Monday, 28 November 2011

Wolverhampton 1650

I like the claims of Lady Heartbeat here, she is a full sister to Monsieur Pontaven who picked up a win on Saturday evening around this course, and is a half-sister to Indian Trail among other winners. Given the family have largely been sprinting types, I guess it is slightly surprising the daughter of Avonbridge appeared short of speed in her three maiden runs, but there is a modicum of stamina on the distaff side, and there was certainly a lot to like about the way she ran at Kempton, when stepped up to a mile, far more so than the post race comments gave her credit for (a race that didn't clock bad figures for the grade by the way). She travelled really well throughout that race, getting no room at a crucial stage, but did then quicken up promisingly and although her jockey gave up inside the final hundred yards, when having no chance of making the frame and again short of room, it's worth noting the filly remained full of running.
This race is a bit stronger, but given the record of Avonbridge on this surface, don't be surprised if she steps up again and having been handed a good draw, not to mention dropped a pound from Kempton, I'm expecting her to go close this afternoon. She should find matters suitably contested regards pace, and is in receipt of eleven pounds from the market leader, so while her price has been trimmed a couple of points since the book opened, 7/1 still has a bit of juice in it, not forgetting she may well go back out on course.

2 comments:

Unknown said...

Did make loads of trouble for hereself last time looking at the video she was hampered blocked and when finally getting a run ran out of room - she should well have been placed - not all the problems were forced on her but can be forgiven is better drawn in this and without problems can make the frame for me as well have actually taken a price on Fredrick The Great but will put a few quid on yours at 11s betfair -- good luck

Jack Sparrow said...

Didn't travel quite as strongly today, maybe down to the kick back, maybe not, but she'll fall into a nursery over the winter, just not today :(