Saturday 15 October 2011

Saturday 15th October 2011 -- wow rather than betting

Champions day holds centre stage 
1.50 is a hard race to fathom they have all been running a lot this year  But Colour Vision is a positive on its run in the Cesarevitch third to very good horses.
2.25 - the dash is on for these - pity its not confined to fillies cos have a soft spot for Ladies Are Forever but really cant see he better than placed against the boys today - she is one hell of a size and as big as the boys - depends how she looks in the paddock for the win chances its her best time of the year.
3.00 Bible Belt upped in distance has some appeal for Harrington she needs this ground to get home this distance bred from Big Bad Bob she certainly is ready to get home - ground drying will help

  3.35 the wonder horse Frankel is there to be admired rather than backed - he's the best we have seen of late and no chinks in the armour. If he is over the top so are the rest its a no brainer to back against him - yep its a horse race and he can kick into himself down to the start get bitten by another etc etc.. but if you love a good horse you want him to win -- lengths winner could be a bet but the books are running scared and no one taking him on --- Dick Turpin has best distance speed - would Hughes have given up his licence if he thought this one would get home? NO---- so are you on the place market ? Poets Voice makes loads of appeal in the book  (Saeed Bin Suroor (3-4-15) has won 3 of the last 10 runnings and almost half his runners have made the frame.) won the QE2 last year from off the pace and it has to be this horses target for the year (quote from last year  I thought we had a couple of pounds to find, but Saeed was right. I had to go a bit wide to challenge, and when I looked up Rip Van Winkle  had five lengths on me. It was a fight to the end, but I knew my horse had his head down at the line. - Frankie Dettori.)

Prix du Moulin winner Excelebration: 1674 (1-0-4) and Spencer is a beauty and the top improver in the race

 there is value in the place market and remember Red jazz last year rewarded us with a 40/1 shot
 4.10 I really like the chances of Dubai Prince  has the most beautiful action. I think a mile and a quarter will be his trip. nder Dettori is the least exposed of these goes on any ground and my nap for the day. Last Race at Newbury makes me positive of a big show today he did everything that was asked of him in a professional manner. The pace, set by Penitent, seemed a bit stop-start, but Dubai Prince travelled on the bridle until asked for his challenge and only had to be shown the whip to draw away and comfortably take his record to 3-3. 

From the Analyser --- 1.35 Kelso (make sure you have CIM in your analysing fields  Pyjama Game makes loads of appeal layoff is suspect but just about everything else is right - betting watch 
Gilles riding at kelso today 2.10 Golfers Crossing makes appeal  3.25 Columbus Secret (improving sort and a giant of a horse perth 280411 beat home posh bird very good run at 3miles 12 dsr) 3.55 Beid Tine Anseow has its ground is an absolute stayer and The Cockney Squire who really has to have this ground

cheltenham  is a watching card and note taking - will be playing Frosted Grape in the distance race at 3.50 run was too quick last time and this ground makes her a brill each way shot against mainly exposed types

 good luck today all

 Bob

   

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