Friday, 30 December 2011

30/12/2011

14.10 Taunton 3 runner 2m3f Novice Chase

Suburban Bay the Rag could be a nice value in this 3 runner race. I think punters will underestimate this horses formbook.

I actually noted its LTO run in Cheltenham in a big field HH3 over 2m5f and it ran a cracking race for its seasonal debut, what is more to come now? The horse was in the downhill freewheel point 2nd and looked so strong and closed down pretty heavily and made a really bad stumble on a downhill fence, which knocked it out of the acceleration and at this fence at this point in Chel it is really a big disadvantage I would say. Menorah for sure is the fav but given its a three runner field and Suburban Bay could have won a strong HH3 in Chelt and the other horse Royals Charter doesnt convince me on paper. Suburban Bay has a small chance to win this I think and a great chance to place.

No comments: