Monday 26 September 2011

distance race 1m6f Ffoss lass 4.20

Interesting field for this race now the going is soft - g/sft in places - the race has only been run once before so stats not available - won last year by Rugell who was carrying 9-9 and returning from a break.
 those of you who endure the blog over a time know I like these races for trading on Betfair as they give ample time to trade and have a preference for horses returning from a break cos the value is in the early exchanges for such horses as stables are more likely to wait till the track for money and only when they in the parade ring does money come from the rest of us punters.

Rastaban is a horse from a line packed with Stamina is a progressive individual and rightly heads the market IMO the going is an unknown really (though Diktat did have some form on it over 1 mile) today goes up in trip and encounters soft ground and not a good price at the moment. have put in a small lay and ready to green early as expect it to be held up
Slight Advantage has a better profile for the ground and distance that for sure an improving type, was well supported and turned in a career-best effort at salisbury g/sft 1m6f and has achieved this mark she handles quick ground, her best form has been with give underfoot. BTL will be closer to the prices already up


 lets turn to the animals that have a lay off and at the top is Just Rob who is an out and out stayer with great credentials over a distance and soft ground both flat and NH. not run for 452 days but Ian Williams can get horses out fresh and ready to run. unfortunately this yard are not so forthcoming in their internet news so you have to take its entry today without any quotes from the stable - however the current 22s on betfair doe make it a very interesting trading horse as its the yard that comes late for the price - generally 14/1 this horse can be  a very profitable BTL as the plan must be to bring its stamina in play and will shorten considerably for a nice profit. and green bet.

Oldrik is an old Monkey that runs so well fresh  and is well handicapped to win this in the ground has a touch of class even at this age in this field has achieved this mark after a layoff and again this horse can do it from the front or the back is the original bugger that can simply down tools at the start then pick up with a big run - will ask for a bigger that starting price before the off and a lay late.
 Here Endeth the write up for the only race will be trading on today  with the money all layed out on the highlited animals.


 Result - AND VERY GOOD TRADING RACE INDEED  --Again the action was up the middle of the track in the straight. The winner BECAUSEWECAN, just like when successful at Kempton on his previous start off 4lb lower over 1m4f on Polytrack, was allowed an uncontested lead. He had to go off fast enough to get the lead, but then slowed the pace noticeably before the straight and had his ears pricked, clearly saving plenty. He won´t make great appeal next time unless it´s clear he´ll again get the run of the race.

Oldrik, returning from the best part of a year off, seemed to travel okay but his rider took a while to get serious and he also had to be switched, so this was a creditable effort behind the front-running winner.- PROFIT 

Qahriman, up in trip and faced with testing conditions for the first time, was well enough placed but didn´t convince that he was handing the ground when under pressure. He can be given another chance. 

Just Rob, returning from a 452-day absence, travelled well to a point and retains ability. PROFIT

Rastaban was up intrip after two wins at 1m4f on better ground, the latest off 4lb lower. Evidently these conditions didn´t suit. PROFIT

Slight Advantage has winning from on soft ground but she ran poorly. She found trouble in the straight, but was beaten at the time. John Fahy reported the filly was unsuited by the ground. PROFIT 

Lee Newnes, rider of Lady Of Burgundy, reported his saddle slipped.

Ian Mongan, rider of Nibani, reported the gelding was unsuited by the ground.

QUOTES: Owner Douglas Livingston: "Becausewecan won on heavy ground as a two year old so the going was not a worry and he has done his job well from the front."


    

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