Wednesday 7 December 2011

Leicester 15.00 HH3 2m5f

Interesting race with two short priced favs giving good value maybe,

Fav Fiendish Flame is a long striding front runner that can make all on right handed, but is a bit short,it will ensure a good decent pace.

To me Ranjobaie makes sense here today at 16,0 BSP, LTO in Haydock Galloping HH2 first run of the season and to me,he raced very good in form until the 2m2f mark. It has to be said that this was a very fast run race with good animals and for this I rate this perfromance high. I have the feeling it can go a fast gallop and from his history he beat some decent animals or raced close to,it had early in his carreer you can say a win here in Leicester but fell at the last so the track should be good, races of a Mark of 129 today and had several promising performances I like and think that it can get this mark. Was beaten 12 lenghts with a good effort until late against Sarando OR 153 in a small field on a sharp track, finished in Sandown ( low cim track) over Hurdles online with two runners rated 130, in a big field at a decent pace. Beat Bygones of Brid OR 143 in a HS3 in Market Rasen, finished 6 lenghts 2nd to Notus De La Tour OR 142 in a HS4 early on,finished 3 lenghts to Menorah 151 OR in a HS4 in Warwick.

Dhaafer 9.6BSP finished 3rd in Cheltenham HH1G3 with 4 lenghts to 144 OR rated runner Kumbeshwar in a big field. High Cim track. Races off a Mark of 119, so should be very value at these odds.

These two seem value to me today.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

good analysis Rade - loved reading it - the going at Leicester which does have a Cim factor has its usual confsion by the Clerk - g/sft hdles g/frm chase! Christopher Wren looks the one for me under McCoy (has to be driven so whip rules could be a factor against this one winning but they are very close and Ranjobie has the class with Vanessa yard starting to fire big time it will be a true test for Fiendish Flame if it takes a keen hold the coming from behind animals good luck mate because this is a good race with Risaala and Legion D'honneur in the line up coming late