Saturday 7 January 2012

07/01/2012

Sandown 3.10 CH2 3m1f

Master of the Hall 4.5 BSP

There are several I can rule out of this race from the class perspective simply in this race or out of fitness like Any Currency and I think Master of the Hall is a standout, when the Ground would be Soft-Heavy, its GS-Soft in places.
Has a great record of 6 wins from 11 runs and is only entered into specific races. Has a great record during winter 5-0-7 and a 2-0-3 in January. Beat the highest rated horses here with Nacarat, Tamarinbleu, The Minack and should ne specifically targeted for this race. The only other
runner,
that would interest me here is Wymott, but his weights are too high I think in comparison to the Hennessy. The Knox has some ability but I doubt his jumping here on hard fences and the trip.Won though to superclass jumper Five Dream 2nd LTO and beat Wymott already in his career over hurdles, but 3m1f shouldnt be the optimal distance for this horse.
On Master of the Hall there are as an only horse some high early spikes backed on the graph, some good overnight support.


Another interesting runner from the market money perespective is Atouchbetweenaccara 9.0 BSP in the Wincanton 2.50, is 11 year old with the step down in distance and well handicapped, there is heavy market support for this odds range and could go well at high odds.
I have the feeling there is a decent info that this horse will run much better off an ultra low mark and the step down in distance, as its surely not a pick the usual punter would pick, with never winning in the last 10 races.

The 2.35 Tolworth Hurdle is interesting and I like the abilities from the Prospect Wells and progressed all the time in a better direction, a possible tactical race could be unsuited and this horse has now tow hard races in a short period of time, but I still think its a great value at these odds, because I think its a class act and also I respect the bumper perfromance and the strong finsih from Magnifique Etoile I think that the 2nd hot fav Colour Squadron is unsuited to this track as a long strider and the track favours Prospect Wells staying abililties more.

Love of Tara in the opener in Sandown is a great chance at a big price 14+ early. I think its the best time to catch this runner, if the ground stays into Sft. Won LTO against Animation with a wide margin and put now into stakes and has so big head to head weight advantage. Animation won against the 2nd hot favy Kells Belle, The Strwaberry One is from ability there now at an ideal point, but its a G-F horse that peaks in Spring, the Favourite is upped in class and has to prove, I think all in all this price is really a big thing.

LucainDubay is great in price at 13,0 BSPin the 3.25 Sandown considering he lost only with 7.5 lenghts to older race favourite Alarazi that is priced at 5.7 and has today much more weight to carry in a similar race on the same track.
Higgysragazzo 7.4 BSP in the 3.25 Sandown
The finishing qualities of this horse impressed me LTO and this is just a 5 year old that is a strong imrover, The first Lifestyle franked the form with a good race after and I think this 5 year old suits also from his size this track, runs a bit similar to Great Endeavour and I think stiff galloping uphill types will suit this horse a lot.
Attaglance with Walsh on Board also convinced in a highly competetive race 2nd LTO and is also available at 12.0 BSP

4 comments:

Unknown said...

that's some post mate and some decent reading for thoughts---Master of the hall certainly has all the stats to win this with the ground predicted gluey and holding. Is so well capable of running above this mark today I am also very interested in getting some of the place market on the complete outside for Longsdon Qhilimar who has johnson back on board - runs this track well off a bantam weight will go well and is too big a price for a horse with this yard jock combo and blinks back on
the 3.45 is a lottery shortest price winners in the last years was 100/30 6/1 and 15/2 the others going off double figures out as far as 33/1. Younger animals 5 and 6yr olds Jfferson has booked Ruby for the first time ever - he has a poor record at Sandown in fact but the animal is well in for ground no worse than g/soft travels powerfully and well progressive will do for me

Benhorseracing said...

I wondered why Prospect Wells got outpaced in this race, poor performance, still surprised, because raced before in Newbury off a much stronger pace in midfield, still dont know what to do with this performance here.

Benhorseracing said...

Could be really too many tough perfromances in a short time.

Jack Sparrow said...

I think your right mate, they went to the well too often too soon, its the quickes way to sour a horse. Poor call by Team Ditcheat imo.