Stable to Note - M.R. Channon and my Thoughts on racing

Time to sit up and take notice of Channon return to form with a bang
 18th to the 20th of September this yard has started firing and how
in the last three days Channon   strike rate is phenomenal   -- 19 runs 3 winners  6 placed ---  the yard has not fired this year till now and prices are still attractive before the betting public get their boots on  - time to highlite his runners. prices of his winners have been   8/1 4/1 and 22/1 (Sp) -


Yesterday his Human League on the soft ground at Leicester -  result comment A competitive apprentice handicap.  THE HUMAN LEAGUE, runner-up off 3lb lower at Chester latest, goes well with some dig in the ground and he produced a strong finishing kick to get well on top inside the final 100yards. The change in tactics seemed to work well and he may yet progress further
. 
 Face book posting  and notebook 200910  "will have a punt on Channon's Horse  The Human League who has its ground and drawn low - no blnks today but out of Tobougge  should be made for trip and distance its ran at Chester would not have suited and went well so a few quid  for the race, won well 8/1"


My thoughts on racing and punting


It was a very poor day for punting yesterday the ground got worse and worse as the day went on and there were hopeless ground going predictions - as usual for the early part of the week the runners were made up of very inconsistent animals and form for inconsistent animals is very iffy. 
 Lets face Facts here - Horses are Herd Animals - in the wild they follow not the fastest but the leader who granted has to have speed but is leader for many other reasons - if you can say a horse is clever, and that's a very big if, the herd leader is the cleverest, probably the strongest and definitely the most competitive.  Woe betide a faster animal who goes passed the leader when they are at the gallop -- he or she will get an enormous bite, kick, bloody good hiding. It is in their Genes not to go passed the Herd leader. 


For centuries horses have been trained  by humans to run faster and straighter and respond to accelerate drop back jump to a riders command. 
It takes a while at the stall (or any standing start)  for horses to jump out and run true -- 


NOT easy for an animal with a pea brain and four legs to marshal - if you watch any prey animal that is startled you will see blinding speed which is a swerve and a duck of the head and shoulders. Sprint races are won and lost at the start - greater distance and the four legs are in rhythm and the next obstacle is - will it have the nerve to go past the front horse? 
 We have learned this the hard way -- a beautifully conformed animal is what you want - no doubt about it - but only its breeding is a pointer to its conformation/action for ground /speed/stamina and Bravery. 


Certain sires breed this into their progeny and trainers know what the animal they are training is capable of ON Paper - they have to train accordingly. 


certain pointers can be found on the gallops but this is hugely misleading as they are running against animals they are familiar with and the herd instinct is even more in play than at the races where they don't know each other! 
Take gallop reports with a huge dose of salt!  


Summary

• The more prize money the race - the better the horse. 
• The better the prize money, the more big trainers target the race. 
• Trainers take their time with better horses - - Hannon for example trains very many 2 yr olds (his yard can pick early maturing animals better than most) -- but look out for his older horses that he keeps in the yard - he will send most of his 2 yr old's to the sales as soon as they have to black type. if he thinks they more valuable to sell early - go with his judgement.
•  you will have other examples  and its good to share!

- certain trainers such as Gosden on the flat and Pipe over the sticks know when to put headgear on first time - Many others try it as a last resort.  Again - there are notes you have somewhere to the same effect and I would love to hear from you.


You will see from time to time in my posts that certain animals need a lay off between races or smaller trainers do well with headgear/long layoff and to tell the truth they do produce some incredible priced winners. I only pick this information up when I read the Analyser for the race in front of me and when all the factors are in place - that's why I don't complete the final trends analysis until the morning of the race itself. 
So Many factors make this a wonderful sport to be involved in - Each time a horse runs with your money on it YOU OWN IT for those brief moments - much better if you came to the conclusion it will win or lose on your own considerations of all the facts and thats why I blog and want you all to understand more and more of the sport you so obviously enjoy.


 I wont Tip Horses i select them on as many factors as i can - I have visited most racecourses and can see in my minds eye what is required that adds enormously to my pleasure.


And one last and probably irrelevant point to you,  but important to me, I wanted to be a jockey -ran in a few point to point at Bradbury rings and  flat flapper races in the New Forest  as a boy --I was No Good - over hdles could see a stride but fell out the front door too many times as was unable to do the gymnastics to stay on board. It is an incredible thing to me to watch the top sportsman ride - Mccoy is a God  - saw Piggot and Carson ride the Derbys watched Cauthen time races like no one else ever.  watched racing in the blinding sunshine and folkstone in the fog and snow - some horses will follow over a cliff - am a punter and horse race lover.


 Am not a good layer of a horse that's true - have only come to terms with Betfair and the lay button is still new to me after three years - will look for win or place market first and foremost. if am going to lay its usually  the most reluctant of my bets still. I love in running markets for distance races they are the easiest to read for me and maximum profit bets can be found there.   


 I don't Slag any Jockey off none of them - a poor ride is in every one of them - but remember always guys there are two minds at work in a race  - the near mad mind of the racehorse and the trying to control mind of the jockey -- they hardly ever have the same idea of when to go go when to ease back and when to put in the effort -- All Jockeys are Heroes to me and all horses loveable rogues...


 Just get it right for one race and your day is sublime  - 


 Bob T