Thursday 20 October 2011

Breeders Cup 2011 advanced post

The Breeders Cup 2011 will take place at Louisville in Kentucky State at the Churchill Downs on November fifth and sixth; the event has previously been held here for six times Goldikova attempts to go for an unprecedented fourth straight victory in the race. It is a race that the French have done particularly well in and though Goldikova hasn’t been as dominant in Europe this year as she had been in previous seasons, it would be a brave man to doubt her chances of racking up the 4-timer.



No very strong stat on the ages of winners. 4yos have won 5 of the last 10 from approximately 33% of the total runners.
Gender
Fillies/mares (4-2-12) have a fine record in this race, gaining 4 wins and 2 places from just 12 runners, though these stats are skewed by the fact that Goldikova has won the last 3 runnings. French trained females have a record of 4-2-7.

Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out (5 won)
9 of 10 winners had last run 20 to 50 days ago
9 of 10 winners (last 9) had run 5 or 6 times that year
9 of 10 winners (last 9) had won at least twice that year
10 of 10 winners had won over a mile
10 of 10 winners had won a grade/group 1 or 2 that season
9 of 10 winners (last 9) had finished in first 4 in a grade/group 1

Last Year Hannon took his Paco Boy to no avail (Moore reported it could not handle the sharp bends) will be putting up the  final stats later - it is one of the great races to look forwards to!  

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