Irish Grand National Day at Fairyhouse The race happens much later than usual this year, which means there’s a greater gap between it and its Aintree equivalent, and that could mean we see a few more runners make the journey over.
Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· Irish or French bred
· Aged 6 to 9 (ideally 7 or 8)
· Carrying 10-8 or less
· Officially rated 125 to 136
· Won over 3M+
· Run at least twice this season & run in the past 50 days
· Won at a right-handed track
· Run in 6 to 13 chases (winning 2 to 4)
· Contested no more than 9 handicap chases
· Won a class 2 or higher chase worth 19K+
· Ran in this season’s Paddy Power Handicap Chase
· Finished in first 4 in last season’s Hugh McMahon Novice Chase
· Had first run in a bumper/hurdle/point to point
· Trained in Great Britain
· Trained by D T Hughes, A J Martin, O McKiernan or M Hourigan
Price
It has been a race for outsiders recently with 5 of the last 7 winners being sent off between 20/1 and 33/1.
Favourites (0-2-12) have gained no wins and just 2 places in the past 10 years, giving a level stakes loss of 10.00.
Love this race for calling up big price winners and am going for a trend we have seen so much this year in a horse coming here with the right credentials that has been hurdling to keep its handicap mark down
that horse is Caim Hill - Previous season's Hugh McMahon Chase winner has had three runs over hdles this year 2 wins over right handed tracks and value in its first handicap at 136 which it has already achieved over 3miles on good ground and 23k on soft - Won five bumper/hurdle races in a row earlier in career; and chases around this time last year shaping with promise at Gowran latest; been nibbled at in market blinkers tried first time.
Bob
No comments:
Post a Comment