Ground at Plumpton is soft with rain forecast for midday and that going will change to heavy if it does
Bangor Hurdle course: Good to soft Chase course: Soft, heavy in places Weather: Dry overnight and expected to be a dry day (+2C at 7am). Possibility of rain arriving around 10am.
if it does come you can change the analyser to soft no problems
Interesting card at Plumpton should give us some decent chances - Novice chase at 1.00 Cucumber Run is hot favvy and it won its last race in non too convincing style in my book this way round will suit it that's for sure Henderson has brought it here from Ludlow in the hope this tighter track will help its tendency to jump left handed --( if it wins and wins well take a look at the 1.30 where Moore runs the long shot Dragons Roost who beat cucumber run easily in a soft ground bumper at Newbury) it hasn't done anything over hdles but A grandson of useful jumper Nancy Myles, who loved heavy ground)
back to the 1.00 the grounds the thing and I expect a big run from the mare Lady Willa who is running again since Saturday she will Relish the ground deep these easier fences will play to her strength - only a little mare and the outsider of the four entered - she has a tongue Tie first time and is no forlorn run today.
Back to the 1.30 and really like the chances of Edlomond who was outclassed by that very promising animal Swincome Flame at Exeter on soft ground is coming to hand nicely for its third run and fitness on its side with the "zippiness" curtailed looks the likeliest winner at long odds is only just behind the favvy Ohio Gold on form and the ground will be the key - dont forget Moores Dragons Roost who is taking some money from its long 999/1 early show into around 40s at the moment!
2.00 Plumpton 3miles 2f marathon Zimbabwi is in great form but cannot see it ever running two races alike and will put up Its A Classic to win this one after running home behind that one here last time it was carrying nearly a stone more and finished like a train is the only one in the race with distance plus form - watch out for Sue Smith Jordan first time fencing today is a proven head down stayer over hdles and Harvey Smith will have got this one jumping and they have booked Tom Cannon who is a big plus when he rides here is a mare who can run teeth out and a big price at the current 16s betfair
2.30 Dont Like backing Andrew Thornton in anything but staying races 2.30 the returning Hazy Bay has chances (if you ignore the jockey) and money would be significant for this one today its a confirmed stayer but its a hard race and too many unknowns really for a bet of any significance
3.00 you had to be slightly impressed with Manmoon run here last time this is its going and a flat out runner who is good for the BTL stakes cannot see Ballyman beating it on this going and will be looking for the match bet
3.30 will sty with Just Beware on this going and is ready to win IMo she will be easy to back in running as she takes time to warm up she is a game un and really fancy her chances today
good luck today guys
Bob
1 comment:
Jordan made one mistake that cost it dear and will go on for this - and as for Hazy Bay has chances (if you ignore the jockey) won just as it wanted to and should be in the analyser !
Post a Comment