The Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes place on Saturday 2nd October at Newmarket on the supporting card to the Cambridgeshire. Run over a mile for fillies and mares aged 3 or older, it was made a group 1 in 2004 and has been won by some very useful horses including Attraction and Dress To Thrill.
Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:
Age (Win-Place-Runners)
W | P | R | |
3yo | 8 | 7 | 56 |
4yo | 2 | 7 | 25 |
5yo | 0 | 3 | 9 |
6yo+ | 0 | 1 | 2 |
3yos (8-7-56) have won 8 of the last 10 runnings although that’s hardly surprising seeing as they have accounted for approximately 61% of the runners in the last 10 years.
Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out
8 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR last time out
9 of 10 winners had run in the last 40 days
10 of 10 winners had run 4 to 7 times that season
10 of 10 winners had won listed or group race
5 of 6 winners had won a group race (since it became a group 1)
Only 2 of 10 winners had previously won a group 1
10 of 10 winners had won over 7F or 8F
Other races
Previous season's winner (Sahpresa): 9 (0-0-1)
Windsor Forest winner (Strawberrydaiquiri): 1223 (1-3-4)
Eternal Stakes winner (Seta): 1 (1-0-1)
Falmouth Stakes winner (Music Show): 2247 (0-2-4)
Valiant Stakes winner (Field Day): 8384 (0-1-4)
Atlanta Stakes winner (Seta): 0934 (0-1-4)
Dahlia winner (Strawberrydaiquiri): 355 (0-0-3)
5 of 10 winners ran in the Matron Stakes last time, finishing 21123
4 of 10 winners ran in the Oak Tree Stakes, finishing 1355
3 of 10 winners ran in the Falmouth, finishing 323
2 of 10 winners ran in the Brownstown Stakes, finishing 11
2 of 10 winners ran in the Coronation Stakes, finishing 17
2 of 10 winners ran in the Irish 1000 Guineas, finishing 11
2 of 10 winners ran in the English 1000 Guineas, finishing 16
Trainers
British-trained runners: 7-16-79
Irish-trained runners: 2-0-6
French-trained runners: 1-2-6
German-trained runners: 0-0-1
Irish and French trained runners have gained 3 wins and 2 places from approximately 13% of the total runners.
Michael Stoute (1-3-10), Rod Collet (1-1-2), Mark Johnston (1-1-3) and Barry Hills (1-1-6) have all saddled the winner and a placed finisher in the past 10 runnings.
Saeed Bin Suroor (1-0-1) and Mick Channon (1-0-4) have also both saddled the winner in the past 10 years.
James Fanshawe (0-4-9) has seen 4 of his 9 runners make the places.
Price
No strong trends on the price though recently longer priced runners have been more prevalent with the last 4 winners going off 12/1, 16/1, 8/1 and 16/1.
Favourites (2-4-10) have won 2 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 4.12.
Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
· Aged 3 or 4
· First 3 last time out while posting highest RPR
· Run in the last 40 days
· Run 4 to 7 times this season
· Won a group race
· Won over 7F or 8F
· Finished in first 3 in Windsor Forest, Matron or Falmouth Stakes
· Trained in Ireland or France
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Result ---1 Sahpresa 9/2 2 Strawberrydaiquiri 5/1 3 Rainfall 6/1 This was not the strongest Sun Chariot, but it was certainly competitive. They again raced on the far side and there was a brisk early pace on, with the race really developing 3f out. Solid form.
Last year´s winner SAHPRESA defended her title witha stylish success, becoming the first back-to-back winner since Luca Cumani´s Free Guest 25 years earlier, on ground softer than she cares for. She warmed up for this with when readily beating Dalgar in a Group 3 over 7f at Longchamp last month, and the only worry was the slow surface.
The race was run very much to suit, though, and she went through the ground without hassle. Indeed she could´ve been called the winner passing the furlong marker. It was just her third outing this year, she wasn´t rightwhen reappearing in the Windsor Forest on her seasonal return at Royal Ascot, and connections will no doubt be looking to travel her again. Another trip to Japan next month is most likely.
The admirably tough Strawberrydaiquiri ran another solid race in defeat in the Nassau Stakes over 1m2f on her previous outing in July, and was having her first run for a new owner. She had yet to race on ground this slow, but there was a chance she could improve for it and she turned in a sterling effort in defeat. She displayed real guts when winning the Windsor Forest in June, when well ahead of Sahpresa, and was expected to build on her fourth in this race last year behind that rival. She wasn´t ridden as aggressively as has often been the case over this tripin the past, and looking at the way she was coming back towards the finish perhaps more positive tactics would´ve suited. It still rates a career-best in defeat, however, and she really deserves to win at the top level, with connections intending to keepher in training next year. No doubt she will remain vulnerable to a classy filly with a turn of foot, however.
Rainfall gained a confidence booster when winning in Listed company at Ascot a week earlier and didn´t go unbacked on this return to a Group 1. She got ridden to get this extra distance and was motoring home late in the day, without threatening the first pair. She holds an entry in the 6f event in Canada later this month, but connections later said she is unlikely to take that up. She will stay in training as a 4-y-o, though, and would be open to improvement next year. With that in mind it wouldn´t be at all surprising to see her back for another crack next season, and she ought to get the trip better then too.
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Result ---1 Sahpresa 9/2 2 Strawberrydaiquiri 5/1 3 Rainfall 6/1 This was not the strongest Sun Chariot, but it was certainly competitive. They again raced on the far side and there was a brisk early pace on, with the race really developing 3f out. Solid form.
Last year´s winner SAHPRESA defended her title witha stylish success, becoming the first back-to-back winner since Luca Cumani´s Free Guest 25 years earlier, on ground softer than she cares for. She warmed up for this with when readily beating Dalgar in a Group 3 over 7f at Longchamp last month, and the only worry was the slow surface.
The race was run very much to suit, though, and she went through the ground without hassle. Indeed she could´ve been called the winner passing the furlong marker. It was just her third outing this year, she wasn´t rightwhen reappearing in the Windsor Forest on her seasonal return at Royal Ascot, and connections will no doubt be looking to travel her again. Another trip to Japan next month is most likely.
The admirably tough Strawberrydaiquiri ran another solid race in defeat in the Nassau Stakes over 1m2f on her previous outing in July, and was having her first run for a new owner. She had yet to race on ground this slow, but there was a chance she could improve for it and she turned in a sterling effort in defeat. She displayed real guts when winning the Windsor Forest in June, when well ahead of Sahpresa, and was expected to build on her fourth in this race last year behind that rival. She wasn´t ridden as aggressively as has often been the case over this tripin the past, and looking at the way she was coming back towards the finish perhaps more positive tactics would´ve suited. It still rates a career-best in defeat, however, and she really deserves to win at the top level, with connections intending to keepher in training next year. No doubt she will remain vulnerable to a classy filly with a turn of foot, however.
Rainfall gained a confidence booster when winning in Listed company at Ascot a week earlier and didn´t go unbacked on this return to a Group 1. She got ridden to get this extra distance and was motoring home late in the day, without threatening the first pair. She holds an entry in the 6f event in Canada later this month, but connections later said she is unlikely to take that up. She will stay in training as a 4-y-o, though, and would be open to improvement next year. With that in mind it wouldn´t be at all surprising to see her back for another crack next season, and she ought to get the trip better then too.
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