Monday, 25 April 2011

Irish national - numerical representation of trend stats April 2011

 TOTAL name and weight 
 70         Synchronised 11-8 
 25         Or Noir De Somoza 11-5 
 54        Backstage 10-9 
 81        Hughies Grey 10-9 
 48        Quantitativeeasing 10-9  If going off fav reduce by 10 2nd Back in the limelight with What A Charm at Cheltenham, Arthur Moore did it again with ORGANISEDCONFUSION, who became the first six-year-old to win the race since Rhyme ´N Reason in 1985. It was a victory that adds further substance to an outstanding family tradition in the race.

A good run when third in the Leopardstown Chase provided a strong hint that Organisedconfusion was developing into a promising stayer, and Moore continued his preparations with two outings over much shorter trips, resulting in a win in a conditions chase and a near-miss over hurdles that applied the finishing touches.

Stamina never looked like being a problem, and having hit the front between the last two, he got some help from the company of a loose horse in staying on strongly from the final fence.

As Moore observed, he is not going to be an easy horse to place after this, but with relative youth on his side there is a realistic chance that there will be more big days for him in the future.
 51        Quiscover Fontaine 10-9 
 57        See U Bob 10-8 
 53       Whatuthink 10-7 
 26       Shakervilz 10-6 
 33       Sunnyhillboy 10-6  3rd - There was good support for Sunnyhillboy, a former smart handicap hurdler who has been quite sparingly raced since finishing second in last year´s Byrne Group Plate at Cheltenham. Recovering after meeting interference four out, he kept on best of the McManus runners.
 55       Western Charmer 10-6  2nd - Western Charmer is three years older than the winner, but this was a cracking effort by the second-season novice competing in his first handicap chase. He was ridden in touch with the pace set by one of his stablemates and maintained his effort in game fashion after a brief spell in the lead.
 57       Prince Erik 10-5  if going off fav reduce by 10
 68       Caim Hill 10-3 
 81      Golden Kite 10-2
53      Kilcrea Castle 10-1 
 43      Sarteano 10-1 
 65      Some Target 10-1 
 34     Sebadee 10-0 
 58      Deal Done 9-13 
 59      Organisedconfusion 9-13  had a hdles run last time and worthy of a bet
 66      The Last Derby 9-13 
 67      A New Story 9-12 
66      Ambobo 9-11 
 63     Saddlers Storm 9-11 
 57      Pomme Tiepy 9-10  NR
 60      Beautiful Sound 9-10  NR
 67      Hold The Pin 9-10 NR

I have napped Caim Hill but have also puts small each way wagers on the two top rated 81        Hughies Grey 10-9  and       81    Golden Kite 10-2

will be able to see if these weightings are relevant and that the point of the exercise really - have only done this once before and If had followed them instead of instinct would have backed the winner of the 365 on Saturday !
Result  - Organisedconfusion

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