No strong trends here with the ages of the winners being fairly evenly spread out.
Fillies/mares (2-4-18) have done well in this group 1, gaining 2 wins and filling 20% of the places from just 13% of the total runners.
Recent/Past Form
7 of 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time (2 of 3 exceptions unplaced in a group 1 on previous start)
10 of 10 winners had run at least twice that season
8 of 10 winners (last 7) achieved highest MR in last 3 runs
9 of 10 winners had won a listed race or higher (exception 2nd in a group 1)
6 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 in a group 1 in past 2 starts
9 of 10 winners had won over 6F or 7F (exception won Nunthorpe last time)
7 of 10 winners were priced between 9/1 and 25/1
There have been plenty of double-figure priced winners, including the last 2.
Favourites (2-2-10) have won just 2 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 1.75.
you are looking for a horse:
· Fillies & mares do well
· Run at least twice in 2011
· Finished first or 2nd last time out
· Achieved highest Mr in last 3 starts
· Won a listed race or higher
· Finished in first 3 in a group 1 in past 2 runs
· Won over 6F or 7F
· Ran in a group 1 sprint at Royal Ascot
· Ran in Temple and/or Hackwood Stakes this season
· Finished in first 4 in Nunthorpe or Maurice Du Gheest last time ( Kingsgate Native ran a blinder to get 4th in the race had won the Nunthorpe if you fancy Hoof It take a look at the stats for this one too
· Drawn in top 5 stalls
· Trained in Britain
Blogged the winner in this race last year Markab won so well - blogged it 040910 betfred sprint cup won so well 7 yr old just danced away from them Joker in the pack ---Markab age 7 drawn 14 2nd to Equiano ascot 150610 from a poor draw 14/1 king stand stakes Markab was fourth in the Wokingham at last year´s Royal meeting and only gained his first Group win last month. He had never run at the top level, nor had he raced over the minimum trip, but ran a cracker. Leading the group of five who raced away from the rail, he moved into second place overall with a furlong left and battled on willingly, although never able to reach the winner. Sure to be suited by a step back up in trip to this 6flngs today
The form horse today has to be Fanshaws Society Rock who holds all the key stats and the rain may well help as it patters down at Haydock draw not that hot but does have the best rating for a soft ground 6flngs horse. will it rain enough?
Will be taking my chances with Sole Power who does run well within 10 days and is brought over after its brilliant run behind Candy's Amore Propre last Sunday has a similar profile to last years winner stepping up to 6flngs he won the Nunthorpe(66/1) and theTemple stakes last year - you also have to respect the visits that Lynham makes to these shores.
The thing is he is over 6flngs today and Lynham has been quoted as saying "I will never run him over 6flngs again" back in march last year.. I am hoping that the flatter track its blistering late run and its run last week will show the 6flngs is his for the taking now he's grown another year..Agreed its a back to lay animal but am hoping for that big run today have backed it at 28s and put in a lay at 3s in case the animal cant get the 6 flngs
Result ----A big field for one of the major 6f sprints of the season and it produced a dramatic and close finish, with the July Cup proving the key.
DREAM AHEAD dropped back in trip to win the July Cup on fast ground from Bated Breath but had since been wellheld in the Maurice de Gheest on soft ground that should have suited. He bounced back here, being never far away and then just doing enough to hang on despite again showing a tendency to wander around under pressure, with the fast ground probably a factor. He hampered the third more than the runner-up in the closing stages but the result was allowed to stand.
Bated Breath, a progressive sprinter who is best on fast, had finished runner-up to Dream Ahead in the July Cup and the weight for age was less here. He came through to challenge the winner and kept straighter than his rival, only to lose out by the width of a cigarette paper. He deserves to win a Group 1 sprint but his options this season are few, although he might be kept in training.
Hoof It, an extremely progressive sort who had proved suited by this track in the past, had won the Stewards´ Cup under a record burden before finding things not going right for him in the Nunthorpe. He tracked the pace before being produced late, only to be carried left by the winner inside the last furlong. He was in front soon after the line and can be considered an unlucky loser. He has proved himself up to this level now and he will no doubt be back contesting all the big sprints again next year.
Genki is a reliable sort who came here with a course record of one win and two places, including third in this race last season. With the visor back on instead of the blinkers he wore last time, he missed the break and was last until around halfway,but then stayed on well in the closing stages to finish on the heels of the principals. He looks sure to find another opportunity before the season is out.
Elzaam found the drop back to 6f helping him win a Listed race in May and had posted decentefforts in the Golden Jubilee and July Cup since. He had a bit to find on that form but ran another sound race, if no threat to those in the frame. He can make his mark at a slightly lower level.
Society Rock has made up into a top-class sprinter this season, winning the Golden Jubilee and finishing second in the Maurice de Gheest. He had a bit to find with Bated Breath on previous C&D form, but did not help his chance with a tardy start.
Dalghar had put up a decent effort over 7f last timebut had previously been well held in the Golden Jubilee and the July Cup and had a bit to find. Wearing a hood for the first time, he ran well for a long way and is the sort who could make his mark in something like the Prix de la Foret, where softer ground will be in his favour.
Bewitched, a multiple winner at up to Group 3 level who handles any ground, had reportedly pulled a muscle when a well-beaten favourite in the Golden Jubilee. Having her first run since, she was held up out the back before doing her best work in the closing stages. She can win again at Group level, if not in the top grade.
Hitchens, in the form of his life this season, beating Tiddliwinks at the Curragh and finishing third in the July Cup, was having his first run since the July Cup and performed creditably. He normally benefits from a recent outing and is one to bear in mind when he next appears.
Kingsgate Native, who finished ahead of Hoof It when fourth in the Nunthorpe, had been first and second in the Temple Stakes on two previous visits here. He had his chance but faded late on.
Sole Power won last season´s Nunthorpe and beat Kingsgate Native in the Temple Stakes over 5f here in May, but was beaten in a Group 3 the previous weekend. Having his first try over 6f since 2009, he showed up well before appearing not to last home.
Wootton Bassett, an unbeaten juvenile who finished fifth in the Poulains on his return, had been held in both the St James´s Palace and Maurice de Gheest since and was dropping back further in trip. He showed up early before fading and, although not up to winning at the top level on this evidence, owes nobody anything.[AR]
QUOTES: David Simcock, trainer of Dream Ahead, said: "That´s a massive relief after France. France was a massive disappointment and I can´t see any difference between now and France. We rode him much closer than in France. I don´t think I´ll ever have a horse half as good. He´s got two options, the Foret in France and one at Ascot, but I´ll talk to the owner before making a decision." Roger Charlton, trainer of Bated Breath and Genki, said: "What can I say? He´s made up massive on Dream Ahead. Dream Ahead was three or four lengths better than us in the July Cup and it´s only a nose today. Steve [Drowne] said he wants fast ground, faster than today, so I wouldn´t know where to go. Genki has run a brilliant race like he always does."
Result ----A big field for one of the major 6f sprints of the season and it produced a dramatic and close finish, with the July Cup proving the key.
DREAM AHEAD dropped back in trip to win the July Cup on fast ground from Bated Breath but had since been wellheld in the Maurice de Gheest on soft ground that should have suited. He bounced back here, being never far away and then just doing enough to hang on despite again showing a tendency to wander around under pressure, with the fast ground probably a factor. He hampered the third more than the runner-up in the closing stages but the result was allowed to stand.
Bated Breath, a progressive sprinter who is best on fast, had finished runner-up to Dream Ahead in the July Cup and the weight for age was less here. He came through to challenge the winner and kept straighter than his rival, only to lose out by the width of a cigarette paper. He deserves to win a Group 1 sprint but his options this season are few, although he might be kept in training.
Hoof It, an extremely progressive sort who had proved suited by this track in the past, had won the Stewards´ Cup under a record burden before finding things not going right for him in the Nunthorpe. He tracked the pace before being produced late, only to be carried left by the winner inside the last furlong. He was in front soon after the line and can be considered an unlucky loser. He has proved himself up to this level now and he will no doubt be back contesting all the big sprints again next year.
Genki is a reliable sort who came here with a course record of one win and two places, including third in this race last season. With the visor back on instead of the blinkers he wore last time, he missed the break and was last until around halfway,but then stayed on well in the closing stages to finish on the heels of the principals. He looks sure to find another opportunity before the season is out.
Elzaam found the drop back to 6f helping him win a Listed race in May and had posted decentefforts in the Golden Jubilee and July Cup since. He had a bit to find on that form but ran another sound race, if no threat to those in the frame. He can make his mark at a slightly lower level.
Society Rock has made up into a top-class sprinter this season, winning the Golden Jubilee and finishing second in the Maurice de Gheest. He had a bit to find with Bated Breath on previous C&D form, but did not help his chance with a tardy start.
Dalghar had put up a decent effort over 7f last timebut had previously been well held in the Golden Jubilee and the July Cup and had a bit to find. Wearing a hood for the first time, he ran well for a long way and is the sort who could make his mark in something like the Prix de la Foret, where softer ground will be in his favour.
Bewitched, a multiple winner at up to Group 3 level who handles any ground, had reportedly pulled a muscle when a well-beaten favourite in the Golden Jubilee. Having her first run since, she was held up out the back before doing her best work in the closing stages. She can win again at Group level, if not in the top grade.
Hitchens, in the form of his life this season, beating Tiddliwinks at the Curragh and finishing third in the July Cup, was having his first run since the July Cup and performed creditably. He normally benefits from a recent outing and is one to bear in mind when he next appears.
Kingsgate Native, who finished ahead of Hoof It when fourth in the Nunthorpe, had been first and second in the Temple Stakes on two previous visits here. He had his chance but faded late on.
Sole Power won last season´s Nunthorpe and beat Kingsgate Native in the Temple Stakes over 5f here in May, but was beaten in a Group 3 the previous weekend. Having his first try over 6f since 2009, he showed up well before appearing not to last home.
Wootton Bassett, an unbeaten juvenile who finished fifth in the Poulains on his return, had been held in both the St James´s Palace and Maurice de Gheest since and was dropping back further in trip. He showed up early before fading and, although not up to winning at the top level on this evidence, owes nobody anything.[AR]
QUOTES: David Simcock, trainer of Dream Ahead, said: "That´s a massive relief after France. France was a massive disappointment and I can´t see any difference between now and France. We rode him much closer than in France. I don´t think I´ll ever have a horse half as good. He´s got two options, the Foret in France and one at Ascot, but I´ll talk to the owner before making a decision." Roger Charlton, trainer of Bated Breath and Genki, said: "What can I say? He´s made up massive on Dream Ahead. Dream Ahead was three or four lengths better than us in the July Cup and it´s only a nose today. Steve [Drowne] said he wants fast ground, faster than today, so I wouldn´t know where to go. Genki has run a brilliant race like he always does."
No comments:
Post a Comment