Wednesday 21 December 2011

1435 Ludlow 3m Handicap Chase

Copied from my blog



1435 Ludlow 3m Handicap Chase

Sorry its a bit late today, family commitments called but i've looked at the 1435 at Ludlow and heres my considered opinion.



CAST CADA – Only win over fences was a lucky one, no show on reappearance though could feasibly come on for that run but may need better ground than he’s going to encounter here.
FORT VIEW – Ex-Hunter who’s rules record is 1-0-4(w-p-r), 2lb higher than last win but well beaten  both starts this term and best watched for now.
TEN FIRES – Was getting involved in the finish but crashed out at the final fence on his last run in Ireland, debut for new yard and if conditions worsen then he could become an e/w player.
EDGEOVER – Chase record 1-1-5, resumed over hurdles after 538 day layoff due to injury finishing a well held 3rd, back over fences here off 9lb higher than his hurdle mark and may struggle over trip possibly too far.
TIME FOR SPRING – Promising Chase debut in Oct & ran well in hot Cheltenham handicap next start, he has more to offer over 3m, conditions suit, tho’ he would not want it too soft. Major Player.
MADE IN TIME – Useful hurdler, 1-0-2 over fences, UR last time but dangerous to dismiss as conditions suit here, though I have a sneaking suspicion that he’s better going left handed.
PYRACANTHA – Looks to be on the downgrade, dropped 20lb in 7 runs, possibly needs better ground and easily dismissed.
CHESAPEAKE – Chase record 2-2-7 but all form on better ground, PU latest and best watched.
BATTLECRY – Trainer has 50% record in this race so one to consider, broke his chase maiden last time (1-10-26 over fences), up 8lb and should be there at the finish with conditions suiting.
ALWAYS BOLD – Didn’t enjoy chasing when last tried, in and out over hurdles since and best watched on return to fences.
ONLY WITNESS – Chase record 0-1-4 but best run last time up 5lb for that effort but capable claimer on board here and there could be more to come, shortlisted.

VERDICT         
I’m left with a shortlist of three and am keen to take on the likely fav Made In Time, so Time For Spring is the one with improvement expected, Only Witness and Battlecry can bustle him up.

2 comments:

Unknown said...

we should link the blogs mate! - ran a decent race looked well hampered but powered through - unlucky

Jack Sparrow said...

Your blog is linked to mine now mate, i want to thank you and the guys on here for improving my betting no end in the 9-12 months i've been using Dataform. Your site Bob is truly a gold mine.
Many Thanks.