These speed figures are for the top drawn animals click to enlarge (DaS is my rating you can see that Noverre is well ahead on its last run )Horses drawn 21 to 30 have held the edge in this, winning 6 of the last 9 and the last 3 winners have been drawn 26 of 26, 26 of 27 and 25 of 26.
The Golden Jubilee at 3.45 (the race before) which is run over the same course and distance should also gives us clues as to the best draw.
7 of 11 winners came from the first 4 in the betting
No major trend on the prices, 3 winners went off 20/1+ & 3 favourites won.
Favourites (3-2-10) have done well in the last 10 years, winning the race 3 times and giving a level stakes profit of 8.25.
Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· Aged 4 or 5
· Carrying 8-11 to 9-6
· Officially rated 93 to 102
· Run 1 to 4 times this season
· Won or placed last time out in past 50 days
· Posted a career high RPR last time
· Won over 6f or 7f
· Won at class 2 level or better
· Drawn high (21 to 30)
· First 4 in the betting (favourite does well)
ok we are looking only at the high drawn number for this race Genki is the shortest price at 9/1 betfair currently is a 6yr old who has won c/distance second run this season was def ring rusty last time at the start but powered home for 4th beaten 2+l behind Hawkeyethenoo which is tremendous form - could the bounce factor occur here had not run for 203 days and a risky 9/1 though rested for 48 days - if no bounce is the one to beat no doubt.
Am siding with Noverre to Go for a win and place at really good odds currently 20/1 achieved a mark of 92 in my handicap that day and was always holding the field for a very good win on good grnd at newmarket achieving a speed rating in my book of 102 which is wayy better than anything else drawn high today won here 6flngs again with a decent speed rating of 95 as a 3 yr old
am watching the betting on RilyesKeepingFaith
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