The naps table is no good unless you have some idea of a long shot and mine is the traveller to Towcester for Moore ridden by Moore in the 1.10 Petit Ecuyer - was no good at all on its return last time on soft ground at Fontwell but will strip fitter today in a very poor race that he has been in the horse box from Sussex - will appreciate the ground and the stiffness of the track. Was impressed with its run at Lingfield in good to soft ground when the omission of the last hdle was all against it.
currently 39/1 betfair against some animals that make you scratch your head about.
am taking the place money for my bet but would be completely smug if this one shows its real form today up the Towcester cliff face...
Good luck today gotta go get the Christmas shopping done!
5 comments:
Thursdays Patent
1320 Ex - Arayan - He will be all the better for his comeback run over a trip further than ideal at Sandown last time. Held up out the back he was never really put in the race and finished tired on his first run since March.
He returns back to a trip that will suit, the heavy ground and galloping track will suit him down to the ground and is well handicapped off 130.
1340 To - Lucky Landing - Did'nt get home last time and I thought it would benefit from a drop back in trip (it was still going well until half a mile from home). It runs over a 2m4f trip (half a mile less than last time) – and also has a tongue tie applied. The tongue tie suggests that maybe it had a breathing issue (as opposed to simply not staying) – but either way, I would now be very optimistic that it will last home tomorrow.
It has also been dropped 5lb in the handicap and drops from class 3 to class 4 company – and this is despite, as I said, me thinking it ran really well to a point, last time out.
That is the case for the horse – but it is the quality of the opposition, that makes this the strongest bet I have put up so far…
In short, I’m struggling to see a serious danger.
1450 Ex - I can’t see a particular issue with either the trip or ground (he has won previously on heavy) - and I particularly like to booking of top apprentice Tom Cannon, to take an extra 5lb off the horses back (which will help hugely on the heavy going). The handicapper has also lowered him 1lb from his last run, which won’t hinder either !
1450 Ex - Pocket Aces is the name of the horse
Boom for the 8/1 place for Moore
1320 Ex - Arayan - Looked to still need the run, be with him next time folks, as he wont get raised off 130 for that run.
1340 To - Lucky Landing - Oh well I could'nt have got that one more wrong, could I?
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