26 of 27 and 25 of 26.

The Golden Jubilee at 3.45 (the race before) which is run over the same course and distance should also gives us clues as to the best draw.

Price

7 of 11 winners came from the first 4 in the betting

No major trend on the prices, 3 winners went off 20/1+ & 3 favourites won.

Favourites (3-2-10) have done well in the last 10 years, winning the race 3 times and giving a level stakes profit of 8.25.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

· Aged 4 or 5

· Carrying 8-11 to 9-6

· Officially rated 93 to 102

· Run 1 to 4 times this season

· Won or placed last time out in past 50 days

· Posted a career high RPR last time

· Won over 6f or 7f

· Won at class 2 level or better

· Drawn high (21 to 30)

· First 4 in the betting (favourite does well)

ok we are looking only at the high drawn number for this race Genki is the shortest price at 9/1 betfair currently is a 6yr old who has won c/distance second run this season was def ring rusty last time at the start but powered home for 4th beaten 2+l behind Hawkeyethenoo which is tremendous form - could the bounce factor occur here had not run for 203 days and a risky 9/1 though rested for 48 days - if no bounce is the one to beat no doubt.

Am siding with Noverre to Go for a win and place at really good odds currently 20/1 achieved a mark of 92 in my handicap that day and was always holding the field for a very good win on good grnd at newmarket achieving a speed rating in my book of 102 which is wayy better than anything else drawn high today won here 6flngs again with a decent speed rating of 95 as a 3 yr old

am watching the betting on RilyesKeepingFaith

Thoughts on the Gold cup

was so impressed with Rite Of Passage that I made it the horse that will go as far as any after that run. It had never encountered ground that fast before and because it had put up so many great performances over hdles and fences that's where my thinking had him running his best - How wrong can you be -- Had it top joint rated with my selection with the ground being a major minus..

This performance is as good as Yeats ever achieved and that one went on to win again and again.

Would really appreciate Gerry Lennon giving me his views on this performance but will never underestimate this horse whatever type of distance race (and whatever ground ) it is put into - at only 6 years old this is a super star for the next few seasons

Bobt

Gold Cup Thursday - currently g/f ground

The Ascot Gold Cup is the highlight of day 3 and for many the whole Royal Ascot meeting. A group 1 run over 2M 4F for 4 year olds and upwards, it has been won for the past 4 years by the mighty Yeats who will not attempting a fifth win in the race this year.

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)

	W	P	R
4yo	2	6	41
5yo	2	4	32
6yo	4	4	21
7yo+	2	6	31

Record of 4 & 5 year olds: 4-10-73

Record of horses aged 6+: 6-10-52

Horses aged 6+ have a stronger record, however the stats are slightly distorted by Yeats having won the race at 6, 7 and 8.

Two 4yos winners finished 5th in a Classic the year before (French Derby and English St Leger).

Gender

Fillies & mares (0-0-7) have failed to fill one place from 7 representatives however only one of them went off shorter than 12/1 (13/2).

Recent/Past Form

9 of 10 winners had run 1 to 2 times that season

9 of 10 winners had run in the past 55 days

6 of 10 winners won last time out

8 of 10 winners (last 5) had won a group 1 (2 exceptions won a group 2)

9 of 10 winners had won over 2M+ (exception Yeats in 06 was having first try over further than 1M 6F)

Other Races

Previous season's Prix Royal Oak winner (Ask): 2121541 (3-2-7)

Previous season's Irish St Leger winner (Alandi): 1231 (2-2-4)

Henry II Stakes winner (Akmal): 61178903 (2-1-8)

Previous season's Prix Gladiateur winner (Kasbah Bliss): 3123 (1-3-4)

Prix Vicomtesse Vigier winner (Kite Wood): 3163 (1-2-4)

Previous season's Prix Du Cadran winner (Alandi): 421209 (1-2-6)

Yorkshire Cup winner (Manifest): 155602 (1-1-6)

Previous season's Jockey Club Cup winner (Akmal): 22P (0-2-3)

6 of 10 winners ran in previous year's Gold Cup, finishing 312111

5 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Prix Du Cadran, finishing 34135

5 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Goodwood Cup, finishing 11611

4 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Prix Royal Oak, finishing 5111

4 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Irish St Leger, finishing 1421

4 of 10 winners ran in the Henry II Stakes last time out, finishing 9811

3 of 10 winners (all Yeats) ran in the Vintage Crop Stakes, finishing 116

2 of 10 winners ran in the Yorkshire Cup, finishing 16

Trainers

British trained runners: 5-14-100 (all 5 ran in Henry II or Yorkshire Cup)

Irish trained runners: 4-2-14 (all 4 wins were Yeats)

French trained runners: 1-3-6 (all 6 ran in Prix Vicomtesse Vigier last time)

German trained: 0-1-2

Other: 0-0-3

Aidan O’Brien (4-0-7) has trained Yeats to win the race for past 4 years, though his other 3 runners in the race all failed to make the places (all 3 were priced 8/1 or bigger).

Mark Johnston (2-1-8) trained Royal Rebel to win the race in 2001 and 2002.

Saeed Bin Suroor (2-1-20) has trained the winner twice in the past ten years though his representatives have made up 16% of the total runners and none of his 10 runners in the past 5 years have made the frame.

Michael Stoute (0-3-6) has seen his last 3 colts to run in this finish 2nd-3rd-2nd.

Dermot Weld (0-2-3) saddled Vinnie Roe to be placed in this race twice.

Price

9 of 10 winners were priced 8/1 or below & came from first 4 in betting

Not a race to be looking for a big outsider with only 3 horses priced above 8/1 making the places in the past 5 years.

Favourites (5-2-10) have won 5 of the last 10 (4 of last 5) and show a level stakes profit of 1.62 over the past 10 years.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

· Avoid fillies and mares

· Run 1 to 2 times this season

· Won last time

· Won a group 1

· Won over 2M+

· Finished in the first 3 in the Gold Cup last year

· Won or placed in Prix Royal Oak, Prix Du Cadran, Goodwood Cup or Irish Leger last season

· Ran in Yorkshire Cup, Vintage Crop or Henry II Stakes this season

· From the first 4 in the betting (no bigger than 8/1)

· French trained runners respected

Selection each way has to be Bannaby winner over this distance and currently 25/1 in the betting

here is the Racing Post comment of its wins against Kasbah Bliss and Yeats in the 2008 Prix De Cadron over 2m4f good ground DRAN (GROUP 1)

- This was a two-horse race according to the betting, with Yeats odds-on to record a sixth Group 1 win, and World Hurdle-targetedKasbah Bliss the clear second favourite. Yeats, who had warmed up for last year´s Cadran with a victory in the Irish St Leger, was running this time off the back of a fair absence, having not raced since July, when he won the Goodwood Cup. The way he ran suggested he may have benefited from a race since July, though it has to be said that he has never won outside Britainor Ireland. He has run five times now out of his geographical comfort zone, and all five times he has run below-par. Connections will no doubt bear that in mind in deciding whether to persevere with the admirable seven-year-old. All looked to be going swimmingly until the false straight there was barely any change in the order until push came to shove entering the straight proper but Yeats found disappointingly little on ground that shouldn´t have inconvenienced him.

BANNABY, who had finished a six-length second to Kasbah Bliss in the Prix Gladiateur, has finished first or second in his seven races since last November, a commendably consistent run of form, though this was much his best runon his 25th start. He was never far away before taking up the running a furlong and a half out. He edged right and finished on the far rail, but never looked in much danger of being mown down, despite the narrow margin of victory. The ground would have been quick enough for the winner, and he has yet to be tested on faster than good. At five, he is young enough to be campaigned in top staying races for a good few seasons. He´s an entire, so hurdling presumably is not an option for the time being. His trainer indicated he would be aimed at the Ascot Gold Cup in 2009. (did not run)

His recent form has been over 1m7f on good ground in May - Held up in midfield going well, smooth headway 4f out to join leaders, led inside final furlong, easily

the ground has to be the worry for this animal but in every other regard has an outstanding chance of reaching the frame at big odds

good luck all - now all you have to do is get the tricast"

Bob t