Perth Festival -( from Bens Blog) and Sagaro Stakes Ascot 270411

At the past 5 Perth April festival's (2006 - 2010) there have only been THREE winners priced at 20-1 or bigger; 1 at 20-1, 1 at 25-1 and 1 at 33-1. 

So from the 99 winners at the festival over the past 5 seasons only 3 have started at 20-1 or bigger. On the win side at least the outsiders really are 'the outsiders'. Without digging into it in great detail I would assume the bigger priced horses come from the smaller yards and they really struggle to match the firepower of the bigger yards that tend to make the journey north for this 3 day extravaganza.

sign into his blog for the Telling Stats

http://www.narrowing-the-field.com/2011/04/perth-pointers-trainers-stats-for.html

And another site -http://www.richardhannonracing.tv/news.php

 Hannon wrote the following --- Ascot today The Queen's Free Agent runs in the Sagaro Stakes. He was caught on the line by The Betchworth Kid in the Further Flight Stakes at Nottingham, but the winner had been hurdling and was probably a bit fitter than we were, so we go there hopeful of revenge. If Free Agent wins we will have to think about the Royal meeting, though whether it is the Gold Cup or something else we'll see. 

Free Agent was nutted on the post last time and both Akmal and Askar Tau ran absolute stormers as well - at least as both Free Agent and Betchworth kid - this is going to be some race now upped to 2miles from that 1m6f  the ground will favour Akmal and Askar Tau more than the others 

Past winners favour the lower weights with more winners below  9-0 stone

AGE	WGT	SP	TRAINER	JOCKEY
7	9-1	16/1	William Knight	Jim Crowley
4	8-11	2/5F	Sir Michael Stoute	Ryan Moore
5	9-1	4/1	Alan King	Richard Hughes
6	9-0	9/2	Amanda Perrett	Darryll Holland
9	9-2	4/1	Sir Michael Stoute	Kieren Fallon
10	8-13	5/1	Hughie Morrison	Micky Fenton
4	8-12	11/2	E Lellouche	Dominique Boeuf
8	8-13	7/2	Hughie Morrison	Micky Fenton
5	8-12	8/1	John Dunlop	Frankie Dettori
7	8-12	20/1	Amanda Perrett	M J Kinane  good luck today   Bob Result  1 Askar Tau 4/1  2 Akmal 8/1 3 Free Agent 7/2  Ex £41.10 CSF £34.88