The grade 2 Totesport.com Peterborough Chase is run over 2M 4½F for 4yos and upwards, and, weather permitting, will take place at Huntingdon Sunday at 2pm. It has been a race dominated by Henrietta Knight in recent history as she has won 8 of the last 12 runnings. (she has no runners today!)
Age (Win-Place-Runners)
5yo: 0-0-1
6yo: 3-2-8
7yo: 2-1-12
8yo: 2-3-19
9yo: 2-2-10
10yo: 1-2-10
11yo+: 0-1-3
Age of the winners has been fairly well spread out but 6yos do have the best record, gaining 3 wins and 4 seconds from just 8 runners.
Weight
Horses carrying 11-10 to 11-11: 5-3-17
Horses carrying 11-3 to 11-7: 4-5-24
Horses carrying 11-0: 1-3-22
Horses carrying the maximum penalty have won 5 of the last 10 runnings from approximately 27% of the total runners.
Unpenalised runners (those carrying 11-0) have a very poor record gaining just 1 win and 3 places from more than a third of the total runners in the past 10 years.
Recent/Past Form
10 of 10 winners had won a grade 1 or 2 chase
9 of 10 winners had won over 2M 4F+(exception twice runner-up in grade 2 chases over 2M 4F)
6 of 10 winners had won a grade 1 chase
6 of 10 winners (6 of last 7) had run in the past 50 days
5 of 10 winners had won at Huntingdon (other 5 having their first course start)
Other Races
Previous year's winner (Deep Purple): 11271 (3-1-5)
4 of 10 winners ran in the previous year’s King George, finishing 62F3
2 of 10 winners ran in the Old Roan Chase last time, finishing 17
2 of 10 winners ran in the Ascot Chase, finishing 24
7 of 10 winners had run in a chase at that year's Cheltenham Festival (3 exceptions all ran at Aintree Grand National meeting)
Trainers
Henrietta Knight (6-1-8) has an incredible record in this race. Her 8 runners in the past 10 runnings have produced 6 winners and a second. She won it in 2006 and 2007 with Racing Demon who is entered again this year.
Paul Nicholls (1-3-9) has gained 1 win and 3 places from his 9 runners in the race.
Nicky Richards (1-0-1) and Evan Williams (1-0-1) have trained the last 2 winners of the race.
Price
9 of 10 winners were priced 5/1 or below
Deep Purple won the race at 12/1 last year and was the first winner to come outside the first 3 in the betting in the past 20 years.
Favourites (5-3-11) have won 6 of the last 10 runnings of this and show a level stakes loss of 1.12.
Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
- Aged 6 to 9 Carrying 11-10
- Course winner
- Won over 2M 4F+
- Won a grade 1 or 2 chase
- Previous year’s winner
- Ran at this year’s Cheltenham or Aintree Festivals
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