The Darley Yorkshire Oaks is the highlight of day 3 of York’s Ebor meeting on Thursday 19th August. Run over a mile and a half for fillies and mares the race is the first chance for the older horses to take on the classic generation over the Oaks trip. Older horses must concede 10lbs to their younger rivals.
Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 runnings (1999 to 2009):
Age
| W | P | R |
3yo | 6 | 11 | 56 |
4yo | 3 | 5 | 25 |
5yo+ | 1 | 0 | 2 |
6 of 10 winners were aged 3 but that is hardly surprising seeing as they have represented approximately 67.5% of the runners.
The three 4yos to have won the race in the past 10 runnings had run in it the year before (finishing 1st, 4th and 2nd).
Recent Form
7 of 10 winners won last time out (2 of 3 exceptions were placed in a group 2, other was unplaced in the Eclipse)
7 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR last time out
9 of 10 winners ran in a group 1 or 2 last time out
10 of 10 winners had run 2 or more times that season
10 of 10 winners had won over 1M 2F or further
7 of 10 winners had won a group 1 (2 exceptions had won a group 2, other was 2nd on only previous run in group company)
5 of 10 winners won or placed at York (other 5 had yet to run at the track)
Other Races
Previous season's winner (Dar Re Mi): 1 (1-0-1)
Irish Oaks winner (Snow Fairy): 11112 (4-1-5)
Epsom Oaks winner (Snow Fairy): 1247412 (2-2-7)
Nassau Stakes winner (Midday): 411 (2-0-3)
Lancashire Oaks winner (Barshiba): 85282034 (0-2-8)
Middleton Stakes winner (Sariska): 06 (0-0-2)
Previous season's Filles Mile winner (Hibaayeb): 00 (0-0-2)
Ribblesdale winner (Hibaayeb): 4547 (0-0-4)
5 of 6 winners aged 3 ran in the Epsom Oaks, finishing 14812
4 of 6 winners aged 3 won the Irish Oaks
4 of 10 winners ran in the Musidora as a 3yo, finishing 1112
2 of 10 winners ran in previous season's Prix de Royallieu, 83
Trainers
British trained runners: 7-13-57
Irish trained runners: 2-1-17
German/Italian trained runners: 1-1-4
French trained runners: 0-1-5
Michael Stoute (4-2-10) has won 4 of the last 10 runnings of this race and the record of his first string is 4 wins and 2 seconds from 7 runners.
Aidan O’Brien (2-0-11) has won 2 of the last 3 runnings of this race at York.
Henry Cecil (1-3-5) last won the race in 1999, and has seen 4 of his 5 runners in the past 10 runnings make the frame.
John Gosden (1-2-4) trained Dar Re Mi to win the race last year and has seen 3 of his 4 runners make the places. Saeed Bin Suroor (1-0-5) is the only other trainer with an entrant to have won the race since 1999.
Price
8 of 10 winners came from the first 2 in the betting
There has only been one winner priced higher than 13/2 since 1999.
Favourites (5-2-10) have won 5 of the last 10 but show a level stakes loss of 0.30.
Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· 3yo who won Irish Oaks or older horse who ran in this in '09
· Won last time out
· Won over 1M 2F+
· Won a group 1
· From first 2 in the betting
· Trained by M Stoute, A O’Brien, J Gosden or H Cecil
Post Race A tremendous edition of the Yorkshire Oaks appeared in prospect, featuring two Epsom Oaks winners in opposition for the first time since Love Divine and Ramruma found Petrushka too good in this race a decade ago. Both Sariska and Snow Fairy had followed up in the Irish Oaks, while the last two Epsom runners-up, Midday and Meeznah, were also in the field. Last year´s winner Dar Re Mi and French star Sarafina were the only notable absentees, that is until Sariska decided to plant herself in the stalls,stripping the race of a fair bit of interest. She has not done anything like this before and hopefully she can still enjoy a fruitful autumn campaign.
The pace was solid and the first four home comprised the last quartet when the field turned intothe home straight, where they headed for the stands´ side once more. The time was half a second outside the standard.
MIDDAY had been beaten by Sariska on each of the three times they had met, but came out just the better filly at the weights on their running here in May and it is a shame we were denied a fourth clash. With her old rival out of the way the path was smoothed for her to pick up her fourth win in the highest grade, but she produced a brilliant performance and Sariska might well have had her work cut out to beat her. Tackling 1m4f for the first time since last year´s Irish Oaks, she travelled strongly, quickened up in awesome style and was already clear when drifting to her left inside the final furlong.
She still looks to be improving and is well up to adding further successes at the top level. Her trainer is keen to keep her against her own sex, which would rule out the Arc, but she is in the Prix Vermeille and the Prix l´Opera, both at Longchamp, and her primary target is another Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf at Santa Anita. That race is over 1m3f this year, which is another plus.
The quickening ground was thought to be ideal for Snow Fairy, who had not been totally at home in yielding conditions at the Curragh despitebolting up there by eight lengths. With Richard Hughes replacing the injured Ryan Moore, she travelled as strongly as the winner into the straight, but after following the older filly through she had no answer to her turn of foot. The seventh Epsom Oaks winner to be beaten here since 1997 - it happened to Sariska 12 months ago - she was unable to complete the Oaks ´treble´ most recently achieved by Alexandrova four years ago, but lost nothing in defeat against a top-notch opponent and cemented her superiority over Meeznah. The St Leger remains an option, but there might be stronger stayers there.
Sir Michael Stoute persuaded the owners that Eleanora Duse should run here rather than in the Galtres Stakes, and the filly repaid their faith with a fine effort. She was taking a big hike in class after winning her owners´ money back in the Listed Ballymacoll Stud Stakes at Newbury in June, but is clearly an improving filly who was well at home with the step up to 1m4f for the first time.
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