Sunday 8 January 2012

1530 Hereford 2m5f Handicap Chase

1530 Hereford 2m5f Handicap Chase

CABINET MINISTER – Has progressed both starts over fences but room for improvement in the jumping dept, 4lb lower than last winning hurdles mark and backed this morning. Soft ground suits but is 0-0-4 (w-p-r) on a flat track.
PLUNKET – Jumping fell to pieces last two runs and best watched for now.
JIGSAW DANCER – Chase record of 1-0-10 suggests more bad runs than good and hardly shaped like he was still interested in competing last time.
BABE HEFFRON - Completely out of sorts for new yard in recent months, coming down the handicap but needs to show more before considering.
SPACE MISSION – Solid return when just beaten last time and should come on for the run, conditions suit and looks likely to be involved.
ALWAYS BOLD - Posted a fair effort on his return to fences last time out and he will be competitive off this mark (or109) but 0-0-4 on a right handed track and possibly better over further.
DOURYNA – Chase record of 1-2-9 and awful run last time but coming here off a break of 64 days and goes well fresh, top 7lb claimer booked and big run expected if jumping holds together.
DANEVA – Consistent at her level but looked ill at ease on the soft at Fontwell latest, similar conditions here and record suggests better on firmer ground so overlooked.
NICEONEFRANKIE – Outpaced and well beaten on chase debut but showed promise there and longer trip and softer ground should suit here, he should build on that experience and will go well here.

VERDICT
I’ll discount Cabinet Minister on his flat track record & Douryna on jumping grounds, so that leaves me with Space Mission & Niceonefrankie. They both look to hold solid claims and im going to go with the younger horse in Niceonefrankie

1pt win NICEONEFRANKIE @ 11/4 WITH BET365.

5 comments:

Unknown said...

Nice analysis and will have a head to head with you on this race - think that Space mission is well handicapped and without any bounce factor can beat Niceonefrankie its second to Wood Yer off levels last time is I think the best form on offer even if it is more fragile than aunt Betties China tea cup and on the market drift is coming to a backable price
good luck

Unknown said...

Great Callllllllllllllll and what a price it drifted to well called mate

Jack Sparrow said...

Thanks Bob - In the words of Hanibal "I Love It When A Plan Comes Together"

Benhorseracing said...

Well done again!

Jack Sparrow said...

Cheers Guys