Tuesday 4 October 2011

Cesarewitch early post on ten year trends


 For those of you who like to bet ante post for the Cesarewitch which takes place on saturday  here are some of the points and  trends you need to study

Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

  • Non-hurdler aged 3 to 5 or hurdles runner aged 6+
  • Not carrying a penalty
  • Officially rated 87 to 98
  • Finished in the first 4 last time in a class 3 or higher
  • Posted highest/second highest MR (or RPR) last time out
  • Run in 12 or fewer flat handicaps (winning no more than 3)
  • Won over at least 2 miles
  • Won over hurdles (and ran at this year’s Cheltenham Festival)
  • Contested a group or listed race
  • Previously won a class 2 handicap
  • Ran in this season’s Northumberland Plate
  • Finished in first 5 in Ascot Stakes, Shergar Cup Stayers and/or John Guest Brown Jack H’cap
  • Placed in Doncaster Cup or Gordon Carter H’cap last time
  • Drawn 1 to 12 (ideally in 1 to 5)
  • Priced 16/1 or below
  • Tends to be held up or settled in midfield
  • Trained by Nicky Henderson, Tony Martin or Philip Hobbs
 last year we got the winner and the second so on these trends and hope to do the same on Saturday ! take  look at last years post..............
1 Aaim To Prosper 16/1 
2 La Vecchia Scuola 33/1
3 Plymouth Rock 50/1
4 Ocean's Minstrel 14/1
 Bob

2 comments:

fatalitylord said...

Hi,

Im interested to know how you use VFB in your selection process.

I recently got this, think i read on OBLG than you were an avid user of this software.

Trying to get my head around the software and how to pick winners - is it based solely on the Dah ratings?

I see the systems included pick up plenty of lay bets but not many back bets?

Anyway, if you could share your experiences with the above that would be much appreciated.

Cheers,

SImon

Unknown said...

Hi Simon
Punting is all about sharing as far as I am concerned - Vfb used with trends and stats is the tool I have used for many years now. and have tried others and would use them if they were better than the book - email me with your query Roberttaylor54@sky.com - and we will go through how I use it - you will find your particular way of using it very quickly
cheers
Bob