19-01-12 – 1550 - Taunton 2m3f Handicap Chase (2)
HOLMWOOD LEGEND – Cheltenham Festival handicap winner (off OR130) last season, now on OR145 and has shown nothing in two runs this term, 2-0-2(w-p-r) at Taunton, but his overall profile looks to be that of a Spring horse. Winter record 0-2-4 compared to Spring record of 3-2-6.
FISTRAL BEACH – Best when fresh as record shows 2-2-4(w-p-r) when break of 200 days plus. Has the class to be involved as Listed reappearance win shows but is a 54 day break enough and 2m3f looks a bit on the sharp side for him.
CHARIOT CHARGER - Returned from 20 months off to gain first win over fence last time out, up 8lb to OR138 and down in trip but he has conditions to suit and should go well if he doesn’t bounce.
MICHEAL FLIPS – Chase record of 1-1-5 (w-p-r) and best form when chasing Cue Card home on reappearance, not really gone on from that and down to winnable mark(has been backed this morning) but jumping looked a bit suspect last two runs in big fields.
PASSATO - Two decent efforts in good handicaps this season and only 3lb above last winning mark, conditions suit and should not be far away.
NOMECHEKI – Not always the best of jumpers, never won going right handed 0-1-4(w-p-r), best run since reappearance latest but not one to rely on.
ROUGHAM – Didn’t stay 2m5f latest but on winnable mark, needs to be able to dominate to run to his best, chance he’ll get taken on for the lead by Chariot Charger and down tools so overlooked.
GET IT ON – Chase record of 1-2-4(w-p-r) and looks progressive, conditions suit here and backed this morning so expected to be thereabouts off low weight.
MISTER STICKLER – Chase record of 2-2-9(w-p-r), sound jumper who possibly needs a bit more weight off to be competitive.
OUMEYADE – Looks to be on the decline and best avoided.
THE COCKNEY MACKEM – Consistent sort who doesn’t look the best of finishers, and step up in trip a concern.
VERDICT
Three against the field here Chariot Charger still looks well treated after his win last time, Passato looks solid E/W value but there is sure to be more to come from GET IT ON.
GET IT ON 1 point win @ 6/1 BOG with Victor Chandler.
2 comments:
At these prices I will try my luck on Holmwood Legend. There is the danger old age, but when there is a time, then its now to jump on, at these prices. How you said Taunton 2-0-2. Finished against Poquelin ( OR 170) 1/2 a length in Cheltenham.
In spring was his high time and with that class the horse showed there would be a strong win candidate here today. Seasonal reappearance in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, racing okay until few mistakes and energy loss weakening into nothing. Last race on Hurdles unsuited Soft Ground+ Distance actually racing pretty good in my eyes. This horse makes the pace and is capable of pushing clear 3/4 out, as it showed in spring. Today it suits from the field size, the general class, the days since ran, the ground and the track, so will try my luck on big odds Win and place with trading in view.
Passato is looks nice aswell to me.
Post a Comment