Saturday 30 July 2011

Nassau Stakes 3.10

Not much to go on from the ages of winners. 3yo have won 6 of the last 10 but have represented 53% of the total runners.But today there is only one 3 yr old Barefoot lady(was a very very creditable 5th to Blue Bunting) she comprehensibly beat Misty for Me in that contest! and you have to say the 3 yr old's are showing really good form this year and could well be ahead of their older rivals and has an eight Pounds pull in the weights 
All 4 winners aged 4+ were multiple group 1 winners.

Recent Form
9 of 10 winners had won 1 of last 2 starts (exception placed in Eng/Ir Oaks on last 2 starts)
7 of 10 winners finished in first 3 last time (3 exceptions unplaced in a group 1)
8 of 10 winners had run 2 to 5 times that season
9 of 10 winners had won a group race over 1M to 1M 2F (exception placed in English & Irish Oaks on last 2 starts)
7 of 10 winners had won a group 1 (1 exception had finished 2nd in a group 1 and other two were group 2 or 3 winners)
  Am taking a chance on the 3 yr old based  Barefoot Lady on its defeat of Misty For Me who went on to win the irish 1000 gns she looks Taylor maid (sic) for this 1m2f was a very useful juvenile but stepped up on that form when winning the Nell Gwyn over 7f  Up again in trip and grade she ran well, chasing the leadersthroughout and, despite being pushed along some way out, kept on when others cried enough.In touch, ridden and unable to quicken 3f out, outpaced over 2f out, rallied under pressure and edging right over 1f out, no chance but stayed on steadily final furlong (tchd 14-1) She Ran a cracker in the Musidora and has the form for a big upset at a big prices against animals that are more suited by 1m4f Misty for Me would have been the favourite for this race to make me feel even more confident 

 good luck today guys

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