Towc 15.40 3m Hcp Chase Good to Soft Class 4
Upham Atom DP = 3-2-5-3-9 (22) DI = 0.52 CD = -0.59
An animal on my notes list pops up and has nice odds aswell for tomorrow, fell pretty heavily LTO, but its a real eyecatcher making ground late.
1/12/11 Racing a bit nervous with the long layoff during the first half of the race, the horse made heavy headway and really hacked up, was a class above the rest of the field until fell from the way it quickened up with long strides.
Reading my note and watching the last races again, I have to say that it really is an eyecatcher in the last furlongs and I give the horse great chances, if it is fit from the fall. Here`s last race.
http://horses.sportinglife.com/Video/Racing/0,27770,472999_4,00.html
Looking at the racehistory of the horse it was ridden half of the early career to lead and since applying held up style its a decent stayer in Chases. Its really an animal to watch out for Inrunning and distances 3m+.Im just a bit concerned in this contest, that there isnt enough pace to pass weakening animals late.
5.0 BSP early could be good price for this contest.
Exeter 12.50 2m3f Novice Hurdle Heavy
Tea Caddy 9.0+( market not properly formed yet)
I like this horse for these conditions, made a really good perfromance 2nd LTO here over course but over 2miles is young needs this 3f+ and stayed on really strongly late in his 3rd place. With the favs taking the price up, it could be a surprise at 9,0+ odds if handling the ground. The fav convinced me on Heavy in a bumper but has a long layoff and the other short priced ones are just too short and seem very onepaced on video.Here is the video,
http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=TOW_2011_11_03_01_1320&vaff=16
Exeter 1.20 H HH3 2m1f
All the Winds ran LTO in Cheltenham on a stiff uphill track in a hot fast race with Edgardo Sol finsihing nice third with very nice effort late and the 1f+ looks right upto his needs together with a much weaker opposition this time out, there is Heavy Ground but odds of 8,2 are very generous here.Is very well in the weights today has today 6lbs less + another 5lbs for the Claiming jockey Peter Carberry.
http://horses.sportinglife.com/Video/Racing/0,27770,470287_4,00.html
6 comments:
the ground is the thing today Rade - Upham Atom was backed by me at Wincanton last time only to see it crash out at the last - its all about if it bounces this time after that fall Kate Buckett trains in Hampshire so she is taking this one for a fair old road trip all that way _ not sure how many animals she trains now maybe only a couple
good luck with this one
12.50 Exeter- really like the mare Dun See Dee in this- the heavy ground is all in its favour first time back is when to catch her Kaffi will relish the ground - and there are a lot of unknowns in the race who just might so its a no bet race for me
Cant see to many chinks in the armour of your selection All The Winds but again too many unknowns - the horse at massive odds that attracts my eye is There And Then 33/1 for the place market - showed its a stayer in heavy ground at fontwell - keep an eye on Highway Code who put up a decent display last time on soft
I'm on Dun See Dee Bob
The Falklander is in high regard aswell with several good tipsters. Steamed into 6.6 already.
What a tight finish there, sooner or later this bugger Upham Atom will win a race,got matched 40+ Inrunning, but watching the race I wouldnt have laid him at that point to these prices though :( Finished good close 4th.
Post a Comment