Friday 21 October 2011

5pm chase Carlisle beginners chase 2m2f soft ground

This was the best race of the day in my opinion and winners will come out of it big time - the worry at this time of the year is:-
  •  how unfit animals are coming back off a break -At the end of the day it’s punting suicide to throw your money at a horse that has in the past shown that they ‘need a run’ to get them to their fighting weight. Regardless of how much better than the opposition they are deemed to be (Rigour Back Bob and Berties Dream being prime examples) if they are not at peak fitness and are running against better equipped opponents (fitness-wise) they are likely to struggle.
  • ( the new and confusing to jocks Whip Rules) 
  •  how much you can trust previous form.
 This is the start of a new era and whip use will have determined the outcome of many past races. Mr McCoy for one will not be able to "galvanise" a horse and will have to adapt more than many jump jocks to stay within the new limits - it will have some impact on not just the whip use but how he rides the entire race. Go back far enough and he was the known front runner for pipe going furlongs clear and making sure the got home by quite agricultural use of the whip - his style has changed and he is more content to let his animal lay back and lob along  with strong driving at the end of the race -- how many times have you heard " McCoy never gives up"? well the master has to change tactics again for the new rules and that will make it very difficult for a while if not for the rest of his career - he can get winners without flogging a horse  but during this period he will be trying all styles to get his animals home and in the interim his animals should be closely looked at to see how much they needed from him in the past before making too big a bet at short odds.


ok having got that off my chest the chase at Carlisle was quite splendid  Riders were very much within the rules and the right result for all that (even though my money was on Bold Sir Brian - it was A well above average beginners´ chase with five horses rated 122+ over hurdles I would reccomend that notes should be made in the VFB for the following .

FRASCATI PARK, a 130-rated hurdler, was making his chase debut on his first start since April. A keen-going type who has a low head carriage, he tended to jump right-handed at times. Setting a sound pace, he was being hard driven five out yet increased his advantage on the run-in. He looks sure to enjoy further success.Form figures after 60 days or more off the track (including yesterday) – 1-1-2-3-0-1

Bold Sir Brian, rated 135 after his Grade 2 win at Kelso in March, looked to have done himself really well during the break. Quite keen early and inclined to lose ground at his fences, he had work to do after a blunder in the dip. In pursuit of the winner two out, he failed to make an impression after some novicey jumps but this was only his sixth career start and he looks a fine prospect. Form Figures after a break 2-4-1-2 (including yesterday)


Aikman, a winner of three points, is rated 140 after a wide-margin win on his return over 2m6f at Kelso. Suited by going right-handed, after getting outpaced after three out he kept on in grim fashion onthe run-in. He needs further and will soon make his mark.


 Going Wrong, rated 130, had been off two years with a broken pelvis. He went well for a long way but was tired when clouting the last. He is sure to improve as the season progresses.

Our Mick, rated 122, was making his chasing debut after being absent since a crashing fall over hurdles at Bangor in March. After getting badly outpaced five out he kept on in his own time up the final hill. The outing will have done him a power of good.
Karmadice, rated just 109 after four previous starts over fences, will have improved for this return but would surely have a more realistic chance of opening his account over fences in handicap company.   

Bob

1 comment:

Unknown said...

Riders will not lose their riding fee if they get banned for a whip offence and will forfeit their prize-money percentage only if receiving a suspension of seven days or more - up from three. Therefore a jockey who uses one more hit than allowed will not lose their prize-money percentage.
The five-hits edict in the final furlong/after the last obstacle has been dropped, although the limit on strikes remains seven times in a Flat race, and eight over jumps.

All whip bans incurred since the introduction of the new harsher regime that came in on October 10 will be subject to the new set of rules.

This means Christophe Soumillon, who lost his £52,000 share of the prize-money when banned for five days after hitting Cirrus Des Aigles six times in the final furlong when winning the Qipco Champion Stakes at Ascot last Saturday, will now be paid.

The amended rules come into effect from the start of racing on Friday.