The Betfred Sprint Cup Saturday 4th September

The Betfred Sprint Cup takes place at Haydock on Saturday 4th September. It’s a six-furlong group 1 open to horses aged 3 and above. Starspangledbanner, who has won both the 6F group 1’s (July Cup & Golden Jubilee) run in Britain so far this season is looking to add another in this.

 updated 11-30 today Two out of the Sprint Cup

(4) Fullandby and (16) Rainfall are out of the Group 1 Betfred Sprint Cup (3.35) there are currently 14 runners 

going ---Word from the clerk

After a dry night, clerk of the course Kirkland Tellwright said: "We have a dry, warm day forecast. The going on the five and six furlong course is good to firm, while over a mile or greater the 

going is good, good to soft in places."

BLUE  Solid Stats  Purple each way stats  Red - negative stats

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)

	W	P	0
3yo	3	3	34
4yo	3	10	43
5yo	3	3	30
6yo+	1	4	32

9 of 10 winners were aged 3 to 5

The winners have been fairly evenly distributed out over ages 3 to 5
but horses aged 6+ have fared poorly, gaining just 1 win from approximately 23% of the runners.

Gender

Fillies/mares (3-3-18) have done well in this group 1, gaining 3 wins and filling 20% of the places from just 13% of the total runners.

Recent/Past Form

8 of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out

10 of 10 winners had run at least twice that season

8 of 10 winners achieved their highest RPR in their last 3 runs

9 of 10 winner had won a listed race or higher (exception was 2nd in a group 1)

6 of 10 winners had finished in the first 3 in a group 1

9 of 10 winners had won over 6F or 7F

Other Races

Previous season's winner (Regal Parade): 72 (0-1-2)

Hackwood Stakes winner (Regal Parade): 01033 (1-2-5)

Temple Stakes winner (Kingsgate Native): 5310 (1-1-4)

Duke Of York Stakes winner (Prime Defender): 71750002 (1-1-8)

Prix Maurice De Gheest winner (Regal Parade): 0522 (0-2-4)

Prix Maurice De Gheest winner (Regal Parade): 0522 (0-2-4)

July Cup winner (Starspangledbanner): 62052 (0-2-5)

Hopeful Stakes winner (Doncaster Rover): 35 (0-1-2)

Golden Jubilee winner (Starspangledbanner): 820 (0-1-3)

4 of 10 winners ran in the Nunthorpe last time, finishing 3214 this brings in Starspangledbanner(2nd) and Prime Defender(4th)

4 of 10 winners ran in the Temple Stakes, finishing 3518

3 of 10 winners ran in the Golden Jubilee, finishing 649 this brings in Starspangled banner - Prime Defender Serious Attitude and Sir Gerry and Regal Parade who finished 15th and 16th

3 of 10 winners ran in the Duke Of York Stakes, finishing 212

2 of 10 winners ran in the July Cup, finishing 33

2 of 10 winners ran in the Prix Maurice De Gheest, finishing 22

2 of 10 winners ran in the Palace House Stakes, finishing 14

Trainers

Barry Hills (1-1-6) PRIME DEFENDER  21s betfair currently drawn 13 age 6 (he has already withdrawn Equiano) and Roger Charlton Genki (1-1-6) 4 aged 6  have  saddled the winner and a placed finisher in the race in the past 10 years.

D Nicholls (1-0-6) trained Regal Parade (drawn 6 age 6) to win the race last year and he’s attempting to be the first horse since Be Friendly in 1967 to win back to back renewals of the race.

Irish-trained horses (0-0-8) have not fared well in this, with all 8 of their representatives finishing unplaced.

Draw (excluding 2008 running at Doncaster)

Horses drawn 1 to 5: 1-7-45

Horses drawn 6 to 10: 6-7-45

Horses drawn 11 or higher: 2-4-34

Horses drawn in the bottom 5 stalls have struggled, gaining just 1 win. 
Those drawn in stalls 6 to 10 have won 6 of the last 9 runnings at Haydock.

Price

7 of 10 winners came from the first 5 in the betting

There have been a few shocks in the past 10 years, including a 25/1 and two 14/1 winners but most of the victors were prominent in the betting.

Favourites (2-2-10) have won just 2 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 1.75.

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

·         Aged 3 to 5

·         Fillies & mares do well

·         Finished in the first 3 last time out

·         Won a listed or higher (placed in a group 1)

·         Won over 6F or 7F

·         Finished in the first 3 in Duke Of York and/or Temple Stakes

·         Finished in first 4 in Nunthorpe/Prix Maurice Du Gheest last time

·         From first 5 in the betting

·         Drawn 6 to 10

·         Trained in Britain


 so with the favourites record in the race and Starspangalledbanner drawn just outside 
the 6 to 10 best drawn it does not forbode well for the favourite at these odds 


The Duke of York stakes looks the race to consider for the bet and though not a great draw Prime Defender will love the ground and Hills record makes it look solid 


 Doncaster Rover  3rd in the duke and a decent winner last week - age 4 drawn 10 third in the Duke of York  will do for me at the current 28s 

Joker in the pack ---Markab age 7 drawn 14 2nd to equiano ascot 150610 from a poor draw 14/1 king stand stakes Markab was fourth in the Wokingham at last year´s Royal meeting and only gained his first Group win last month. He had never run at the top level, nor had he raced over the minimum trip, but ran a cracker. Leading the group of five who raced away from the rail, he moved into second place overall with a furlong left and battled on willingly, although never able to reach the winner. Sure to be suited by a step back up in trip to this 6flngs today