Saturday 19 June 2010

The Golden Jubilee Stakes

The Golden Jubilee Stakes (formerly the Cork And Orrery) is the second group 1 sprint of the meeting. Run over a furlong further than the 5F King’s Stand, it has often paid to look for horses that were finishing well in the King’s Stand on the Tuesday. (Total Gallery was 9/1 out of the 11 box - never got into the race had been saddled with a Grade 1 penalty for last year´s Abbaye win in both of his starts this spring, finishing fifth in the Temple latest. Better was expected of him racing on level terms again, and his trainer made confident noises, but he didn´t travel like he usually does and was always towards the rear before his rider eased him off. This was not his running. (tried in pieces today)


Price - 5 of 10 winners were priced 16/1 or bigger

Plenty of upsets in this race in the past 10 years and only 3 winners went off at single figure odds.

Favourites (0-4-10) have failed to win any of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 10.00.

Lower draws have held an advantage recently with 3 of the last 4 winners coming from stall 4 or below.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

· Aged 6+ (or a 3yo that finished in first 2 at Royal Ascot ‘09)

· Ran in past 40 days

· Won a listed or group race

· Finished in the first 5 in a group 1 sprint

· Ran in the King’s Stand on Tuesday

· Previously finished in the first 4 at Royal Ascot

· Trained outside Europe

· Priced 16/1 or above

· Drawn 1 to 5


Ok so what's my fancy? well they have been running best out of the high drawn animals so thats were i will stick - though think that of the European you have to fancy Marchant D'or who has a low draw and War Artist drawn high have chances -

but seriously really dont have any great convictions apart from the place market for PRIME DEFENDER - has not done well at ascot in the past but went so well at york 6flngs last time - went off 20/ that day and had been brought out quickly within 4 days to do it - is a three-time winner at Listed level but has always come up short in better company. He´s a reliable campaigner who goes on any ground, though, and he made the most of his fitness advantage to notch his first Group race win at the 20th attempt. this is the first time has run at Ascot with any decent form coming into the race --- will also take a chance on Moores horse in the place market - Total Gallery


this is tricky and no more than a fun race - be lucky whatever you go for

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