Weekend racing!

The 13.50 Naas 2m Novice Chase Ground Soft Heavy with Blackstairmountain as 2nd fav ridden by Walsh and fvaourite Bog Warrior. Blackstairmountain is in my view a winner 2nd LTo, that profited from a fast pace and tiring animals, its a stayer, that comes late and LTo when finishing a poor 5th, they ran a very poor pace until 3/4 and began to quicken. Blackstairmountain was despite that problem one of the horses that closed down, but it was way too far away and ridden tactically poor in my opinion. Bog Warrior is still my favourite in this, it has a great stride and will make the race fast from the front, but has still great staying capacities aswell, the horse just runs dodgy sometimes in snatches in unconcentrated in his jumps, but still looks great from his athletic.Slieverdagh is a horse i can imagine could finsih in front of Blackstairmountain, its a small-medium athletic mover that finds sometimes better striders late, but it has the ability to make a great race at a great price i feel. Im not sure how I will approach this race as if its fast Blackstairmountain will improve a lot on his LTO, on the other side I think that Bog Warrior wont be tiring on the runin either and could run them into submission dictating his own pace. As Slieverdagh isnt a no hoper aswell I will have no bet, but if Bog Warrior goes over 1.7 BSP i will back it.Need to have a look at the prices, as I dont want to back Bog Warrior under 1.5 with the danger of his unconcentration on the fences. Bog Warrior beat Flemensstar easily and Flemensstar beat Blackstairmountain easily LTO, so from that comparison Bog Warrior should be a good bet.
In the 14.55 I fancy Wicklow Lad( will benefit from the step dow in class and the smaller field) is priced very long i guesses when the market formed a bit and could be a possible Each Way Bet, here a some hints. Beat Paradis De Thaix already that is here 3rd fav, has a 2-3-7 on fields 11-16 runners, raced always bad in big competetive classy fields but showed good perfromances in this class and with this fiedl size, is a stayer that will like the uphill,won the best price with 29k) Paradis De Thaix on this distance, Mister First on his impression of the last races and Back on the Roada are my other candidates for this race.
In the 3.45 Musselbrough I think that Ubi Ace is a very solid Each Way Bet Win and Place 10,5 BSP 2.72 Place. I think his form looks rock solid with three very good races in a row against very good animals andthis is weaker today or the same and these odds are very value to me. Will be my VFB Nap.Koup de Kanon is a horse i fancy aswell here on his last two outings, the way the horse moved, but the tank can be very empty for this horse sometimes.Palawi could be intresting here aswell likes heavy and has some class and Ingleby Spirit looks well on video, but has to prove first in this class.

Cheers rade!