The Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes place at 3.10 24th September at Newmarket Run over a mile for fillies and mares aged 3 or older, it was made a group 1 in 2004 and has been won by some very useful horses including Attraction & Dress To Thrill. Sahpresa has won the last 2 renewals and is looking to become the first horse ever to win the race three times.
Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:
Age (Win-Place-Runners)
3yo: 7-7-55
4yo: 2-8-25
5yo: 1-2-12
6yo+: 0-1-2
4 of the 7 winners aged 3 finished in first 3 in the Matron.
Sahpresa has accounted for 2 of the 3 wins for older horses.
Recent/Past Form
10 of 10 winners had won a race that season
9 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out
8 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR in their last 2 starts
9 of 10 winners had run in the last 40 days
10 of 10 winners had won over 7F or 8F
7 of 7 winners aged 3 had run 4 to 7 times that season
3 of 3 winners aged 4+ had run 2 to 4 times that season
10 of 10 winners had won listed or group race
6 of 7 winners had won a group race (since it became a group 1)
Other races
Previous season's winner (Sahpresa): 91 (1-0-2)
Oak Tree winner (Chachamaidee): 593 (0-1-3)
Falmouth Stakes winner (Timepiece): 2474 (0-1-4)
Dahlia winner (I'm A Dreamer): 3552 (0-1-4)
Height Of Fashion Stakes winner (Beatrice Aurore): 2 (0-1-1)
Princess Elizabeth Stakes winner (Antara): 3 (0-1-1)
Coral Distaff winner (Nahrain): 54 (0-0-2)
Sceptre Stakes (Alanza): 686 (0-0-3)
4 of 10 winners ran in the Matron Stakes, finishing 1123
3 of 10 winners ran in the Oak Tree Stakes, finishing 355
2 of 10 winners ran in the Falmouth, finishing 23
2 of 10 winners ran in the Windsor Forrest, finishing 18
2 of 10 winners ran in the Brownstown Stakes, finishing 11
2 of 10 winners ran in the Coronation Stakes, finishing 17
2 of 10 winners ran in the Irish 1000 Guineas, finishing 11
2 of 10 winners ran in the English 1000 Guineas, finishing 16
Trainers
British-trained runners: 6-16-80
French-trained runners: 2-2-6
Irish-trained runners: 2-0-7
German-trained runners: 0-0-1
Irish and French trained runners have gained 4 wins and 2 places from 13 runners (approximately 14% of total runners).
Rod Collet (2-1-3) has saddled to win the last 2 runnings of this race, his only other runner in past 10 years was 3rd at 33/1.
Dermot Weld (1-0-2) trained Dress To Thrill to win this and like his entrant this year (Emulous), Dress To Thrill came here on the back of a win in the Matron Stakes.
Saeed Bin Suroor (1-0-1), Aidan O’Brien and Mick Channon (1-0-4) have also saddled the winner in the past 10 years.
Price
No strong trends on the price though recently longer priced runners have been more prevalent with the last 5 winners going off 12/1, 16/1, 8/1, 16/1 & 9/2.
Favourites (2-3-10) have won 2 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 4.12.
Summary:
Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· First 3 last time out while posting highest RPR
· Run in the last 40 days
· A 3yo that ran run 4 to 7 times this season
· Or a 4yo+ that has run 2 to 4 times this season
· Won a group race
· Won over 7F or 8F
· Finished in first 3 in Matron or Falmouth Stakes
· Finished in first 5 in Oak Tree Stakes
· Brownstown Stakes winner
· Trained in Ireland or France
Am siding with Together for the race at 9/1 is outstanding value Proved herself among the best of her generation of fillies at this trip but came off second best in Fillies´ Mile last autumn and in the 1,000 Guineas, Irish 1,000 Guineas and Matron Stakes this year but the matron is the race that stands out for me beating Misty For me and by 3l at that this is her race
A decent renewal of this event, which was elevated to Group 1 status in 2004. Three of the field already had a top-level win against their name, while two more had been second in Group 1 company. Three of last year´s first four were here again, but recent Matron Stakes winner Emulous was a notable absentee.
The early pace was fairly slow, although it picked up after halfway and the race turned into something of a sprint. While the winner produced a dominant performance, her three closest market rivalswere below par.
The race was opened to four-year-olds and above back in 1974 and SAHPRESA became the first mare to win this race three times. She´s also the only horse aged older than four to win it. Everything had gone wrong for her on her trip to the July course for the Falmouth Stakes in which she finished second to Timepiece after sitting too far off the slow pace, but she had shown her mettle with a pair of solid runs in France since.
Christophe Lemaire had the winner closer to the frontthis time and she was never in any danger once quickening up smartly to lead.
Sahpresa is a genuine Group 1 performer although, unlike Immortal Verse and Goldikova, who beat her in the Prix Jacques le Marois last time, she hasn´t beaten the colts at the top level. Her owner is Japanese and she is likely to head to to Kyoto next month for the Grade 1 Mile Championship, in which she was fourth last year and third in 2009. She acts on most types of ground these days.
Chachamaidee has taken her form to a new level since being fitted with a hood, impressing at Goodwood prior to a sound third behind Alanza at Doncaster on her latest start. Ostensibly Sir Henry Cecil´s second string, she was tackling Group 1 company for only the second time. She proved well up to it, held up as usual and taking a bit of a tug before running on nicely, although the French mare was always in control. She is equally effective at 7f and is likely to go for the Challenge Stakes over that trip here in a fortnight.
Strawberrydaiquiri was fourth in this in 2009 and runner-up last year, when trained by Sir Michael Stoute. She had run a pleasing race on her debut for Brian Meehan at Sandown and built on that here, setting a steady initial pace and sticking on for third. This likeable mare is still looking for her first Group 1 win after six tries, one of them in the Dubai Duty Free at Meydan earlier this year, which is the only time she has taken on male opposition.
Fourth last year when sent off favourite, Music Show has not been at her best this season. Equipped with a visor for the first time, she settled well but was caught flat-footed when the tempo lifted and could only stick on at the same pace from there, losing fourth on the line. The 2010 Falmouth Stakesis her only win in her last dozen starts.
I´m A Dreamer has been freshened up since her never-dangerous sixth to Timepiece in the Falmouth. Racing in touch, but still towards the back in a slowly run race, she was staying on well in the final furlong. She deserves the chance she can show what she can do over 1m2f.
The progressive Alanza came here on a four-timer, having beaten Chachamaidee in the Group 3 Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster last time. Supplemented for this, she was held up in last place, perhaps not the place to be, and although she picked up her forward move flattened out as she ended up on the slower ground nearest the fence. She was the least experienced member of this field and it may pay to forgive her this.
Together, who along with Alanza raced nearest to the inside rail, where the ground was more worn, had every chance but was unable to quicken up. She has finished second in four Group 1s, most recently to Emulous at Leopardstown, but has yet to win in seven tries in the top grade. Her stamina only just lasts 1m and she holds a couple of forthcoming entries over shorter trips.
Timepiece pinched the Falmouth Stakes when racing close to a near farcically slow pace, and had run near tothat level when placed in a pair of French Group 1s since, albeit unable to confirm the form with Sahpresa in the first of them. She was well enough positioned tracking the leaders, but dropped away disappointingly once the pace lifted. This ground was perhaps a shade quick for her. [RL]
QUOTES: Rod Collet, trainer of Sahpresa: "We learned a lot in the Falmouth - it was a joke race."
Christophe Lemaire, jockey: ´´She relaxed well and when I asked her she accelerated very well and proved she´s a true Group 1 horse."
A decent renewal of this event, which was elevated to Group 1 status in 2004. Three of the field already had a top-level win against their name, while two more had been second in Group 1 company. Three of last year´s first four were here again, but recent Matron Stakes winner Emulous was a notable absentee.
The early pace was fairly slow, although it picked up after halfway and the race turned into something of a sprint. While the winner produced a dominant performance, her three closest market rivalswere below par.
The race was opened to four-year-olds and above back in 1974 and SAHPRESA became the first mare to win this race three times. She´s also the only horse aged older than four to win it. Everything had gone wrong for her on her trip to the July course for the Falmouth Stakes in which she finished second to Timepiece after sitting too far off the slow pace, but she had shown her mettle with a pair of solid runs in France since.
Christophe Lemaire had the winner closer to the frontthis time and she was never in any danger once quickening up smartly to lead.
Sahpresa is a genuine Group 1 performer although, unlike Immortal Verse and Goldikova, who beat her in the Prix Jacques le Marois last time, she hasn´t beaten the colts at the top level. Her owner is Japanese and she is likely to head to to Kyoto next month for the Grade 1 Mile Championship, in which she was fourth last year and third in 2009. She acts on most types of ground these days.
Chachamaidee has taken her form to a new level since being fitted with a hood, impressing at Goodwood prior to a sound third behind Alanza at Doncaster on her latest start. Ostensibly Sir Henry Cecil´s second string, she was tackling Group 1 company for only the second time. She proved well up to it, held up as usual and taking a bit of a tug before running on nicely, although the French mare was always in control. She is equally effective at 7f and is likely to go for the Challenge Stakes over that trip here in a fortnight.
Strawberrydaiquiri was fourth in this in 2009 and runner-up last year, when trained by Sir Michael Stoute. She had run a pleasing race on her debut for Brian Meehan at Sandown and built on that here, setting a steady initial pace and sticking on for third. This likeable mare is still looking for her first Group 1 win after six tries, one of them in the Dubai Duty Free at Meydan earlier this year, which is the only time she has taken on male opposition.
Fourth last year when sent off favourite, Music Show has not been at her best this season. Equipped with a visor for the first time, she settled well but was caught flat-footed when the tempo lifted and could only stick on at the same pace from there, losing fourth on the line. The 2010 Falmouth Stakesis her only win in her last dozen starts.
I´m A Dreamer has been freshened up since her never-dangerous sixth to Timepiece in the Falmouth. Racing in touch, but still towards the back in a slowly run race, she was staying on well in the final furlong. She deserves the chance she can show what she can do over 1m2f.
The progressive Alanza came here on a four-timer, having beaten Chachamaidee in the Group 3 Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster last time. Supplemented for this, she was held up in last place, perhaps not the place to be, and although she picked up her forward move flattened out as she ended up on the slower ground nearest the fence. She was the least experienced member of this field and it may pay to forgive her this.
Together, who along with Alanza raced nearest to the inside rail, where the ground was more worn, had every chance but was unable to quicken up. She has finished second in four Group 1s, most recently to Emulous at Leopardstown, but has yet to win in seven tries in the top grade. Her stamina only just lasts 1m and she holds a couple of forthcoming entries over shorter trips.
Timepiece pinched the Falmouth Stakes when racing close to a near farcically slow pace, and had run near tothat level when placed in a pair of French Group 1s since, albeit unable to confirm the form with Sahpresa in the first of them. She was well enough positioned tracking the leaders, but dropped away disappointingly once the pace lifted. This ground was perhaps a shade quick for her. [RL]
QUOTES: Rod Collet, trainer of Sahpresa: "We learned a lot in the Falmouth - it was a joke race."
Christophe Lemaire, jockey: ´´She relaxed well and when I asked her she accelerated very well and proved she´s a true Group 1 horse."
No comments:
Post a Comment