Saturday 30 July 2011

Steward's Cup 3.45

The last 9 winners of this race were aged 4 or 5
Horses aged 6+ have a poor combined record of 1-12-104 
Weight
Horses carrying 9-4 or more: 2-6-64
Horses carrying 8-9 to 9-3: 7-16-146
Horses carrying 8-8 or less: 1-8-67
7 of 10 winners (last 4) carried between 8-9 and 9-3, from approximately 53% of the total runners
Horses carrying a penalty: 2-4-42 (Hoof it -  Secret Asset -  Kanaf)
Top weight: 0080056030 (0-1-11)
Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners ran in a class 2 or better last time out
8 of 10 winners had run in past 25 days (2 exceptions ran in past 60 days)
7 of 10 winners had won a race that season
8 of 10 winners had run in 10 to 22 handicaps
9 of 10 winners had won no more than 3 handicaps
10 of 10 winners had previously won over 6F
9 of 10 winners had won or placed in a race worth 20K or more
9 of 10 winners had won a class 3 or higher
Previous year's winner (Evens And Odds): 20 (0-1-2)
Ritz Club Handicap winner (Medicean Man): 10 (1-0-2)
Sportingbet.com Stakes handicap winner (Hoof It): 160 (1-0-3)
Investec Specialist Bank H'cap winner (Swiss Cross): 000105 (1-0-6)
Al Rayan Handicap winner (Pastoral Player): 22572 (0-3-5)
Newcastle totescoop6 H'cap winner (Edinburgh Knight): 3792 (0-2-4)
Bond Tyres Stakes winner (Lexi's Hero): 4 (0-1-1)
Hampshire Society Stakes winner (Crown Choice): 30 (0-1-2)
Skybet Dash winner: 03 (0-1-2)
Scottish Stewards Cup winner (Quest For Success): 0036 (0-1-4)
Ayr Silver Cup winner (Colonel Mak): 500 (0-0-3)
Gosford Park Cup winner (Ancient Cross): 0500 (0-0-4)
7 of 10 winners ran in the Wokingham, finishing 8547000
Draw (data updated for new stall ordering)
Horses drawn 1 to 9: 2-13-90
Horses drawn 10 to 19: 7-9-100
Horses drawn 20 or higher: 1-8-87
7 of 10 winners (last 6) were drawn 10 to 19
The only horse to win this from stall 20 or higher was Pivotal Point, who won a group 3 and a group 2 in his next 3 races.
No very strong trends on prices as while 7 of 10 winners came from first 5 in the betting, the last 3 winners were priced 40/1, 14/1 & 20/1.
Favourites (2-5-15) have won 2 of the last 10 giving a level stakes loss of 0.36 over the past 10 years.

 Well its a nightmare of a race and as thrilling as you will get for your money - I have a fancy that Kanaf is the great each way shout out of stall 20 has a 6lbs excess to carry today under Chris Catlin for Dunlop -  His run at Ascot  in a class 3 6flngs sprint was electric The stands´ rail did not look particularly advantageous, yet all 15 runners congregated towards the near side of the track, before fanning out towards the middle late on. This looked a good, quite competitive sprint handicap, but KANAF was much the best and  evidently ahead of his mark.  He was a major eyecatcher under a tender ride when well behind on his comeback at Goodwood over an inadequate 5flngs, and again wasn´t given a particularly hard time when going a lot closer at Yarmouth , but he stepped up on those efforts to confirm the promise of his 3-y-o campaign. The return to this  course over the 6flngs out of a decent draw and the excellent form of Dunlop yard and surface probably can give the more fancied runners a fright and the current 25s is being steadily taken.


 Love to hear what you think


1 comment:

Unknown said...

Kanaf ran a blinder and the only draw of my bets posted but backed all three carrying a penalty for nearly break even for the day (not the week)